In 2018, economic activity was affected by the poor harvest due to the severe drought that occurred at the
beginning of the year, and then due to the FX crisis. In the third quarter of 2018, the GDP showed a yearly decrease of 3.5%. The Monthly Economic Activity Indicator (EMAE) with data as of December, decreased 7% over the year, but increased 0.7%
seasonally adjusted, compared to November.
In 2018, the fiscal balance reached a primary deficit of 2.4% of GDP, which implied the over-fulfillment of
the 2.7% fiscal target agreed with the IMF.
The public sector fiscal balance accumulated a primary deficit of AR$ 339 billion, a 16% decrease
compared to the AR$ 404 billion deficit from 2017. Taking into account the interest payments over the public debt, the deficit accumulated AR$389 billion, increasing 72.9% over the year.
The inflation rate accelerated from the end of the first quarter mainly due to the pass-through of the currency devaluation to prices, and hit the record of
14.1% in the third quarter, decelerating slightly in the last quarter, reaching 11.5% and accumulating 47.6% in the year.
The labor market also began to
show the effects of the recession, with an increase in the unemployment rate in September 2018 (latest available data) to 9.6% from 7.2% at the end of 2017.
In the fourth quarter of 2018, the trade balance reached a surplus of USD 2.6 billion in contrast with the USD 3.3 billion deficit recorded in the
same period of last year.
Due to the deceleration in the activity level demand for credit declined sharply. Thus, during the fourth quarter of 2018, the
stock of loans to the private sector decreased by 4.2% compared to the 11% increase in the previous quarter. In annual terms, the stock of loans to the private sector increased 33%, considerably less than the 52.6% recorded in the third quarter of
the year.
Private sector deposits increased 11% in the quarter and 61.5% in the last twelve months, mainly boosted by local currency deposits, which grew
18.7% and 41.1%, respectively. Its important to highlight the stability of deposits, which evidences the scarce transmission of the FX crisis to the financial sector.
Presentation of the
Information
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The consolidated financial statements as of December 30, 2018 and as of September 30, 2018 are
presented in accordance with Communication A 6114 of the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) (financial statements under IFRS regulations). For a better comparison the exposed figures for the fourth quarter of 2017 were adequate according
to the current accounting framework.
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The information in this press release contains unaudited financial information that consolidates, line item by
line item, all of the banking activities of BBVA Francés (Francés Valores and Francés Administradora de Inversiones). As of the first quarter of 2018, the Banks share interest in PSA Finance is no longer disclosed on a
consolidated basis but is recorded as Investments in associates (recorded under the proportional equity method), and the corresponding results are recorded as Income from associates, as with Rombo Compañia Financiera.
As of September 25, 2018, the Banks share interest in Volkswagen Financial Services is no longer disclosed on a consolidated basis.
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The balances in foreign currency as of December 31, 2018 were converted into pesos at the reference exchange
rate published by the BCRA for such date (AR$ 37.8083/USD).
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The information in this press release may differ from the information published by the BBVA Group for Argentina,
which is prepared according to IFRS 9 and the impact of inflation adjustment according to IAS 29.
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