Caterpillar's Profit Outlook Dims as China Slows and Costs Bite -- 3rd Update
28 Januar 2019 - 7:40PM
Dow Jones News
By Austen Hufford
Caterpillar Inc. set lower-than-expected profit targets for
2019, as China's slowing economy and write-offs on loans to
equipment customers weigh on the machinery giant.
A growing number of industrial companies have said they are
making fewer sales in China, threatening a strong three-year run
for U.S. manufacturers. Caterpillar, which makes about 10% of its
sales in China, said on Monday that lower demand is hurting its
results in Asia.
The Deerfield, Ill.-based manufacturer said it expects sales of
excavators in China to be flat this year, for instance, a sign of
faltering demand for capital goods along with a slack market for
consumer products in the world's second-biggest economy.
Caterpillar's shares fell 9.2% Monday, leading the Dow Jones
Industrial Average down 1.4%.
Caterpillar also raised its allowance for losses on loans it
makes to customers for its equipment. The company said write-offs
and past-due loans in its financing unit grew in the fourth
quarter, particularly in Latin America and for buyers of its power
generators and boating engines.
Caterpillar said it was working to reduce its exposure and risk
in those sectors. The company said the write-offs were related to
loans from "quite some time ago."
Like other manufacturers, Caterpillar has raised prices to try
to offset higher prices for fuel, labor and some materials subject
to U.S. import tariffs. Caterpillar said that didn't make up for
its higher expenses in the fourth quarter.
"Material costs and freight were adverse and worse than we were
expecting," Caterpillar finance chief Andrew Bonfield said in an
interview.
Caterpillar said, as expected, costs related to U.S. tariffs on
foreign goods including steel and aluminum came in just above $100
million over the five months of 2018 that they were in effect. The
company expects more than $200 million in tariff-related costs this
year.
The company has said it plans to raise prices by between 1% and
4% in 2019 on most of its machines and engines to offset higher
costs.
Caterpillar executives said they expect strength in the U.S.
economy, as well as higher investments from mining companies
globally, to drive demand this year.
The company set its 2019 profit outlook at $11.75 to $12.75 a
share, below what analysts were expecting. Caterpillar said it
expects a modest increase in revenue.
Caterpillar reported adjusted earnings of $2.55 a share in the
fourth quarter, above a year-earlier $2.16 but below analyst
expectations of $2.99, based on surveys by Refinitiv.
It was the first time Caterpillar fell short of expectations for
its adjusted earnings per share since early 2016, and by the
largest margin since at least 2014, according to FactSet data.
Total sales, including revenue from financial products, rose 11%
to $14.34 billion in the fourth quarter, roughly in line with
analyst expectations.
In all, Caterpillar reported a fourth-quarter profit of $1.05
billion, or $1.78 a share, compared with a year-earlier loss of
$1.3 billion, or $2.18 a share, that reflected the impact of
changes to U.S. tax laws.
Write to Austen Hufford at austen.hufford@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 28, 2019 13:25 ET (18:25 GMT)
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