Original-Research: MLP SE (von NuWays AG): Kaufen
16 Mai 2024 - 9:06AM
EQS Non-Regulatory
Original-Research: MLP SE - von NuWays AG
Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MLP SE
Unternehmen: MLP SE
ISIN: DE0006569908
Anlass der Studie: Update
Empfehlung: Kaufen
seit: 16.05.2024
Kursziel: EUR 11.50
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten
Letzte Ratingänderung:
Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Strong Q1 driven by wealth management and banking
MLP released a strong set of Q1 results in line with
expectations and at new record levels. In detail:
Sales increased by a solid 8% yoy to € 284m (eNuW: 280m),
slightly above estimates. The main drivers were the strong banking
business (Interest Income +89% yoy to € 22m) and Wealth Management,
which had tailwinds from elevated capital markets and grew sales by
17% yoy of € 86m. While the Non-Life Insurance business benefitted
from higher inflation rates in the past, the momentum has
expectedly slowed down with easing inflation. Thus, Non-Life
Insurance recorded sales growth of 6% yoy to € 97m. Also, Real
Estate Brokerage showed a recovery of 70% yoy to € 3m, however from
low levels. In contrast, Real Estate Development remains muted with
sales of € 3.4m,down 66% yoy, due to MLP's decision to halt
projects in the current market
nvironment (see p. 2 for details)
EBIT came in as expected with a substantial improvement of 14%
yoy to € 37m (13% margin, +0.7pp yoy). The main margin drivers were
the ongoing strong interest result of € 13.6m (+32% yoy) coupled
with the recognition of € 3.8m in performance-based compensation at
FERI's funds - the first time since Q4'21. Due to a base effect,
other OPEX have declined by 7% yoy to € 43m, whereas personnel
expenses rose by 11.4% yoy to € 58m (5.4% wage inflation and 5.6%
increase in headcount). On a segment basis (for details see p. 2),
Banking and Wealth Management remain MLP's current EBIT drivers,
while RE development burdens profitability.
On a positive note, MLP could grow its fundaments for recurring
revenues to new record levels. First, AuM increased by € 2.3bn (€
200m net capital inflows and € 2.1bn from rising valuation) to a
staggering € 59.3bn and serves as the bedrock for profitable and
recurring sales in Wealth Management. Secondly, the Non-life
Insurance Volume grew by 7% yoy to € 719m, which is comparable to
German SMEs in this field.
All in all, MLP is on track to outperform its conservative
guidance of € 75-85m EBIT (vs. eNuW: € 88m). By simply assuming the
last years' Q2-Q4 EBIT of € 46m (excluding € 7.8m in one-offs) for
the remainder of this year, FY'24e EBIT would stand at € 83m
already.
Therefore, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with slightly
lower PT of € 11.50, based on FCFY'24e
(€ 10.50) and SOTP (€ 12.50).
Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/29769.pdf
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie
hier downloaden www.nuways-ag.com/research.
Kontakt für Rückfragen
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse:
Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++
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++++++++++
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AG.-------------------
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