Adjusted EBITDA1,2 of approximately
$2.5 billion in 2028, with
anticipated upside to $3
billion
Available cash flow per share1,2 to
double by 2028
Reduce Leverage Ratio1,2 to low end
of 2 to 3 times target range by the end of 2025
CALGARY,
AB, Nov. 14, 2023 /PRNewswire/ - Parkland
Corporation ("Parkland", "we", the "Company", or "our") (TSX:PKI),
will host its 2023 Investor Day today where its executive team will
outline the Company's continued growth plans, targets, and capital
allocation strategy for the next five years.
"Since our 2021 Investor Day, we have continued to build and
invest in our growth platform," said Bob
Espey, President and Chief Executive Officer. "This year, we
saw the strength of our business model as we delivered strong
organic growth and synergy capture, enabling us to increase
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance, exceed our deleveraging goals, and
accelerate our $2 billion ambition to
2024, a year ahead of schedule."
"The success of Parkland's strategy is due to our industry
leading team, which is focused on safe and disciplined execution,"
added Espey. "Our business is growing, and we are committed to
meeting the evolving needs of our customers. We are reinforcing our
financial foundation, delivering substantial cash flow and, through
disciplined capital allocation, we will optimize returns for our
shareholders."
During today's Investor Day, Parkland's executive team will
discuss:
Customer Advantage
Parkland's customer centric strategy demonstrates our commitment
to becoming the number one choice for energy and convenience, for
our Retail and Commercial customers, in the markets we serve.
Our JOURNIE™ loyalty platform is a foundation of this strategy
as it expands its suite of partners and geographic reach. It will
continue to unify our brands, delivering personalized customer
offers, while incentivizing and rewarding customer loyalty across
our retail fuel and EV charging locations, ON the RUN
convenience stores, and food brands.
In addition to its retail footprint, Parkland serves a diverse
range of Commercial customers in each of its markets. Our extensive
proprietary infrastructure and dedicated team safely and reliably
deliver products to our customers that meet their energy needs of
today, and their evolving low carbon needs of tomorrow.
Supply Advantage
Parkland's proven supply expertise underpins its strategy. By
delivering approximately 28 billion litres of fuel annually, the
Company's scale, unique logistics assets, and capabilities provide
purchasing power and optionality that enable us to achieve the
lowest cost to serve. Our supply optimization allows us to create
tremendous competitive advantage and unlock significant value in
the markets we operate.
Disciplined Capital Allocation
We anticipate $6 billion in
cumulative Available cash flow from 2024 to 2028. We are positioned
to deliver sustainable growth, enhance shareholder returns and
strengthen our balance sheet.
The Company's capital allocation program will direct
approximately $1.5 billion (25
percent) to dividends and share buybacks, and $1.5 billion (25 percent) to organic growth
initiatives that reinforce our market position.
With the remaining $3 billion (50 percent) of anticipated
capital, we will prioritize reducing our Leverage Ratio to the low
end of our two to three times target range by the end of 2025.
Beyond that and looking forward through 2028, we expect capital
will be strategically allocated toward opportunities that generate
the greatest shareholder returns, including additional share
buybacks and inorganic growth opportunities. This framework
underscores Parkland's dedication to financial discipline and
strategic agility, with the aim of delivering long-term value for
our shareholders.
Parkland remains focused on executing its strategy, capturing
synergies, lowering costs, and delivering organic growth. During
Investor Day, Parkland will outline the Company's 2024 Guidance and
2028 Ambitions.
2024 Guidance2
- Adjusted EBITDA of $2 billion +/-
$50 million
- Capital expenditures1 of between $475 million to $525
million.
- Available cash flow per share of $5.00.
- ROIC1 of more than 11 percent.
2028 Ambitions
- Available cash flow of $8.50 per
share, doubling from $4.25 per share
in 20233.
- Adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion,
driven by organic growth, synergy capture and cost efficiencies. We
see potential to generate up to $3
billion of Adjusted EBITDA in 2028, reflecting disciplined
inorganic growth opportunities as outlined in our capital
allocation framework.
__________
|
1
|
Specified Financial
Measure. See "Specified Financial Measure" section of this news
release.
|
2
|
See "Forward Looking
Statements" section of this news release for assumptions underlying
Parkland's 2024 Guidance and 2028 Ambitions.
|
3
|
Trailing-twelve-months
("TTM") Q3 2023.
|
Investor Day Webcast Details
The Investor Day presentation will be webcast, with video,
beginning at 9 am Eastern Time
(7 am Mountain Time) on November 14, 2023. For analysts and investors who
have already registered to attend in person, or remotely, we look
forward to your participation.
The presentation will be available live at
https://investorday.parklandevents.ca/ and will be available for
replay at www.parkland.ca/investors/presentations-webcasts
following the conclusion of today's event.
About Parkland Corporation
Parkland is an international fuel distributor, marketer, and
convenience retailer with operations in 25 countries across the
Americas. We serve over one million customers each day. Our vast
retail network meets the fuel and convenience needs of everyday
consumers. Our commercial operations provides businesses with
industrial fuels so that they can better serve their customers.
With approximately 4,000 retail and commercial locations across
Canada, the United States and the Caribbean region, we have developed supply,
distribution and trading capabilities to accelerate growth and
business performance.
In addition to meeting our customers' needs for essential fuels,
we provide a range of choices to help them lower their
environmental impact. These include carbon and renewables trading,
solar power, renewables manufacturing and ultra-fast EV charging.
Parkland's proven business model is centered around organic growth,
our supply advantage, and is driven by scale, our integrated
refinery and supply infrastructure, and focus on acquiring
prudently and integrating successfully.
Our strategy is focused on developing our existing business in
resilient markets, growing our food, convenience and renewable
energy businesses and helping customers to decarbonize. Our
business is underpinned by our people, our values of safety,
integrity, community and respect, which are deeply embedded across
our organization.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained herein constitute forward-looking
information and statements (collectively, "forward-looking
statements"). When used the words "expect", "will", "could",
"would", "believe", "continue", "pursue" and similar expressions
are intended to identify forward-looking statements. In particular,
this news release contains forward-looking statements with respect
to, among other things: business strategies, objectives and
initiatives; expected market trends; Parkland's 2024 Adjusted
EBITDA Guidance, 2024 Capital Expenditure Guidance, 2024 Available
cash flow per share Guidance, 2024 ROIC Guidance; Parkland's 2028
Available cash flow per share Ambition, 2028 Adjusted EBITDA
Ambition, and anticipated potential to generate up to $3 billion of Adjusted EBITDA in 2028; Parkland's
expectation to generate $6 billion in
cumulative Available cash flow between 2024 and 2028, and expected
uses for such under Parkland's capital allocation program,
including direction of approximately $1.5
billion (25 percent) to dividends and share buybacks,
$1.5 billion (25 percent) to organic
growth initiatives, and $3 billion
(50 percent) to reduction of Parkland's Leverage Ratio to low 2x by
2025, and subsequently to additional share buybacks and
inorganic growth opportunities.
These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties
and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking
statements. No assurance can be given that these expectations will
prove to be correct and such forward-looking statements included in
this news release should not be unduly relied upon. These
forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news
release. Parkland does not undertake any obligation to publicly
update or revise any forward-looking statements except as required
by securities law. Actual results could differ materially from
those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result
of numerous risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to,
general economic, market and business conditions; micro and
macroeconomic trends and conditions, including increases in
interest rates, inflation and commodity prices; customer
preferences and trends; Parkland's competitive advantages,
including key products and brands, proprietary infrastructure and
supply advantage, and ability to maintain such advantages;
Parkland's ability to retain key employees; Parkland's ability to
execute its business objectives, projects and strategies, including
the completion, financing and timing thereof, realizing the
benefits therefrom and meeting our targets and commitments relating
thereto; Parkland's ability to identify buyers and complete
divestments, if any, on terms reasonable to Parkland and in a
timely manner; Parkland's ability to execute on accretive organic
initiatives and grow to meet its 2024 Guidance and 2028 Ambitions
and expected outcomes; Parkland's management systems and programs
and risk management strategy; Parkland's ability to pay future
dividends and complete share buybacks; competitive environment of
our industry; retail pricing, margins and refining crack spreads;
availability and pricing of petroleum product supply; volatility of
crude oil and refined product prices; ability of suppliers to meet
commitments; actions by governmental authorities and other
regulators including but not limited to increases in taxes or
restricted access to markets; environmental impact; changes in
environmental and regulatory laws, including the ability to obtain
or maintain required permits; expectations with respect to debt
repayment and non-cash working capital; and other factors, many of
which are beyond the control of Parkland. In addition, the 2024
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance reflects continued integration of acquired
businesses and synergy capture, and organic growth initiatives, and
the key material assumptions include: an increase in Retail and
Commercial Fuel and petroleum product adjusted gross margin and
Food, convenience and other adjusted gross margin of approximately
5 percent as compared to the year ending December 31, 2023; the realization of
$100 million of MG&A cost
efficiencies by 2024; and Refining adjusted gross margin of
approximately $37 to $38 per barrel and average Burnaby Refinery
utilization of 85 percent to 90 percent based on the
Burnaby Refinery's crude processing capacity of 55,000 barrels per
day. 2024 Available cash flow per share Guidance and 2024 ROIC
Guidance assumes invested capital grows at a slower pace than Net
Operating Profit After Tax through 2024. 2024 Capital Expenditure
Guidance is mainly driven by increased Adjusted EBITDA and assumes
no material changes to underlying operations and no planned major
turnaround at the Burnaby Refinery. 2028 Ambitions reflect
continued organic growth from growth capital expenditure
attributable to Parkland in line with historical returns, synergy
capture from previously completed acquisitions, identified cost
efficiencies, potential acquisitions (not identified, but
reflective of expected market returns and similar to expected
returns from organic growth initiatives), disciplined inorganic
growth opportunities, major planned Burnaby Refinery turnarounds in
2025 and 2028, interest rates on long term bank debt and corporate
bonds as set out in the Interim Consolidated Financial Statements
for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2023, with any maturing debts set
to retire in the interim periods extended at current prevailing
market rates, income taxes at expected corporate income tax rates,
including the impact of Pilar II legislation, and the key material
assumptions and risks include: ongoing operations without any
material economic, legal, environmental or income tax changes and
per share metrics impacted by share buybacks, with the assumption
that the outstanding common shares do not change materially. See
also the risks and uncertainties described in "Cautionary Statement
Regarding Forward-Looking Information" and "Risk Factors" included
in Parkland's most recently filed Annual Information Form, and in
"Forward-Looking Information" and "Risk Factors" in the
Management's Discussion and Analysis dated November 1, 2023, for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2023 ("Q3 2023
MD&A"), each as filed on the System for Electronic Data
Analysis and Retrieval + ("SEDAR+") and available on the Parkland
website at www.parkland.ca.
Supplementary Financial Measures
This news release refers to certain non-GAAP financial measures
and ratios and supplementary financial measures (collectively
"specified financial measures"). Available cash flow and Available
cash flow Guidance are non-GAAP measures; Available cash flow per
share Guidance, Available cash flow per share Ambition, and ROIC
Guidance are non-GAAP financial ratios; and Adjusted EBITDA
Guidance, Adjusted EBITDA Ambition, Leverage Ratio Guidance, and
Capital Expenditure Guidance are supplementary financial measures,
all of which do not have standardized meanings prescribed by
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and may not be
comparable to similar financial measures used by other issuers who
may calculate these measures differently. See below for further
information on these specified financial measures. See Section 16 of the Q3 2023 MD&A for a
discussion of Adjusted EBITDA Guidance, Leverage Ratio Guidance,
and Capital Expenditure Guidance, including an explanation of their
composition, and, where applicable, their reconciliations to the
nearest IFRS measures, which is hereby incorporated by reference
into this presentation. Investors are cautioned that these measures
should not be construed as an alternative to net earnings or other
directly comparable financial measures determined in accordance
with IFRS as an indication of Parkland's performance.
Available cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure and
Available cash flow per share is a non-GAAP financial ratio.
The most directly comparable financial measure for Available cash
flow and Available cash flow per share is cash generated from (used
in) operating activities. These measures represent Parkland's
ability to generate cash flows for distribution to shareholders and
investment in the growth of the business. Available cash flow is
calculated as cash generated from (used in) operating activities
adjusted for items such as (i) net change in non-cash working
capital, (ii) change in other assets and other liabilities, (iii)
change in risk management and other, (iv) maintenance capital
expenditures, (v) dividends received from investments in associates
and joint ventures, (vi) interest on leases and long-term debt, and
(vii) principal payments on leases. Available cash flow per share
is calculated as Available cash flow divided by the weighted
average number of outstanding common shares. Available cash flow
Guidance and Available cash flow per share Guidance are
the forward-looking metrics of these historical measures for 2024
and Available cash flow per share Ambition is the forward-looking
metric of the historical measure for 2028. Available cash flow per
share replaced cash generated from (used in) operating activities
per share in Parkland's 2024 Guidance. See following table for a
calculation of historical Available cash flow and Available cash
flow per share and a reconciliation to cash generated from (used
in) operating activities.
|
2021
|
2022
|
TTM Q3 2023
|
Cash generated from
(used in) operating activities
|
$
904
|
$
1,326
|
$
1,992
|
Exclude: Adjusted
EBITDA to NCI
|
$
(92)
|
$
(64)
|
$
—
|
Subtotal
|
$
812
|
$
1,262
|
$
1,992
|
|
|
|
|
Reverse: change in
other liabilities and assets
|
$
(11)
|
$
(3)
|
$
(16)
|
Reverse: change in risk
management and other
|
$
15
|
$
5
|
$
(87)
|
Reverse: net change in
working capital
|
$
342
|
$
139
|
$
(286)
|
Include: maintenance
capital expenditures
|
$
(217)
|
$
(253)
|
$
(310)
|
Include: dividends from
investments
|
$
14
|
$
17
|
$
22
|
Include: interest on
leases and debt
|
$
(223)
|
$
(295)
|
$
(350)
|
Exclude: interest on
leases and debt from NCI
|
$
4
|
$
2
|
$
—
|
Include: lease
principal
|
$
(142)
|
$
(177)
|
$
(216)
|
Exclude: lease
principal from NCI
|
$
18
|
$
11
|
$
—
|
Available cash
flow
|
$
612
|
$
708
|
$
749
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average
shares outstanding (basic)
|
151
|
160
|
176
|
Available cash flow per
share
|
$
4.05
|
$
4.43
|
$
4.25
|
Return on Invested Capital ("ROIC") is a non-GAAP
ratio and is composed of Net Operating Profit After Tax ("NOPAT")
and Invested Capital. NOPAT describes the profitability of
Parkland's base operations, excluding the impact of leverage and
expenses not directly related to operations. Invested capital is a
measure of the total amount of capital deployed by Parkland that
includes debt and equity, net of cash and cash equivalents
(restricted and unrestricted). ROIC is used by management to assess
the Company's efficiency in allocating capital. The most directly
comparable financial measure to ROIC is net earnings. ROIC
Guidance is the forward-looking metric of this historical
measure for 2024. 2024 NOPAT is assumed to grow in proportion to
Adjusted EBITDA. The ROIC Guidance of 11 percent+ assumes
Invested Capital increases at a slower pace than NOPAT through
2024. The ROIC calculated here differs from the absolute ROIC
disclosed in the Management Information Circular. See following
table for a calculation of historical ROIC for 2021 and 2022, the
calculation of NOPAT and the reconciliation to net earnings and the
calculation of Invested Capital.
ROIC
|
|
2021
|
2022
|
In C$ Millions
Unless Otherwise Noted
|
|
Net Earnings
|
|
$
126
|
$
346
|
Income Tax
Expense
|
|
$
36
|
$
70
|
Acquisition,
Integration and Other
|
|
$
52
|
$
117
|
Depreciation
|
|
$
616
|
$
743
|
Finance
Costs
|
|
$
323
|
$
331
|
Unrealized Foreign
Exchange
|
|
$
(7)
|
$
(8)
|
Unrealized Risk
Management
|
|
$
10
|
$
39
|
Other (Gains) and
Losses
|
|
$
190
|
$
23
|
Other Adjusting
Items
|
|
$
12
|
$
26
|
Adjusted EBITDA,
Including NCI
|
|
$
1,358
|
$
1,687
|
Depreciation
|
|
$
(616)
|
$
(743)
|
Adjusted
EBIT
|
|
$
742
|
$
944
|
Average Effective Tax
Rate
|
|
23 %
|
23 %
|
Taxes
|
|
$
(171)
|
$
(217)
|
Net Operating Profit
After Tax
|
|
$
571
|
$
727
|
Average Invested
Capital
|
|
$
7,300
|
$
8,722
|
ROIC
|
|
7.8 %
|
8.3 %
|
|
|
|
|
Invested
Capital
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
Long-Term Debt -
Current Portion
|
$
114
|
$
124
|
$
173
|
Long-Term
Debt
|
$
3,861
|
$
5,432
|
$
6,799
|
Shareholders'
Equity
|
$
2,266
|
$
2,332
|
$
3,037
|
Sol Put
Option
|
$
503
|
$
589
|
$
—
|
Less: Cash and Cash
Equivalents
|
$
(296)
|
$
(326)
|
$
(716)
|
Total
|
$
6,448
|
$
8,151
|
$
9,293
|
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SOURCE Parkland Corporation