CHICAGO, Feb. 16, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, Zacks Equity
Research discusses the Non-U.S. Banks Industry, including: BBVA
Banco Frances S.A. (NYSE: BFR), Bancolombia S.A. (NYSE:
CIB), Banco Bradesco S.A. (NYSE: BBD), Banco
Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S.A (NYSE: BLX) and
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: MTU).
(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20101027/ZIRLOGO)
A synopsis of today's Industry Outlook is presented below. The
full article can be read at
http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/47644/Non-U.S.+Banks+Stock+Update+-+Feb.+2011
Although the upturn in the banking sector through the first half
of 2011 will vary from country to country, depending on industry
circumstances, we believe that banks in emerging economies --
Chile, Brazil or India -- might make more attractive
investments, akin to our expectations from certain regional banks
in the U.S.
The same, however, cannot be said of European institutions. In
early 2010, the debt crisis originating in the Greek economy shook
the stability of the European Union's (EU) monetary policies.
Starting as a solvency crisis in a single country, the turmoil
threatened the entire Euro-zone.
Greece adopted measures to
minimize government spending and stress test results were largely
reassuring, but there is no guarantee that the country is out of
the woods as affluent domestic and foreign investors will not stop
withdrawing their money from Greek banks anytime soon. Also, rising
inflation will force regulators to tighten their policies in the
Euro zone, making banks less flexible.
The European Union is in the process to restore confidence of
investors and health of the European banking system, but the issue
is far from fully addressed.
Quite obviously, banks in emerging economies will face asset
quality issues. However, they are not plagued by other significant
problems that many of the larger banks face in continental
Europe and the United Kingdom, such as toxic securities and
dilution from capital raising. Moreover, these emerging-market
banks generally tend to be well capitalized, aren't as heavily
exposed to property markets, and have significant and growing
sources of non-interest income.
Banks are finally learning from the crisis. In 2010, banks in
emerging economies performed remarkably well in serving as a
stabilizing force in global economic recovery.
Overall, a key determinant for quick recovery will be the
quality of risk analysis and risk-awareness in decision-making and
incentive policies. So, we believe that accumulating larger capital
buffers over the cycle and reducing pointless complexity in
business will be crucial to banking performance.
Also, the primary attention of policymakers should be on
determining how much longer the fiscal stimulus should continue,
ensuring that it is not withdrawn before a clearer sign of economic
recovery is visible.
OPPORTUNITIES
Currently, financial institutions in the non-U.S. bank universe
with a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) are BBVA Banco Frances
S.A. (NYSE: BFR) and Bancolombia S.A. (NYSE: CIB). Banks
that we like with a Zacks #2 Rank (Buy) include Banco Bradesco
S.A. (NYSE: BBD), Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio
Exterior, S.A (NYSE: BLX) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Group, Inc. (NYSE: MTU).
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