MIAMI, Sept. 10,
2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Buckley Capital
Management, LLC, together with its affiliates (collectively, "we"
or "Buckley"), a top 15 shareholder of International Workplace
Group plc (LSE: IWG)
("IWG" or the "Company"), today issued an open letter
to IWG's Board of Directors and management team
regarding opportunities to maximize value for all
shareholders.
A full copy of the letter is below:
Dear Members of the Board of Directors and Management:
Buckley Capital Management, LLC, together with its affiliates
(collectively, "we" or "Buckley"), is a long-term shareholder of
International Workplace plc ("IWG" or the "Company").
As you know, Buckley Capital Management is a Miami-based investment firm specializing
primarily in North American small and mid-cap value stocks. Our
focus is on identifying and investing in high-quality companies
with strong growth potential trading at an attractive value
multiple. This typically means businesses that are trading below
10x earnings that are growing earnings more than 10% per year. The
average PE multiple in our portfolio today is 9x with a 17% average
earnings growth rate. We collaborate closely with boards and
management teams to unlock value and drive sustainable long-term
growth, benefiting all shareholders. We are trusted to manage
capital on behalf of family offices, foundations, ultra-high net
worth and high net worth individuals. In addition, with 95%+ of our
Partners' investable net worth committed to our funds, we ensure a
strong alignment of interests with our investors and the companies
in which we invest.
Over the past few months, we have greatly appreciated your
constructive engagement as we've shared our detailed perspectives
and concerns regarding the Company, along with our recommendations
for enhancing long-term value. We have been particularly impressed
by the recent changes that have been implemented regarding investor
relations and management guidance. We believe that IWG is
misperceived by the investment community as lacking sufficient
credibility, which is a primary reason for the mispricing of the
Company's shares. However, the Company's new CFO and head of
investor relations have taken the thoughtful approach of under
promising and over delivering. Accordingly, the Company has started
to beat consensus estimates since they joined, after a long history
of past disappointments. We view the Company's mid-term targets as
highly conservative and believe that as the market begins to
recognize this in the coming year the valuation will adjust to
reflect its attractive growth and business transformation. We
have enjoyed our dialogues with Charlie
Steel and Richard Manning. In
our most recent meeting on August
29th, we discussed in detail why we believe the
Company should embark on a share buyback program when the company
reaches 1x net debt/EBITDA and commit to the market that the
Company will pursue a US listing in short order. We outline these
recommendations further in this letter.
We have chosen to issue this letter publicly to encourage an
open and transparent discussion around our recommendations. By
engaging all shareholders in this important dialogue, we can ensure
that all parties have the opportunity to consider our perspectives
and contribute to the conversation on enhancing long-term value.
Based on our prior conversations with other shareholders, we
believe the ideas outlined in this letter would be strongly
supported by your investor base and we encourage you to speak with
them.
IWG is an Exceptional Company with Solid Fundamentals,
Positioned to Lead in the New Era of Work
We were initially compelled to invest in IWG in February 2023 due to our confidence in the
business' ability to grow FCF/share at over 25% per year and our
belief that with the success of the managed and franchised model
that the Company would eventually trade at 9-11x EBITDA. We thought
there was 300-600% upside in IWG's shares over a multi-year time
frame as management executes a strategy we believe has a high
probability of succeeding.
Over the last 35 years, IWG has executed to become the
undisputed leader in the coworking office market. The Company is
now best positioned to benefit from the secular trend towards
flexible leases and is in the process of transforming its business
to a managed and franchised model with significantly lower capital
requirements, higher cash conversion and greater stability. The
Company has increased its group revenue from approximately £2.65
billion in 2019 to an expected £3.44 billion in
2024.1 This growth has come despite facing two
major headwinds in the past decade that are now behind: (1) COVID,
and (2) a well-funded competitor (WeWork) who incinerated enormous
amounts of capital attempting to grow, thereby suppressing industry
returns. More importantly, IWG's growth profile is now set to
materially inflect while its net growth capital expenditure should
significantly decline, from £142.5 million in 2021 to £40 million
in 2024. Based on the Company's market dominance, accelerating
growth, lower capital requirements, higher FCF conversion, and
greater stability, we believe that IWG's shares should be trading
at a higher valuation multiple today than in the past.
Undervalued and Misunderstood, Despite its Outstanding
Position
Despite these factors, and the fact that the Company's adjusted
EBITDA is on track to reach a record high this year, the Company's
share price continues to languish and is currently down
approximately 50% over the last five years. It is clear to us that
there exists a significant dislocation between the current share
price and the intrinsic value of the Company, despite management's
efforts to improve communications and financial disclosures to the
investor community. This growth in EBITDA, combined with a decline
in its share price, has caused the Company's valuation to compress
from 7.2x EBITDA in 2019 to 5.1x consensus 2024E EV/EBITDA
today.2 Now trading at less than 10x 2025 FCF, with
FCF/share expected to grow at a 25%+ rate, we believe the shares
are dramatically undervalued given the quality and predictability
of the Company's future growth, prospects for margin expansion, and
stronger free cash flow generation.
We agree with the Company's assessment that IWG's capital-light
platform model aligns more closely with comparable platform
businesses, rather than traditional brick-and-mortar serviced
office companies it tends to be likened to. Companies operating in
this way typically command significantly higher valuation
multiples. While there are no exact comparables for IWG, the comp
table in the Appendix to this letter shows the disconnect between
IWG's valuation and the valuation of Managed and Franchised and
Worka Segment Comparables. Our analysis indicates a notable share
price discrepancy relative to these comparables, suggesting a Fair
Value closer to GBP 3.92, reflecting
a significant gap between the Company's robust fundamentals and its
current market valuation.
We are concerned that efforts by IWG's management to articulate
the investment merits of the Company have fallen on deaf ears, and
further action needs to be taken to unlock the Company's intrinsic
value. Therefore, we believe the Board should initiate a major
share buyback as soon as the Company reaches its 1x net debt/EBITDA
target. Simultaneously, we believe that the Board should expedite
the re-listing of IWG's shares onto a US stock exchange.
We urge the Board to Execute a Share Buyback Program
The transition to a capital-light model has produced a
significant boost to IWG's free cash flow conversion. We hope that
1x net debt/EBITDA is not the intended capital allocation policy
long term. We believe a higher net debt to EBITDA - between
1.5-2.0x - makes sense longer term allowing IWG to be more
aggressive with buybacks. Our analysis demonstrates that IWG could
return over £2bn to shareholders through free cash flow and capital
structure optimization between now and 2028, which would total more
than the market cap today. While we understand it makes sense to be
at 1x net debt/EBITDA in the short term, we would like to see the
longer-term leverage levels higher given the shift to a higher
quality revenue stream in the managed and franchised business.
As the Company's capital-light model begins to generate
significant fee income in the next 12-24 months, the valuation
multiple of IWG should rise significantly. We are very encouraged
by the strength of the early cohorts in the Managed and Franchised
segment and believe that will be a significant driver of value
going forward, with a positive inflection in 2025. Therefore, it is
imperative for the Company to start buying back shares as soon as
the 1x net debt/EBITDA target is reached to take advantage of the
significantly discounted prices that exist today. Our analysis
shows that IWG shares can generate a 30% IRR or better from today's
prices, which can be improved by an accelerated share
repurchase.
IWG Belongs on a US Exchange
We believe that moving IWG's listing to the US presents a
strategic opportunity to enhance shareholder value and we support
the Company's efforts to explore this option.
The Company already has a meaningful presence in the US, despite
trading in the UK: 50% of its revenues and more than 50% of profits
are generated in North America. It
is for this reason that the Company has already taken steps to
adopt the American GAAP accounting standard and switch its
reporting currency to USD.
In addition to this, trading on the London Stock Exchange is not
rewarding IWG with the valuation multiple we believe it deserves.
In contrast, we believe that a US listing would expose IWG to a new
and more liquid market with investors who have greater appreciation
of its leverage levels and business model. Additional positive
share price impact can be expected from more passive buying from US
indices than passive selling from UK indices. The more efficient
capital market in the US can help the Company realize intrinsic
value in a timelier manner, which the UK market has failed to do
over the last five years.
As an example, CRH plc, a leading provider of building materials
based in Ireland, is a successful
case of a European company benefiting from a US listing. Since
moving its primary listing to the US on September 25th, 2023, CRH's stock price has
increased 51.4%. We believe IWG choosing to re-list in the US would
allow the Company to garner a higher multiple and potentially use
its stock as a currency for acquisitions.
The management's decision to switch its reporting currency and
adopt the American GAAP accounting standard is a step in the right
direction. However, we urge management to accelerate its efforts
and commit to a US listing immediately. Expediting these steps will
allow IWG to fully capitalize on its North American business,
enhance public-market multiples, and unlock significant shareholder
value.
Sale to Private Investors
If a US listing and share buybacks do not cause a significant
rerating in IWG's shares, we are convinced that management should
explore a sale of the business in the private markets to realize
the Company's intrinsic value.
There has been rumored interest in 2018 from financial buyers at
prices much higher than current levels, between 9-10x
EBITDA. Firms such as Terra
Firma, TDR Capital, Starwood, and Lone Star were rumored to have expressed
interest back in 2018. Today, IWG is in much better shape, with a
higher quality revenue mix, greater profitability, significantly
improved competitive position, and clearer growth prospects. Yet it
is trading at a significantly lower multiple. Given the significant
interest in the past, if the public market fails to recognize IWG's
value, we strongly recommend that management consider selling the
Company.
There are a litany of public-company comparables that point to
significant upside in IWG. The average of public-company
comparables for the Worka and Managed & Franchised segment
trades at an average NTM EBITDA multiple of 12.5x and 15.6x
respectively. IWG's Owned & Operated segment has historically
traded at ~7.5x over the past 20 years. These valuations would lead
to significantly more than 100% upside for IWG shareholders from
today's levels.
Conclusions
While we have been encouraged by our discussions with the
Company thus far, the Board and management must take more immediate
action to fully unlock the true value of the Company. As such, we
strongly encourage the Board to embark on a meaningful share
buyback program and to immediately appoint advisors to proceed with
a relisting in the US.
The time for action is now—these steps are crucial to ensuring
that the Company realizes its full potential and delivers the value
that shareholders deserve.
We aim to work collaboratively and constructively with the Board
and management to maximize shareholder value and look forward to
continuing a positive dialogue.
Sincerely,
Zack Buckley
Buckley Capital Partners LP
About Buckley Capital:
Miami-based investment firm
specializing primarily in North American small and mid-cap value
stocks.
Appendix
Below is a list of Public Comps for IWG:
Worka Segment Comparables:
Public
Company
|
Market Cap
|
Avg. 3 Yr
EBITDA Margin
|
Forward 3 Yr
EBITDA CAGR
|
NTM
EV/EBITDA
|
Booking
Holdings Inc.
|
126,041
|
31.30 %
|
16.09 %
|
15.6x
|
Airbnb, Inc.
|
88, 598
|
18.47 %
|
51.38 %
|
15.8x
|
Expedia Group,
Inc.
|
16,912
|
12.8 %
|
28.44 %
|
6.1x
|
Group
Average
|
|
20.86 %
|
31.97 %
|
12.5x
|
Managed/Franchised Segment Comparables:
Public
Company
|
Market Cap
($M)
|
Avg. 3 Yr
EBITDA Margin
|
Forward 3 Yr
EBITDA CAGR
|
NTM
EV/EBITDA
|
Marriott
International,
Inc.
|
63,990
|
64.87 %
|
10.40 %
|
15.1 x
|
Hilton Worldwide
Holdings Inc.
|
53,677
|
55.40 %
|
18.38 %
|
17.9x
|
InterContinental
Hotels Group
PLC
|
16,134
|
27.47 %
|
9.51 %
|
15.0x
|
Hyatt Hotels
Corporation
|
14,907
|
10.90 %
|
25.18 %
|
14.3x
|
Group
Average
|
|
39.66 %
|
15.87 %
|
15.6x
|
Private Market Bid for IWG:
Private Equity
Bidders
|
Post
Valuation
|
Valuation/EBITDA
|
Date
Canceled
|
Starwood Capital Group,
Terra
Firma, TDR Capital and Prime
Opportunities
|
4,200
|
9.2 x
|
August 2018
|
Onex and Brookfield
Asset
Management
|
3,740
|
7.8 x
|
February
2018
|
Sum of the Parts Valuation:
|
Segment Enterprise
Value
|
2025E
EBITDA
|
25E
EV/EBITDA
|
Worka
|
1,560
|
130
|
12.0 x
|
Managed &
Franchised
|
758
|
513
|
15.0 x
|
Owned &
Operated
|
2,573
|
343
|
7.5 x
|
IWG Enterprise
Value
|
4,891
|
Net Debt
|
608
|
IWG Equity
Value
|
4,283
|
S/O
|
1,092
|
Fair
Value(GBP)
|
3.92
|
Implied
Multiple
|
9.3 x
|
*Refers to Contribution margin as opposed to EBITDA
Contacts
For Investors:
Buckley Capital Partners LP
Zack Buckley
Zack@buckleycapitalpartners.com
For Media:
Greenbrook Advisory
Rob White / Teresa Berezowski
BuckleyCapital@greenbrookadvisory.com
1 NTD –Bloomberg data
2 NTD – Bloomberg data
3 - Refers to Contribution Margin as opposed to
EBITDA
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