TIDMTT.

RNS Number : 3100A

TUI Travel PLC

29 March 2012

29 March 2012

TUI Travel PLC

("TUI Travel")

Pre-Close Trading Update

Prior to entering its close period ahead of reporting its Interim results for the six months ending 31 March 2012 on 8 May 2012, TUI Travel PLC announces the following update on current trading.

Highlights

 
  --     Overall trading remains in line with our expectations. 
  --     UK Winter trading exceeding expectations: 
                --   Strong demand in the lates booking period. 
                --   Improved yields and load factors. 
                --   Out-performing the market. 
  --     Summer 2012 volumes have improved in all key markets since our 
          last update. 
  --     UK Summer 2012 controlled distribution at 90% with online sales 
          accounting for just under half of this. 
  --     Differentiated products continue to outperform the market in 
          summer 2012: 
                --   UK 63% of bookings - up seven percentage points on prior 
                      year. 
                --   Nordics 78% of bookings - up five percentage points on 
                      prior year. 
  -- -   Demand for North Africa remains weak, particularly in France. 
  --     Business improvement programme progressing to plan. 
  --     In A&D, Summer 2012 bookings are up 19% and sales up 32% versus 
          the prior year. 
 

Peter Long, Chief Executive of TUI Travel PLC, commented

"We are pleased with our Winter performance, particularly in the UK, where our focus on differentiated product and online distribution is resulting in us out-performing the market.

"Summer 2012 volumes have improved in all key markets since our last update. We are pleased with the development of bookings and pricing in the UK, where we continue to out-perform the market and have a strong performance in online sales.

"In addition, our business improvement programme is progressing according to plan. We remain confident that these self-help measures, coupled with our strategy, will help us to deliver in the current challenging macro-economic environment."

CURRENT TRADING

Winter 2011/12

Winter programmes across all markets are almost fully sold, with load factors ahead of the prior year and strong late bookings.

Since our last announcement the cumulative bookings position has improved in all of our key source markets. As a result we have fewer holidays left to sell than at this stage last year, which has allowed pricing levels to be maintained in the lates market.

In the UK, booked load factor is currently 90% which is slightly ahead of this stage in the previous year. We are pleased with our price performance, with average selling prices up 4% due to inflationary cost increases and increased differentiated product sales.

 
 Current Trading(1)                    Winter 2011/12 
 
 YoY variation%           Total ASP(2)       Total           Total             Risk Only 
                                          Sales(2)    Customers(2) 
                                                                     Capacity(3)   Left to sell(3) 
 
 MAINSTREAM 
 UK                                 +4          -4              -8            -9               -22 
 Nordic region                    Flat          +6              +6            +6                -4 
 Northern Region                    +3        Flat              -3 
 
 Germany                            +4          +2              -2           -14               -11 
 Austria                            -1          -2              -1 
 Switzerland                       -13         -15              -1 
 Poland                             +9         +46             +34 
 Central Europe                     +3          +2              -1 
 
 France tour operators              +1          -7              -7 
 Belgium                            -3          +5              +8 
 Netherlands                        +6         +26             +19 
 Western Europe                     +1          +6              +5 
 
 SPECIALIST & ACTIVITY             N/A          +8             N/A 
 A&D(4)                             +4         +20             +15 
 
 

(1) These statistics are up to 25 March 2012 (2) These statistics relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk (3) These statistics include all risk capacity programmes (4) These statistics refer to online accommodation businesses only; sales refer to total transaction value (TTV) and customers refers to roomnights

Summer 2012

Since our last announcement we are pleased with our trading performance in all our key markets with the exception of France.

Trading in the UK continues to outperform the market, with 48% of the programme sold to date which is in line with the prior year. Average selling price is currently up 8% reflecting cost base inflation of approximately 5% and the continued increase in differentiated product sales. Our differentiated products which are difficult for all our competitors to replicate continue to perform strongly, and currently account for 63% of UK bookings, up seven percentage points on prior year. We have continued to increase the proportion of holidays sold online with 40% booked online for Summer 2012, up five percentage points versus the prior year.

In the Nordic region trading has been encouraging since our last update, with volumes continuing to trend towards our flat year on year capacity. To date we have sold 50% of the programme (broadly in line with the prior year) and differentiated content continues to increase within the sales mix with these products accounting for 78% of bookings to date up five percentage points on the prior year.

In Germany, where the programme is 50% sold (broadly in line with the prior year), trading for Greece and North Africa remains challenging, however since the last announcement we have begun to see an improvement in demand.

In France trading has been challenging due to the continued slow recovery of North Africa and the prevailing economic conditions. The forthcoming Presidential elections have also impacted volumes for the early part of the Summer season, for which we are managing capacity accordingly.

In Belgium where the programme is now 45% sold, the later booking profile continues and in the Netherlands trading is 4% behind last year with 48% of the programme sold.

Sales in Specialist & Activity are up 7% on prior year. The Adventure division continues to be affected by lower demand for North Africa and there continues to be weaker demand for gap year travel in the Education division, however, trading in the Sport division has been strong due to events such as the Olympics and the 2012 UEFA European Championships.

In A&D, Summer 2012 bookings are up 19% and sales up 32% versus the prior year, driven by both the B2B (bookings up 20%) and B2C (bookings up 13%) divisions. The strong trends experienced in the Winter season have continued for Summer 2012.

 
 YoY customer booking variation %        Cumulative        Bookings since previous       Cumulative 
                                      bookings at 29 Jan      trading statement       bookings at 25 Mar 
 
 UK                                                   -7                        -5                    -6 
 Nordic region                                        -8                        +6                    -2 
 Germany                                              -4                        +7                  Flat 
 France tour operators                               -13                       -20                   -17 
 Belgium                                              -1                        -3                    -2 
 Netherlands                                          -6                        -1                    -4 
----------------------------------  --------------------  ------------------------  -------------------- 
 
 
 Current Trading(1)                     Summer 2012 
 
 YoY variation%           Total ASP(2)       Total           Total             Risk Only 
                                          Sales(2)    Customers(2) 
                                                                     Capacity(3)   Left to sell(3) 
 
 MAINSTREAM 
 UK                                 +8          +1              -6            -7                -7 
 Nordic region                      +1        Flat              -2          Flat                +4 
 Northern Region                    +7          +1              -6 
 
 Germany                            +1          +1            Flat            -8               -10 
 Austria                          Flat          -4              -4 
 Switzerland                        -6          +1              +7 
 Poland                             +3         +31             +28 
 Central Europe                     +1          +1              +1 
 
 France tour operators              +3         -14             -17 
 Belgium                            -5          -6              -2 
 Netherlands                        +4        Flat              -4 
 Western Europe                   Flat          -6              -5 
 
 SPECIALIST & ACTIVITY             N/A          +7             N/A 
 A&D(4)                            +12         +32             +19 
 
 

(1) These statistics are up to 25 March 2012

(2) These statistics relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk (3) These statistics include all risk capacity programmes (4) These statistics refer to online accommodation businesses only; sales refer to total transaction value (TTV) and customers refers to roomnights

Fuel/Foreign exchange

We are largely hedged for the current financial year, which gives us certainty of costs when planning capacity and pricing. Jet fuel costs account for approximately 10% of our cost base and at current market rates we estimate our fuel costs would increase by circa 10% for 2013.

 
                        Winter 2011/12   Summer 2012   Winter 2012/13 
 Euro                        100%            97%            74% 
 US Dollars                  93%             93%            69% 
 Jet Fuel                    94%             86%            60% 
 As at 22 March 2012 
---------------------  ---------------  ------------  --------------- 
 

Outlook

We continue to operate in a challenging geopolitical and economic environment. Despite this, Summer 2012 volumes have improved in the key markets of the UK, Nordics and Germany since our last update. Trading in France, however, remains difficult where bookings for North Africa are weaker than originally anticipated. Demand for our differentiated product continues to increase and we remain confident in the flexibility of our business model to match profitable demand and deliver clear self-help measures through the business improvement programme.

Enquiries:

 
 Analysts & Investors 
 Will Waggott, Chief Financial Officer              Tel: +44 (0)1582 645 334 
 Andy Long, Head of Strategy & Investor Relations   Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 795 
 
 Press 
 Lesley Allan, Corporate Communications Director    Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 774 
 Michael Sandler / Kate Hough (Hudson Sandler)      Tel: +44 (0)20 7796 4133 
 

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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