Dogecoin Jumps 20%, But Social Media Still Bearish: Green Signal For Rally?
07 Januar 2025 - 2:30AM
NEWSBTC
Dogecoin has made some notable recovery during the past week, but
social media users have remained bearish. Here’s why this could be
good for the rally. Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment Has Remained
Negative Recently As pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez in a new
post on X, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment still has a red value.
The “Weighted Sentiment” here refers to an indicator from the
analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the dominant sentiment
related to a given asset that’s present on the major social media
platforms. This metric is based on two other indicators: Sentiment
Balance and Social Volume. The first of these, the Sentiment
Balance, calculates the net sentiment present on social media.
Related Reading: Dogecoin Bullish Signal: Whales Make $1.08 Billion
Net DOGE Purchase It works by putting the various
posts/messages/threads through a machine-learning model to
differentiate between positive and negative posts. Then, it takes
the two counts and subtracts them to determine the net market
situation. While the Sentiment Balance does provide a rough
overview of social media, it may not always be the best
representation of the majority of the users, as all it can do is
take into account the data of the posts currently present. That is,
it only says about the sentiment of the active users, regardless of
whether they are actually a minority by count. To mitigate this
problem and achieve more accuracy, the Weighted Sentiment
incorporates the second element: the Social Volume. This indicator
measures the total unique number of posts on social media that
mention the cryptocurrency. Thus, by weighting the Sentiment
Balance by this metric, the Weighted Sentiment ensures that its
value only registers a spike (in either direction) when there is
both a significant tendency towards one sentiment and a large
number of users voicing said sentiment. Now, here is the chart for
the Weighted Sentiment for Dogecoin shared by the analyst that
shows the trend in its value over the past few months: As displayed
in the above graph, the Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment turned negative
in December as the meme coin’s bull rally hit an obstacle, and its
price reversed to the downside. The negative sentiment hasn’t
changed in 2025 so far, but interestingly, the trend in the price
has. Over the past week, the asset has seen a recovery rally of
more than 20%. The continued bearish sentiment would imply this run
hasn’t been enough to change the opinion of social media users yet.
Historically, digital assets have tended to move in a way that’s
opposite to the expectations of the majority. From the chart, it’s
apparent that Dogecoin’s tops in November were accompanied by sharp
positive spikes in the Weighted Sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Coinbase Premium Sinks To Lowest Since FTX Crash: Bottom In?
Therefore, considering that the traders are pessimistic towards
DOGE right now, chances may be that this latest rally could have
further room to run before encountering a wall. DOGE Price
Following its recovery during the last few days, Dogecoin has seen
its value climb to the $387 mark. Featured image from Dall-E,
Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
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