Cardano, XRP Sentiment Plummets, Time To Be Greedy While Others Are Fearful?
07 März 2023 - 05:53PM
NEWSBTC
Data shows the sentiment of XRP and Cardano investors has plummeted
recently, but if history is anything to go by, this may be the time
to become greedy. XRP, Cardano, Bitcoin, And Ethereum All Show
Negative Sentiments As per data from the on-chain analytics firm
Santiment, price bounces have become more likely during periods of
such disbelief. The relevant indicator here is Santiment’s
“weighted sentiment,” which, as its name already implies, measures
the investor sentiment around a cryptocurrency. The metric has two
main components; the first is the “sentiment score,” which checks
whether investors are talking positively or negatively about the
given coin across social media platforms. This indicator works by
going through social text documents (things like tweets, Reddit
threads, forum posts, etc.) and applying a machine learning
algorithm to gauge the general sentiment. The other component is
the “social volume,” which measures the total number of social text
documents currently discussing the cryptocurrency in question. For
example, all social media posts that mention ADA or a synonym will
contribute to Cardano’s social volume. Related Reading: Dogecoin
Whale Withdraws $5 Million In DOGE From Binance, Bullish Sign? The
sentiment score is weighted by this social volume to obtain the
“weighted sentiment” (hence the name). Here is a chart showing the
trend in the weighted sentiments for four coins: Cardano, XRP,
Bitcoin, and Ethereum. Looks like the value of the metric has been
negative for all these coins | Source: Santiment on Twitter When
the weighted sentiment has a large positive value for any asset,
users talk a lot about the coin, and the mentions are generally
positive. On the other hand, negative values suggest the
conversation across social media is negative. The metric stays
around the zero mark when the sentiment is neutral, or there is
insufficient social volume. As displayed in the above graph,
Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Cardano all saw their sentiments plunge
during the past couple of weeks as their prices have struggled.
Now, the investors have become fearful. Santiment notes, however,
that according to the firm’s metrics, the probability of a bounce
in the price increases when investors go through disbelief as they
are right now. There is an entire trading strategy based on this
concept called contrarian investing. According to traders who
follow this idea, the best times to buy are when investors are at
their worst psychologically. Likewise, the most optimal buying
windows are when the market has the most hype. Related Reading:
This Bitcoin Metric Is Forming A ‘Triple Bottom,’ Here’s What
Happened Last Time Traders using the strategy trade opposite to the
general market, hence the “contrarian” in the name. Warren Buffet’s
famous quote also sums up the philosophy nicely: “be fearful when
others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” As the
sentiment around cryptocurrencies like Cardano and XRP has become
overwhelmingly negative now, maybe it’s a sign that markets have
hit a local bottom. ADA Price At the time of writing, Cardano is
trading around $0.32, down 10% in the last week. ADA has observed
some decline recently | Source: ADAUSD on TradingView Featured
image from Michael Förtsch on Unsplash.com, charts from
TradingView.com, Santiment.net
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