ASML provides updated view on market opportunities at 2024 Investor
Day meeting
ASML provides updated view on market opportunities at
2024 Investor Day meeting
Positioned for significant growth in revenue and
profitability in this decade
VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands, November 14, 2024 – At its 2024
Investor Day today, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) provides an update on
its long-term strategy as well as global market and technology
trends, confirming potential 2030 scenarios for annual revenue
between approximately €44 billion and €60 billion with a gross
margin of between approximately 56% and 60%.
“We expect that our ability to scale EUV technology into the
next decade and extend our versatile holistic lithography
portfolio, positions ASML well to contribute to, and leverage the
Artificial Intelligence (AI) opportunity, and allows ASML to
deliver significant revenue and profitability growth,” says
President and CEO Christophe Fouquet.
The long-term outlook for the semiconductor industry remains
promising, given the role of semiconductors as mission-critical
enablers of multiple megatrends across society.
In addition to the growth potential of several important
end-markets, ASML believes that the emergence of AI creates a
significant opportunity for the semiconductor industry, thanks to
the potential that AI brings as the next big driver of productivity
and innovation across wider society.
These developments are expected to help fuel global
semiconductor sales to over $1 trillion by 2030, which translates
into an annual semiconductor market growth rate of approximately 9%
in the period 2025-2030.
Further, ASML sees an opportunity to increase the number of EUV
exposures through the remainder of this decade. The continued
cost-effective scalability of EUV technology is expected to allow
customers to further transfer multi-patterning layers to
single-patterning EUV 0.33 NA and EUV 0.55 NA, for both advanced
Logic and DRAM. As a result, ASML expects a double-digit EUV
lithography spending CAGR between 2025 and 2030 for both advanced
Logic and DRAM.
“The expected growth in semiconductor end-markets and increasing
lithography spending on future nodes, give us confidence in strong
demand for our products and services,” says Executive Vice
President and CFO Roger Dassen. “Based on our assessment of
different market and technology scenarios, we expect annual revenue
between approximately €44 billion and €60 billion with gross margin
between approximately 56% and 60% by 2030. We confirm our capital
allocation strategy, and expect to continue to return significant
amounts of cash to our shareholders through a combination of
growing dividends and share buybacks.”
ASML's strong industry partnerships are essential to our overall
success, and we continue to work together with industry and the
community to maintain a leadership position in ESG
sustainability.
Webcast and presentations
The Investor Day program on November 14 runs from 13:00 to 17:30
CET. The link to the live webcast can be found on our website (no
pre-registration required). The presentations and a recording will
be made available afterwards on asml.com.
Media
Relations contacts |
Investor
Relations contacts |
Monique Mols +31 6
5284 4418 |
Skip Miller +1 480
235 0934 |
Sarah de Crescenzo
+1 925 899 8985 |
Marcel Kemp +31 40
268 6494 |
Karen Lo +886
939788635 |
Peter Cheang +886 3
659 6771 |
About ASML
ASML is a leading supplier to the semiconductor industry. The
company provides chipmakers with hardware, software and services to
mass produce the patterns of integrated circuits (microchips).
Together with its partners, ASML drives the advancement of more
affordable, more powerful, more energy-efficient microchips. ASML
enables groundbreaking technology to solve some of humanity's
toughest challenges, such as in healthcare, energy use and
conservation, mobility and agriculture. ASML is a multinational
company headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, with offices
across EMEA, the US and Asia. Every day, ASML’s more than 43,700
employees (FTE) challenge the status quo and push technology to new
limits. ASML is traded on Euronext Amsterdam and NASDAQ under the
symbol ASML. Discover ASML – our products, technology and career
opportunities – at www.asml.com.
Regulated information
This press release contains inside information within the meaning
of Article 7(1) of the EU Market Abuse Regulation.
Forward Looking Statements
This document and related discussions contain
statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of the U.S.
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including
statements with respect to our strategy, plans and expected trends,
including trends in end markets and the technology industry and
business environment trends, including the emergence of AI and its
potential opportunities and expectations for the semiconductor
industry, including computing power, advanced logic nodes and DRAM
memory, statements with respect to Moore’s law and expected
transistor growth and aspirations by 2030, global market trends and
technology, product and customer roadmaps, long term outlook and
expected lithography and semiconductor industry growth and trends
and expected growth in semiconductor sales and semiconductor market
opportunity through to 2030 and beyond, expected growth in wafer
demand and capacity and additional wafer capacity requirements,
expected investments by our customers, including investments in our
technology and in wafer capacity, plans to increase capacity,
expected growth in lithography spend, growth opportunities
including opportunities for growth in service and upgrades and
opportunities for growth in Installed Base Management sales,
expected growth and gross margins in the holistic lithography
business and expected addressable market for Applications products,
expectations and benefits of a growing installed base, ASML’s and
its supplier’s capacity, expected production of systems, model
scenarios and the updated model for 2030, including annual revenue
and gross margin opportunity and development potential for 2030,
outlook and expected, modelled or potential financial results,
including revenue opportunity, gross margin, R&D costs,
SG&A costs, capital expenditure, cash conversion cycle and
annualized effective tax rate for 2030 and assumptions and drivers
underlying such expected, modelled or potential amounts, and other
assumptions underlying our business and financial models, expected
trends, outlook and growth in semiconductor end markets and long
term growth opportunities, demand and demand drivers, expected
opportunities and growth drivers for and technological innovation
of our products including DUV EUV, High NA, Hyper NA, Applications,
and other products impacting productivity and costs, transistor
dimensions, logic and DRAM shrink, foundry competition, statements
with respect to dividends and share buybacks and our capital return
policy, including expectation to return significant amounts of cash
to shareholders through growing dividends and buybacks and
statements with respect to energy generation and consumption trends
and the drive toward energy efficiency, emissions reduction and
greenhouse gas neutrality goals and target dates to achieve
greenhouse gas neutrality, zero waste from operations and other ESG
targets and ambitions and plans to maintain a leadership position
in ESG, increasing technological sovereignty across the world and
the expected impact on semiconductor sales, including specific
goals of countries across the world, increasing competition in the
foundry business, estimates for 2024 and other non-historical
statements. You can generally identify these statements by the use
of words like "may", "will", "could", "should", "project",
"believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan", "estimate", "forecast",
"potential", “opportunity”, “scenario”, “guidance,” "intend",
"continue", "target", "future", "progress", "goal" and variations
of these words or comparable words. These statements are not
historical facts, but rather are based on current expectations,
estimates, assumptions, models, opportunities and projections about
our business and our future and potential financial results and
readers should not place undue reliance on them. Forward-looking
statements do not guarantee future performance and involve a number
of substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties. These
risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, customer
demand, semiconductor equipment industry capacity, worldwide demand
for semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing capacity,
lithography tool utilization and semiconductor inventory levels,
general trends and consumer confidence in the semiconductor
industry and end markets, the impact of general economic
conditions, including the impact of the current macroeconomic
environment on the semiconductor industry, uncertainty around a
market recovery including the timing thereof, the impact of
inflation, interest rates, wars and geopolitical developments, the
impact of pandemics, the performance of our systems, the success of
technology advances and the pace of new product development and
customer acceptance of and demand for new products, our production
capacity and ability to adjust capacity to meet demand, supply
chain capacity, timely availability of parts and components, raw
materials, critical manufacturing equipment and qualified
employees, our ability to produce systems to meet demand, the
number and timing of systems ordered, shipped and recognized in
revenue, risks relating to fluctuations in net bookings and our
ability to convert bookings into sales, the risk of order
cancellation or push outs and restrictions on shipments of ordered
systems under export controls, risks relating to technology,
product and customer roadmaps and Moore’s law, risks relating to
the trade environment, import/export and national security
regulations and orders and their impact on us, including the impact
of changes in export regulations and the impact of such regulations
on our ability to obtain necessary licenses and to sell our systems
and provide services to certain customers, exchange rate
fluctuations, changes in tax rates, available liquidity and free
cash flow and liquidity requirements, our ability to refinance our
indebtedness, available cash and distributable reserves for, and
other factors impacting, dividend payments and share repurchases,
the number of shares that we repurchase under our share repurchase
programs, our ability to enforce patents and protect intellectual
property rights and the outcome of intellectual property disputes
and litigation, our ability to meet ESG goals and execute our ESG
strategy, other factors that may impact ASML’s business or
financial results including the risk that actual results may differ
materially from the models, potential and opportunity we present
for 2030 and other future periods, and other risks indicated in the
risk factors included in ASML’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the
year ended December 31, 2023 and other filings with and submissions
to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking
statements are made only as of the date of this document. We
undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements
after the date of this report or to conform such statements to
actual results or revised expectations, except as required by
law.
This document and related discussions contain
statements relating to our approach to and interim progress on
achieving certain energy efficiency and greenhouse gas emissions
reduction targets, including our ambition to achieve greenhouse gas
neutrality. References to “greenhouse gas neutral” means remaining
emissions, after ASML’s efforts to reach its GHG emission reduction
targets, compensated by the same amount of metric tons of carbon
credits that are verified against recognised quality standards.
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