US Coal Producers Brace for Weak Demand
22 Juni 2011 - 2:16PM
Marketwired
While coal demand in Europe and the United States remains stagnant,
emerging markets have played a critical role in coal's renaissance
this year. Specifically, coal shortages in China heading into the
peak electricity demand season could lead to the country boosting
coal imports. The Bedford Report examines the outlook for companies
in the coal industry and provides equity research on Patriot Coal
Corporation (NYSE: PCX) and Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE: BTU).
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According to Genscape, US coal consumption is on the downswing
as nuclear plant restarts have cut demand for coal-fired power.
Last week the firm reported that overall coal demand was down 8.8
percent last week compared to a year earlier. The US, which holds
the world's largest reserves of coal, relies on the fuel for about
47 percent of power generation, compared with about 30 percent for
natural gas.
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Even demand for hot-burning metallurgical (met) coal used to
make steel is on the downturn. In 2011, global trade in
metallurgical coal is forecast to increase a mere 1% to 260 million
mt, with higher imports from India and China being partially offset
by lower imports from Japan, according to ABARES.
US met coal prices, in particular have been on the downswing
this month. Devastating floods in Queensland, Australia had
previously boosted US met coal demand. With production recovering,
Queensland will remain the world's largest exporter of
metallurgical coal with close to a 60% share of the global seaborne
market, ABARES said.
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