- According to the Optimal Blue Mortgage Market Indices, 30-year
conforming rates climbed above 7.25% in August, the highest level
in more than 20 years, before settling to 7.07% at the end of the
month
- Overall rate lock volumes were down for the third consecutive
month, falling 1.5% from July, driven by a 1.9% decrease in
purchase volume
- Purchase lock counts were down 22% year over year and 34%
compared to 2019 pre-pandemic levels, as higher interest rates and
the tightest affordability since the early 1980s dampened
demand
- As reported in Black Knight's August Mortgage Monitor report,
signs of credit tightening have been seen in rising down payments,
falling loan-to-value ratios and higher credit scores
- Average purchase price edged lower for the second straight
month to $450K, with an average loan
amount of $352K in August
- The average credit score among primary residence purchase locks
dropped slightly for the first time since November 2022, but remains close to an all-time
high
- The share of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) continued to
fall, dropping to 6.56% of August's lock activity, as rate
offerings for such products continue to be less competitive against
fixed products
JACKSONVILLE, Fla., Sept. 11,
2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, Black Knight, now a
part of Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), announced the release
of its latest Originations Market Monitor report, looking at
mortgage activity through August 2023
month-end. Leveraging daily rate lock data from the Optimal Blue
PPE, the Originations Market Monitor provides the industry's
earliest and most comprehensive view of origination activity.
"August was another rough month for mortgage borrowers from an
interest rate perspective," said Andy
Walden, vice president of enterprise research and strategy
at Black Knight, now a part of ICE. "Indeed, 30-year conforming
rates reached as high as 7.25% late in the month, hitting their
highest point in more than 20 years. Current housing market
dynamics continue to put a damper on mortgage demand. Rates did
edge down toward the end of August, but prospective homebuyers
still face the least affordable housing market in nearly 40
years."
The month's pipeline data showed rate lock activity fell for the
third consecutive month, dropping 1.5% overall. Purchase locks,
which have accounted for 88% of all activity for the fourth
straight months, fell 1.9% from July. Longer-term, purchase lock
counts are down 22% year over year and 34% off August 2019 pre-pandemic levels. Cash-out
refinances remained relatively flat (0.3%), halting a two-month
decline but more than 85% below the peak monthly volumes seen back
in 2021. Rate/term refis increased by a modest 1.9% for the second
straight month but remain down almost 20% year over year and an
astonishing 98% off the record highs set back in 2020. Locks on
such products will likely remain constrained for some time to come,
as Black Knight loan-level data shows that less than 3% of existing
mortgage holders have first-lien rates at or above today's
levels
"Interestingly, we saw very slight upticks in both cash-out and
rate/term refinance locks in August," Walden continued. "From what
the data is showing us, much of this still very scarce activity is
occurring among first-lien holders with older mortgages, or with
particularly low balances, for whom today's rates become less of an
issue. With the purchase market essentially gridlocked, but
homeowner equity within inches of an all-time high, we'll continue
to keep a close eye on the market for further signs of whether, how
and to what degree American homeowners access that equity."
Each month's Originations Market Monitor provides high-level
origination metrics for the U.S. and the top 20 metropolitan
statistical areas by share of total origination volume. Much more
detail on August's origination activity can be found in the full
Black Knight Originations Market Monitor report.
About Intercontinental Exchange
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is a Fortune 500
company that designs, builds and operates digital networks to
connect people to opportunity. We provide financial technology and
data services across major asset classes that offer our customers
access to mission-critical workflow tools that increase
transparency and operational efficiencies. We operate exchanges,
including the New York Stock Exchange, and clearing houses that
help people invest, raise capital and manage risk across multiple
asset classes. Our comprehensive fixed income data services and
execution capabilities provide information, analytics and platforms
that help our customers capitalize on opportunities and operate
more efficiently. At ICE Mortgage Technology, we are transforming
and digitizing the U.S. residential mortgage process, from consumer
engagement through loan registration. Together, we transform,
streamline and automate industries to connect our customers to
opportunity.
Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include Intercontinental
Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE and New York Stock Exchange.
Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual
property rights of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its
affiliates is located here. Key Information Documents for certain
products covered by the EU Packaged Retail and Insurance-based
Investment Products Regulation can be accessed on the relevant
exchange website under the heading "Key Information Documents
(KIDS)."
For more
information:
|
|
Michelle Kersch
|
Mitch
Cohen
|
904.854.5043
|
704.890.8158
|
michelle.kersch@bkfs.com
|
mitch.cohen@bkfs.com
|
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content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/black-knight-originations-market-monitor-mortgage-activity-falls-as-rates-hit-two-decade-high-amid-seasonal-headwinds-301922577.html
SOURCE Black Knight, Inc.