Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE: NOG) (the “Company” or “NOG”)
today announced a third quarter 2024 operations update.
THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
- Production estimated to be 121.6 – 121.8 MBoe per day
- Oil volumes estimated to have increased quarter-over-quarter to
record levels despite a lower 9.5 net wells turned-in-line
(“TIL”)
- Strong AFE and spud activity drove growth in D&C list to
52.2 net wells-in-process
- Repurchased 397,301 shares of common stock for $36.38 per
share
- Provides hedging update
- Reiterates 2024 annual production guidance and capital
expenditure guidance
THIRD QUARTER OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Production volumes in the third quarter of 2024 are estimated to
have averaged 121.6 – 121.8 MBoe per day. As expected, the Company
saw significantly fewer completions quarter-over-quarter, with 9.5
wells turned-in-line. The reduction in completions was offset by an
increase in refrac activity and strong well performance. Oil
production increased to an estimated 58.1% – 58.3% of total
volumes, or approximately 70,775 – 70,925 Bbls per day, an
improvement from the prior quarter despite a nearly 70% sequential
quarter reduction in TILs.
Overall drilling activity remains robust on the Company’s
properties and is building momentum into the fourth quarter. The
Company added approximately 20.2 net wells to the D&C list
during the third quarter, a 7.4% increase from the prior quarter.
The D&C list of wells-in-process increased quarter-over-quarter
to 52.2 net wells at quarter-end, up 11.2 from the prior quarter.
As a result, the Company expects a significant increase in the
cadence of TILs for the fourth quarter and remains on target for
the year.
Natural gas price realizations decreased in the Williston,
Permian and Appalachian Basins, driven by lower absolute benchmark
prices, wider regional natural gas basis and lower NGL prices
versus the second quarter. Realized prices for natural gas are
estimated to be 71% - 72% of average NYMEX Henry Hub prices for the
third quarter, lower than prior periods in 2024. Realized prices
for oil are estimated to be at a discount of $3.44 - $3.46 per Bbl
compared to average NYMEX WTI benchmark prices, a slight
improvement from the prior quarter. Lease operating costs were an
estimated $9.54 - $9.57 per Boe, modestly higher than the second
quarter.
HEDGING UPDATE
Unrealized mark-to-market gains on derivatives for the third
quarter were an estimated $208.0 – $209.0 million and realized
hedge gains were an estimated $29.5 - $29.7 million. Considering
the increased volatility in commodity prices, the Company has
continued to add to its actively managed hedging program.
The Company continues to execute its policy of protecting its
capital program by periodically entering into financial derivative
instruments with counterparties to lock in future commodity prices
on a portion of its expected production. NOG has added substantial
hedges since mid-year 2024 and has added additional oil, natural
gas and Waha, Midland-Cushing and M2 basis hedges for 2024, 2025
and 2026 periods. As of the date of this release, the Company has
over 54,650 Bbl per day of oil hedged and over 195,000 MMBtu per
day of natural gas hedged for the fourth quarter of 2024 through a
combination of swaps and collars. Additionally, the Company has an
average of over 44,300 Bbl per day of oil and 119,200 MMBtu per day
of natural gas hedged for 2025 through a combination of swaps and
collars.
SHAREHOLDER RETURNS
The Company paid dividends of approximately $40 million during
the third quarter. In August 2024, NOG declared a $0.42 per share
dividend, a 5% increase over the prior quarterly dividend, that is
payable on October 31, 2024. Additionally, the Company repurchased
397,301 shares during the third quarter at an average price of
$36.38. Year-to-date, the Company has repurchased 1,841,733 million
shares at an average price of $37.64 for a total value of $69.3
million. Shareholder returns in the form of stock repurchases and
dividends paid or declared total over $230 million year-to-date.
The Company continues to plan the annual review of its dividend
policy no later than the first quarter of 2025.
GUIDANCE REITERATED
The Company is reiterating its 2024 production and capital
expenditure guidance, and will make any adjustments to other
guidance line items in its third quarter earnings report, if
warranted.
MANAGEMENT COMMENT
“We achieved significant accomplishments in the third quarter,
including the seamless and on schedule closing of our Point
acquisition in late September,” commented Nick O’Grady, NOG’s Chief
Executive Officer. “Our oil production climbed to record levels in
the third quarter, despite a material reduction in wells
turned-in-line and budgeted capital expenditures. Having closed our
XCL acquisition in early October, it along with Point are poised to
contribute to our growing D&C list and a large slate of wells
scheduled to be put onto production in the fourth quarter and
beyond. We expect another step up in volumes, building strong
momentum as we look toward yet another year of growth.”
ABOUT NOG
NOG is a real asset company with a primary strategy of acquiring
and investing in non-operated minority working and mineral
interests in the premier hydrocarbon producing basins within the
contiguous United States. More information about NOG can be found
at www.noginc.com.
PRELIMINARY INFORMATION
The preliminary unaudited third quarter 2024 financial and
operating information and estimates included in this press release
(including with respect to production, drilling and completion
activity, realized prices, lease operating costs, hedge gains,
capital expenditures and other matters) are based on estimates and
subject to completion of NOG’s financial closing procedures and
audit processes. Such information has been prepared by management
solely based on currently available information. The preliminary
information does not represent and is not a substitute for a
comprehensive statement of financial and operating results, and
NOG’s actual results may differ materially from these estimates
because of final adjustments, the completion of NOG’s financial
closing and audit procedures, and other developments after the date
of this release.
SAFE HARBOR
This press release contains forward-looking statements regarding
future events and future results that are subject to the safe
harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the
“Securities Act”), and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as
amended (the “Exchange Act”). All statements other than statements
of historical facts included or referenced in this press release
regarding NOG’s dividend plans and practices (including timing,
amounts and relative performance), financial position, business
strategy, plans and objectives for future operations, industry
conditions, cash flow, and borrowings are forward-looking
statements. When used in this presentation, forward-looking
statements are generally accompanied by terms or phrases such as
“estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “believe,” “expect,” “continue,”
“anticipate,” “target,” “could,” “plan,” “intend,” “seek,” “goal,”
“will,” “should,” “may” or other words and similar expressions that
convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. Items
contemplating or making assumptions about actual or potential
future sales, market size, collaborations, and trends or operating
results also constitute such forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and
uncertainties, and important factors (many of which are beyond
NOG’s control) that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those set forth in the forward-looking statements, including
the following: changes in NOG’s capitalization, changes in crude
oil and natural gas prices; the pace of drilling and completions
activity on NOG’s properties and properties pending acquisition;
NOG’s ability to acquire additional development opportunities; the
projected capital efficiency savings and other operating
efficiencies and synergies resulting from NOG’s acquisition
transactions; integration and benefits of property acquisitions, or
the effects of such acquisitions on NOG’s cash position and levels
of indebtedness; changes in NOG’s reserves estimates or the value
thereof; general economic or industry conditions, nationally and/or
in the communities in which NOG conducts business; changes in the
interest rate environment or market dividend practices, legislation
or regulatory requirements; conditions of the securities markets;
NOG's ability to consummate any pending acquisition transactions;
other risks and uncertainties related to the closing of pending
acquisition transactions; NOG’s ability to raise or access capital;
changes in accounting principles, policies or guidelines; and
financial or political instability, acts of war or terrorism, and
other economic, competitive, governmental, regulatory and technical
factors affecting NOG’s operations, products, services and prices.
Additional information concerning potential factors that could
affect future plans and results is included in the section entitled
“Item 1A. Risk Factors” and other sections of NOG’s most recent
Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form
10-Q, as updated from time to time in amendments and subsequent
reports filed with the SEC, which describe factors that could cause
NOG’s actual results to differ from those set forth in the
forward-looking statements.
NOG has based these forward-looking statements on its current
expectations and assumptions about future events. While management
considers these expectations and assumptions to be reasonable, they
are inherently subject to significant business, economic,
competitive, regulatory, and other risks, contingencies, and
uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of
which are beyond NOG’s control. You are urged not to place undue
reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as
of the date they are made. Except as may be required by applicable
law or regulation, NOG does not undertake, and specifically
disclaims, any obligation to update any forward-looking statements
to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of such
statements.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241024958360/en/
Evelyn Leon Infurna Vice President of Investor Relations (952)
476-9800 ir@northernoil.com
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