As Yen Weakens, Currency Hedged ETFs Soar - ETF News And Commentary
13 März 2013 - 5:01PM
Zacks
The story of Japan’s latest attempt at economic revival
commenced when the government under Prime Minister, Shinzo Abe,
took control. Shinzo Abe’s goals clearly focused on monetary policy
easing, debt financing, considerable spending on infrastructure and
bringing back inflation in order to boost Japan higher (Play a
Resurgent Japan with These Three ETFs).
Shinzo Abe appears to be quite successful at least on one count,
namely in the depreciation of the yen. Earlier, the Bank of Japan
was unwilling to expand credit in the economy which had resulted in
the yen appreciating excessively. The restrictive monetary policy
and rising yen acted as a huge drag on the industrial production of
Japan.
Yet when Shinzo Abe came to power, he forced the Bank of Japan
to implement an unlimited monetary easing policy in order to weaken
and stabilize the currency. Abe has also set a target for inflation
at 2% in order to reverse decades of deflation or flat
prices.
The aggressive monetary policy and expectation of further
easing, have reduced the yen to lower levels. In fact, investors
now need about 96 yen to buy a single dollar, a figure that is up
24% in just the past six months (Japanese Yen ETFs: Any Hope in
2013?).
However, depreciation beyond 100 may make the situation complex,
as it will result in imports getting expensive. Japan imports most
of its oil and liquefied natural gas and a depreciation of the yen
above 100 will raise the cost of imports for these vital goods.
With the continuous fall in the value of yen, Japanese ETFs that
are designed to provide hedge against any fall in the currency
continue to rally. Both currency-hedged ETFs – WisdomTree Japan
Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) and db-X MSCI Japan Currency-Hedged Equity
Fund (DBJP) – have exhibited strong performances after the cabinet
attempted to revive the economy through aggressive monetary
easing.
Investors should note that both DXJ and DBJP have posted solid
gains of approximately 34.85% and 36.7%, respectively, over a
period of six months. We have briefly discussed both the ETFs below
for those expecting further yen depreciation and strong Japanese
stock prices:
WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund
(DXJ)
DXJ was one of the best performing ETFs in the Japanese ETF
space after the government attempted to revive the economy through
aggressive monetary easing policies. In fact, the fund is one of
the top developed market funds over the past half year.
This Japanese ETF has also been designed to provide a hedge
against currency exposure, precisely the reason why the ETF
experienced a huge amount of inflows in the past months (Currency
Hedged ETFs: Top International Picks?).
In terms of holdings, the fund offers a broader play on Japanese
stocks providing exposure to 274 equities. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Group, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co and Canon Inc are the top three
choices of the fund.
For sectors, Industrials dominate the holding pattern while
Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, Health Care and
Materials also get double-digit allocation in the fund. The fund
charges a fee of 48 basis points on an annual basis.
db-X MSCI Japan Currency-Hedged Equity Fund
(DBJP)
With the yen sliding, DBJP is also an interesting option to pick
with the Japanese economy set to revive after four years of
continuous recession and decades of deflation. DBJP tracks the MSCI
Japan US Dollar Hedged Index, which provides exposure to Japanese
equity markets and hedges the Japanese yen to the U.S. dollar by
selling Japanese yen forwards (Is It Time To Buy The Hedged
Currency ETFs?).
However, DBJP does not appear to be as popular as DXJ. Since its
inception, the fund could manage to amass an asset base of $5.6
million and trade at very low volume levels. In terms of total
portfolio, like DXJ, it also has its asset base spread across a
large basket of 269 securities.
Among sectors exposure, Industrials is the top priority followed
by Consumer Cyclical and Financial Services. This fund’s expense
ratio is just 3 basis points higher than DXJ, charging a fee of 51
basis points on an annual basis.
Conclusion
If the measures taken by the government to ease monetary policy
work and result in further depreciation of the yen, it could favor
an export oriented economy like Japan. Japan relies more on exports
for growth and both of the aforementioned ETFs could be big
beneficiaries as a result.
This is also important to remember for those out there who have
‘regular’ Japanese ETFs like EWJ, as these could be hurt by the
weakened currency, even if in nominal terms assets appreciate.
Thus, investors will have to weigh the pros and cons of currency
hedging, and especially in the case of Japan. Since it appears to
be the country’s stated goal to weaken the currency and boost
inflation though, a look to these hedged products may be the way to
go for the time being in the Japanese ETF space.
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DB-XT MS JAP HD (DBJP): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
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