UPDATE: China Jan-Feb Copper Output Rises On Higher Prices
11 März 2011 - 5:32AM
Dow Jones News
Higher global prices prompted profit-driven Chinese copper
smelters to produce more metal in the January-February period
despite the weeklong Lunar New Year holiday resulting in a slight
on-month decline in February output.
Continued growth in copper production indicated Chinese
smelters' expectations of higher copper prices in the first half of
the year, underpinned by firm domestic demand and the prospect of
tight concentrate supply worldwide.
China's February copper output rose 3.8% on year to 386,000
metric tons, a decline of 5.6% from January's 409,000 tons, the
National Bureau of Statistics said Friday.
Total output in the January-February period rose 7.9% to 795,000
tons.
"It is a quite self-explanatory thing--the higher copper prices
are, the more smelters are going to produce, especially for those
who don't have their own mines," said a Beijing-based analyst with
a major international brokerage.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange gained 3% during
the January-February period, with the metal reaching its record
high of $10,190/ton on Feb. 15, although the red metal recently
underwent a correction due to concerns that political unrest in the
Middle East could continue to push oil prices higher, which could
eventually crimp global economic growth and reduce demand for
metals and other commodities.
Analysts also attributed the ongoing production growth to higher
treatment and refining charges or TC/RCs, fees paid by miners to
smelters for processing concentrate into refined product.
Early January, Chinese copper smelters secured a big increase in
2011 term TC/RCs with global major miners on the back of sufficient
concentrate inventories and higher spot processing fees.
Jiangxi Copper and Tonglin Nonferrous Metals separately sealed
concentrate supply deals with BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) at levels
above $70/ton and 7 cents a pound under a half-year contract.
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) offered an annual
contract at $56.5/ton and 5.65 cents/lb, or an increase of 22% from
2010 benchmark TC/RCs, according to a person familiar with the
situation.
The Beijing-based analyst said current TC/RCs around $75/ton and
7.5 cents/lb, while lower compared with $90/ton and 9 cents/lb in
December, are lucrative enough for smelters to keep
manufacturing.
China's copper production is expected to rise 7.7% on year to
4.9 million tons this year, according to projections from Beijing
Antaike, the state-owned metals consultancy.
-Yue Li contributed to this article; Dow Jones Newswires; (8621)
6120 1200; yue.li@dowjones.com
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