Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd. (“
Tamarack” or the
“
Company”) (TSX:TVE) is pleased to announce its
financial and operating results for the three months ended March
31, 2018. Selected financial and operational information is
outlined below and should be read in conjunction with Tamarack’s
unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements
(“Financial Statements”) for the three months ended March 31, 2018
and related management’s discussion and analysis (“MD&A”) which
are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on Tamarack’s website
at www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Q1 2018 Financial and Operating Highlights
- Achieved record corporate production in Q1/18 of 23,532 boe/d,
up 3% over Q4/17 of 22,807 boe/d and up 32% over Q1/17 volumes of
17,796 boe/d.
- Oil and natural gas liquids (“NGL”) weighting was 63% in Q1/18
compared to 57% in the same period of 2017, representing an
increase of 11%, which positively contributed to the Company’s
stronger netbacks year-over-year.
- Total adjusted operating field netbacks (previously referred to
as “adjusted funds flow”; see Non-IFRS Measures) increased 81% to
$58.5 million in Q1/18 ($0.26/share basic and $0.25/share diluted),
from $32.4 million in Q1/17 ($0.15/share basic and diluted).
- Maintained healthy net debt to annualized Q1/18 adjusted
operating field netback ratio of 0.8 times at the end of Q1/18,
compared to 1.3 times at the end of Q1/17.
- Operating netbacks of $30.11/boe in Q1/18 increased by 31% over
Q1/17 primarily due to the 11% increase in oil and NGL weighting,
and the 18% increase in the combined average realized prices for
oil and NGL.
- Net production and transportation expenses in Q1/18 were 6%
lower at $10.76/boe compared to $11.42/boe in Q1/17.
- Invested $69.6 million on drilling, completing and equipping
nine (9.0 net) Cardium oil wells, 29 (28.0 net) Viking oil wells
and five (4.7 net) Redwater oil wells. The Company also completed
and brought on production 15 (14.4 net) Viking oil wells that were
drilled in late Q4/17 and drilled eight (8.0 net) Viking oil wells
that will be brought on production in the second quarter of
2018.
- Executing on the Company’s strategy of continuing to add high
quality drilling inventory, closed one tuck-in acquisition totaling
$2.5 million in the Wilson Creek area of Alberta, adding 18 boe/d
and 3.3 (2.1 net) sections of undeveloped land. The Company drilled
two Cardium wells on these lands in Q1/18.
- Tamarack maintained the $290 million borrowing base on its
revolving credit facility (the “Facility”). The Company’s syndicate
of lenders provided an option to increase the borrowing base during
the formal annual review period, which is expected to be completed
by the end of May 2018.
Financial & Operating Results
|
Three months endedMarch 31, |
|
|
|
|
2018 |
|
|
2017 |
|
% change |
|
($ thousands,
except per share) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Revenue |
|
98,736 |
|
|
62,870 |
|
57 |
|
Adjusted operating
field netback 1 |
|
58,545 |
|
|
32,356 |
|
81 |
|
Per share
– basic 1 |
$ |
0.26 |
|
$ |
0.15 |
|
73 |
|
Per share
– diluted 1 |
$ |
0.25 |
|
$ |
0.15 |
|
67 |
|
Net income (loss) |
|
3,294 |
|
|
2,290 |
|
44 |
|
Per share
– basic |
$ |
0.01 |
|
$ |
0.01 |
|
– |
|
Per share
– diluted |
$ |
0.01 |
|
$ |
0.01 |
|
– |
|
Net debt 1 |
|
(186,732 |
) |
|
(165,561 |
) |
13 |
|
Capital
Expenditures 2 |
|
69,630 |
|
|
63,721 |
|
9 |
|
Weighted average shares outstanding
(thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
228,621 |
|
|
217,655 |
|
5 |
|
Diluted |
|
231,713 |
|
|
219,679 |
|
5 |
|
Share
Trading (thousands, except share
price) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High |
$ |
3.09 |
|
$ |
3.59 |
|
(14 |
) |
Low |
$ |
2.31 |
|
$ |
2.60 |
|
(11 |
) |
Trading
volume (thousands) |
|
30,945 |
|
|
80,868 |
|
(62 |
) |
Average daily production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
(bbls/d) |
|
13,239 |
|
|
7,891 |
|
68 |
|
Heavy oil
(bbls/d) |
|
299 |
|
|
484 |
|
(38 |
) |
NGLs
(bbls/d) |
|
1,347 |
|
|
1,779 |
|
(24 |
) |
Natural
gas (mcf/d) |
|
51,879 |
|
|
45,852 |
|
13 |
|
Total (boe/d) |
|
23,532 |
|
|
17,796 |
|
32 |
|
Average sale prices |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
($/bbl) |
|
67.92 |
|
|
63.02 |
|
8 |
|
Heavy oil
($/bbl) |
|
45.23 |
|
|
44.64 |
|
1 |
|
NGLs
($/bbl) |
|
45.14 |
|
|
26.46 |
|
71 |
|
Natural
gas ($/mcf) |
|
2.25 |
|
|
2.89 |
|
(22 |
) |
Total ($/boe) |
|
46.62 |
|
|
39.25 |
|
19 |
|
Operating netback ($/Boe)
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
realized sales |
|
46.62 |
|
|
39.25 |
|
19 |
|
Royalty
expenses |
|
(5.16 |
) |
|
(4.15 |
) |
24 |
|
Production expenses |
|
(10.76 |
) |
|
(11.42 |
) |
(6 |
) |
Operating field netback
($/Boe) 1 |
|
30.70 |
|
|
23.68 |
|
30 |
|
Realized commodity hedging gain (loss) |
|
(0.59 |
) |
|
(0.77 |
) |
23 |
|
Operating netback 1 |
|
30.11 |
|
|
22.91 |
|
31 |
|
Adjusted operating field netback
($/Boe) 1 |
|
27.64 |
|
|
20.20 |
|
37 |
|
Notes: |
(1) |
Adjusted
operating field netback, net debt and operating netback do not have
any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not
be comparable with the calculation of similar measures for other
issuers. See “Oil and Gas Metrics” and “Non-IFRS Measures”. |
(2) |
Capital
expenditures include exploration and development expenditures, but
exclude asset acquisitions and dispositions. |
First Quarter Review
Tamarack demonstrated another strong quarter
with positive momentum and results coming from each of its core
areas: the Cardium light oil play at Wilson Creek/Alder Flats; the
Viking oil play across Alberta and Saskatchewan; and the Barons
Sand oil play at Penny. The first quarter is typically one of
Tamarack’s most active operational periods which attracts a higher
proportion of capital expenditures, and 2018 proved consistent with
historical trends.
Successful Operational
Execution
During the first quarter of 2018, the Company
drilled, completed and equipped nine (9.0 net) Cardium oil wells,
29 (28.0 net) Viking oil wells, five (4.7 net) Redwater oil wells
and completed and brought on production 15 (14.4 net) Viking oil
wells that were drilled in late Q4/17. Due to the prolonged winter,
Tamarack elected to drill two additional Cardium wells, the first
of which spud on March 28, 2018, that are expected to be completed
later in Q2/18. In addition to the two wells drilled late in Q1/18,
the Company has numerous wells expected to come on production in
Q2/18 after spring breakup which will positively impact volumes in
that period, including two Cardium wells drilled and completed
during Q1, along with eight (8.0 net) Viking oil wells that were
drilled late in Q1/18. In addition, Tamarack expects to spud the
first of three wells at Penny later in Q2/18.
First quarter production of 23,532 boe/d was
slightly above the upper end of Tamarack’s first half guidance
range of 22,750 to 23,250 boe/d with an oil and NGL weighting of
63%. During the first quarter, new wells in Veteran came on stream
at higher rates than expected causing higher operating pressures in
the gathering system and production from older legacy wells being
backed out. The Company completed the second phase of the Veteran
oil battery expansion on March 21, 2018, slightly ahead of schedule
and on budget, which brought capacity up to 10,000 bbls of oil per
day. With completion of the Veteran gas plant recommissioning
expected in late Q2/18, volume constraints are expected to be
addressed and operating costs will be reduced as solution gas can
be processed by Tamarack rather than third parties. During the
first quarter, the Company invested $72.4 million in capital
expenditures and property acquisitions (net of dispositions),
funded approximately 81% by Tamarack’s $58.5 million adjusted
operating field netback (previously referred to as “adjusted funds
flow”; see Non-IFRS Measures) generated in the period.
Revenue for the quarter increased 57% over Q1/17
primarily due to increased production volumes and realized oil and
NGL prices, while revenue increased 3% over Q4/17. Increased
production volumes, a higher oil and NGL weighting and a reduction
in operating costs positively contributed to Tamarack’s operating
netback which averaged $30.11/boe in Q1/18, representing a 31%
increase compared to Q1/17. As a result of increased production
volumes from the Veteran area, where operating costs are lower than
the corporate average, overall production and transportation
expenses per boe were lower in the quarter compared to Q1/17.
Tamarack has further allocated capital to incremental projects
designed to support the ongoing management of increased production
at facilities controlled by the Company and to further reduce the
associated operating costs. The first of the two phases of the
battery expansion at Veteran in Q3/17 positively contributed to the
overall reduction in operating costs while the second phase, which
was finalized in Q1/18, will increase emulsion processing capacity
that will also reduce operating costs. Tamarack has allocated
initial costs to reactivate the Veteran gas plant which will
address current curtailment issues and accommodate the Company’s
expected production growth through 2018.
Strengthening Commodity
Environment
WTI crude oil markets remained strong during the
first quarter of 2018 and into May showed continued growth,
reaching two-year highs that surpassed US$70.00/bbl. The average
first quarter WTI price of US$62.91/bbl was 14% higher than the
average fourth quarter price of US$55.39/bbl. With significant
improvements in the WTI markets, despite widening Edmonton Par /
WTI differentials, Tamarack’s realized Q1/18 light oil price
increased 4% to $67.92/bbl from $65.08/bbl in Q4/17.
The Company’s realized natural gas prices
increased 19% to $2.25/mcf in the first quarter of 2018 compared to
$1.89/mcf in the previous quarter. This was slightly less than the
AECO daily benchmark price increase of 23% however, still a premium
to the AECO daily index for the first quarter of 2018, reflecting
Tamarack’s efforts to reduce exposure to the persistently weak
local Alberta gas market. As previously announced, effective April
1, 2018, approximately 40% of Tamarack’s natural gas production
receives pricing from various markets that have historically
outperformed AECO, including Malin (16%), Chicago (8%), Dawn (8%)
and Mich Con (8%). Tamarack has committed to continue to
proactively take steps to mitigate gas price weakness by reducing
exposure to the AECO pricing hub in concert with increasing its oil
and NGL weighting.
Outlook
Tamarack intends to continue building on the
operational momentum realized in the first four months of 2018 with
a robust Q2/Q3 2018 drilling program which anticipates the
drilling, completing and equipping of 8.5 net Cardium oil wells,
39.4 net Alberta Viking oil wells, 7.6 net Saskatchewan Viking oil
wells and 3 Penny oil wells.
In response to the current low natural gas price
environment, the Company has shut-in approximately 400 boe/d of
natural gas production. As Tamarack is currently ahead of
production guidance, the Company anticipates the shut- in gas will
not affect the original 2018 production forecast.
For the full year 2018, Tamarack is targeting
10-15% debt-adjusted production per share growth over 2017 with
increased liquids weighting and higher netbacks, while maintaining
net debt to annualized Q4/18 total adjusted field operating netback
ratio of less than one times.
In the interest of preserving and enhancing
shareholder value, the Company recently implemented a normal course
issuer bid (“NCIB”) through the facilities of the Toronto Stock
Exchange and alternate trading platforms. Tamarack believes that
its share price is undervalued at times and accordingly, will make
use of excess total adjusted operating field netbacks (see Non-IFRS
Measures) to purchase shares through the NCIB program. As of May 9,
2018, the Company spent $836,827 to purchase and cancel 243,500
outstanding common shares under the NCIB. In addition to utilizing
excess total adjusted operating field netbacks for the NCIB,
Tamarack intends to continue supplementing its attractive asset
base by completing tuck-in acquisitions within core areas where the
Company has a low-cost operating advantage. These actions, along
with increased production volumes and a higher weighting of oil and
NGL in the production mix, demonstrate the value and benefit of the
Company’s unique returns- based growth model.
The Company also announces the retirement of Mr.
Dean Setoguchi from the Company’s board of directors. Mr. Setoguchi
served on the Board of Tamarack since the business combination and
reorganization was completed in June, 2010. Tamarack’s board and
management team would like to thank Mr. Setoguchi for his numerous
contributions to the Company as a Director and Chairman of the
Audit Committee and wish him all the best in his future
endeavors.
2018 Guidance
The Company’s 2018 guidance is reiterated
below:
- Tamarack expects first half average production to be within the
upper end of the original guidance range of 22,750 to 23,250
boe/d.
- The original $195-205 million capital budget for 2018 remains
unchanged with approximately 50% expected to be spent during the
first half of 2018. The Company may elect to accelerate capital
into Q2/18 from Q3 if spring break-up ends early.
Tamarack’s key 2018 guidance is summarized in the
following table:
2018 Guidance |
Average annual
production (boe/d) |
|
22,500 - 23,500 |
Liquids
weighting (%) |
|
~64 -
66 |
Exit production
(boe/d) |
|
24,000
- 24,500 |
Liquids
weighting (%) |
|
~65 -
67 |
Annual capital
expenditure range ($millions) |
|
$195 to
$205 |
Year end 2018 net
debt(1) to Q4 annualized adjusted operating field netback(2) ratio
(including hedges) |
|
<1.0
times |
Liquidity on existing
credit facilities ($millions) |
|
~$100 |
2018 price
assumptions: |
|
|
WTI
($US/bbl) |
|
$56.75 |
Edmonton
Par ($CDN/bbl) |
|
$64.60 |
AECO
($CDN/GJ) |
|
$1.65 |
Canadian/US dollar exchange rate |
|
$0.79 |
(1) |
Refer to definition of
net debt under “Non-IFRS Measures” |
(2) |
Refer to definition of
adjusted operating field netback under “Non-IFRS Measures” |
About Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.
Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and
production company committed to long-term growth and the
identification, evaluation and operation of resource plays in the
Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Tamarack’s strategic direction
is focused on two key principles – targeting repeatable and
relatively predictable plays that provide long-life reserves, and
using a rigorous, proven modeling process to carefully manage risk
and identify opportunities. The Company has an extensive inventory
of low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily
in the Cardium and Viking fairways in Alberta that are economic
over a range of oil and natural gas prices. With this type of
portfolio and an experienced and committed management team,
Tamarack intends to continue delivering on its strategy to maximize
shareholder returns while managing its balance sheet.
Abbreviations
bbls |
barrels |
bbls/d |
barrels
per day |
boe |
barrels
of oil equivalent |
boe/d |
barrels
of oil equivalent per day |
Mboe |
thousands
barrels of oil equivalent |
mcf |
thousand
cubic feet |
GJ |
gigajoule |
MMcf |
million
cubic feet |
Mbbls |
thousand
barrels |
mcf/d |
thousand
cubic feet per day |
WTI |
West
Texas Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at
Cushing, Oklahoma for the crude oil standard grade |
AECO |
the
natural gas storage facility located at Suffield, Alberta connected
to TransCanada’s Alberta System |
IFRS |
International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board |
Oil and Gas
Advisories
Unit Cost Calculation. For the
purpose of calculating unit costs, natural gas volumes have been
converted to a barrel of oil equivalent using six thousand cubic
feet equal to one barrel unless otherwise stated. A boe conversion
ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. This conversion conforms with
Canadian Securities Administrators’ National Instrument 51–101
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. Boe may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation.
Oil and Gas Metrics. This press
release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and natural gas
industry, such as operating field netback and operating
netback.
|
“Operating field
netback” equals total petroleum and natural gas
sales less royalties and operating costs calculated on a boe
basis.“Operating netback” is the
operating field netback with realized gains and losses on commodity
derivative contracts on a boe basis. |
These terms have been calculated by management and do not have a
standardized meaning and may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to
make such comparisons. Management uses these oil and gas metrics
for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders
with measures to compare Tamarack’s operations over time. Readers
are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or
that can be derived from the metrics presented in this press
release, should not be relied upon for investment or other
purposes.
Forward-Looking Information
This press release contains certain
forward-looking information (collectively referred to herein as
“forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking statements are often, but
not always, identified by the use of words such as “target”,
“plan”, “continue”, “intend”, “ongoing”, “estimate”, “expect”,
“may”, “should”, or similar words suggesting future outcomes. More
particularly, this press release contains statements concerning:
Tamarack’s business strategy, objectives, strength and focus; an
increase in netbacks; the ability of the Company to achieve
drilling success consistent with management’s expectations;
strategies to minimize exposure to Alberta gas market fluctuations,
including hedging and diversifying gas sales; drilling plans
including the timing of drilling; the reactivation of the Veteran
gas plant; the NCIB; the payout of wells and the timing thereof;
tuck-in acquisitions in Tamarack’s core areas: oil and natural gas
production levels, including the impact of shut-in gas thereon; the
availability, terms, use and renewal of the Facility; timing and
level of 2018 capital expenditures; 2018 exit debt; forecast 2018
annual production range and liquid weighting percentage; 2018
production guidance; 2018 drilling program; and shareholder
returns. The forward-looking statements contained in this document
are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by
Tamarack relating to prevailing commodity prices, the availability
of drilling rigs and other oilfield services, the cost of such
oilfield services, the timing of past operations and activities in
the planned areas of focus, the drilling, completion and tie-in of
wells being completed as planned, the performance of new and
existing wells, the application of existing drilling and fracturing
techniques, the continued availability of capital and skilled
personnel, the ability to maintain or grow the banking facilities
and the accuracy of Tamarack’s geological interpretation of its
drilling and land opportunities. Although management considers
these assumptions to be reasonable based on information currently
available to it, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward-looking statements because Tamarack can give no assurances
that they may prove to be correct.
By their very nature, forward-looking statements
are subject to certain risks and uncertainties (both general and
specific) that could cause actual events or outcomes to differ
materially from those anticipated or implied by such
forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include,
but are not limited to: risks associated with the oil and gas
industry (e.g. operational risks in development, exploration and
production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration
or development projects or capital expenditures); commodity prices;
the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production, cash generation, costs and expenses; health, safety,
litigation and environmental risks; and access to capital. Due to
the nature of the oil and natural gas industry, drilling plans and
operational activities may be delayed or modified to react to
market conditions, results of past operations, regulatory approvals
or availability of services causing results to be delayed. Please
refer to Tamarack’s annual information form for the year ended
December 31, 2017 (the “AIF”) for additional risk factors relating
to Tamarack. The AIF can be accessed either on Tamarack’s website
at www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company’s profile on
www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of
the included forward-looking statements, except as required by
applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, “FOFI”) about Tamarack’s prospective results of
operations, production, net debt, debt adjusted production per
share, net debt to adjusted operating field netback ratio, adjusted
operating field netback, operating netbacks, operating costs,
capital expenditures and components thereof, all of which are
subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations and
qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs and the
assumption outlined in the Non-IFRS Measures section below. FOFI
contained in this press release was made as of the date of this
press release and was provided for the purpose of providing further
information about Tamarack’s anticipated future business
operations. Tamarack disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any FOFI contained in this press release, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless
required pursuant to applicable law. Readers are cautioned that the
FOFI contained in this press release should not be used for
purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
Non-IFRS Measures
Certain financial measures referred to in this
press release, such as net debt, adjusted funds flow, net debt to
annualized adjusted operating field netback, cash flow, adjusted
operating field netbacks and net debt to adjusted operating field
netback ratio are not prescribed by IFRS. Tamarack uses these
measures to help evaluate its financial and operating performance
as well as its liquidity and leverage. These non-IFRS financial
measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS
and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented
by other issuers.
|
“Net debt” is calculated as long-term debt plus working capital
surplus or deficit adjusted for risk management contracts.“Total
adjusted operating field netback” is calculated as net income or
loss before taxes and adding back items including: transaction
costs; and deducting non-cash items including: stock-based
compensation; accretion expense on decommissioning obligations;
depletion, depreciation and amortization; and impairment;
unrealized gain or loss on financial instruments; and gain or loss
on dispositions.“Adjusted funds flow” is calculated based on cash
flows from operating activities before changes in non- cash working
capital, transaction costs and abandonment expenditures are
incurred.“Net debt to annualized adjusted operating field netback
ratio” is calculated as net debt divided by annualized adjusted
operating field netback for the most recent quarter.“Debt-adjusted
production per share” represents the Tamarack’s production per
share after adjusting for debt.“Cash flow” is determined as gross
oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids revenues including
realized gains on commodity risk management contracts, less the
following: royalties, operating costs, transportation costs,
general and administrative costs and finance expenses. |
Please refer to the MD&A for additional
information relating to non-IFRS measures. The MD&A can be
accessed either on Tamarack’s website at www.tamarackvalley.ca or
under the Company’s profile on www.sedar.com.
For additional information, please contact:
Brian
SchmidtPresident &
CEOTamarack Valley Energy
Ltd.Phone:
403.263.4440www.tamarackvalley.ca
Ron HozjanVP Finance & CFOTamarack Valley Energy
Ltd.Phone: 403.263.4440
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