Is A Major Bitcoin Dip Coming? What the Coinbase Index Tells Us
31 Juli 2024 - 5:00AM
NEWSBTC
An analyst from the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform has now drawn
attention to a particular trend tied to the Coinbase Premium Index
(CPI) which currently suggests a grim move brewing for Bitcoin.
This indicator, when placed with its Simple Moving Average over 14
days (SMA14), has often shown a significant correlation with
Bitcoin’s selling pressure, shedding light on how crucial its
impact is on the market. Bull or Bear: What the Coinbase Index
Tells Us Before diving into what the Coinbase Premium Index is
currently signalling for Bitcoin, it is worth explaining further
the essence of this indicator to grasp the credibility of it.
Notably, the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI) is an analytical tool
that measures the variance between Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase Pro
and its price on other major exchanges. A negative CPI value
suggests that Bitcoin is trading at a lower price on Coinbase Pro
compared to other platforms, which typically indicates a selling
pressure in the US market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes $63,000:
Key Indicators Signal Further Decline – Time To Sell? According to
the CryptoQuant analyst with the name ‘burakkesmeci,’ this
phenomenon has been observed more frequently after the US approved
the trading of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which currently
seems to have amplified the significance of CPI as a leading
indicator. When Coinbase Premium Index is below SMA14, selling
pressure increases “Examining the data for 2024, we clearly see
that Bitcoin price corrections have occurred when the CPI (Coinbase
Premium Index) fell below its’ SMA14.” – By @burak_kesmeci Link
👇https://t.co/Bc3N1cfh5W pic.twitter.com/tN99LNhNkr —
CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) July 30, 2024 The analyst
disclosed that for 2024, the data reveals a clear pattern: Bitcoin
often faces price corrections when the CPI dips below its SMA14.
This specific behaviour points to a bearish sentiment when the
index falls short of the moving average, signaling increased
selling activity. Currently, the CPI stands at -0.008, contrasting
with the SMA14 at 0.020. This discrepancy according to burakkesmeci
“indicates that sellers have a stronger hand in the US market.”
Bitcoin Market Performance Looking at Bitcoin’s market performance
so far, the phenomenon of a seller-driven market, as indicated by
the CPI, appears to hold true. Currently, Bitcoin trades at a price
of $65,805, marking a 3% dip in the past 24 hours and roughly 2% in
the past week. In the past day alone, the asset’s market cap has
declined by over $40 billion, a stark contrast to its 24-hour
trading volume, which has seen quite the opposite, surging from
below $30 billion as of yesterday to as high as $36.7 billion, at
the time of writing. Regardless of the price performance, a handful
of crypto analysts remain optimistic. For instance, Crypto Rover, a
renowned enthusiast in the crypto space, disclosed that Bitcoin is
currently just consolidating inside a notable bull flag pattern.
Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Back On Radar’ To Hit $80,000, Then New
ATH, Analyst Says According to Rover, “This is the worst time to be
bearish. The breakout will be massive.” #Bitcoin is basically
consolidating in one of the largest bull flags I’ve ever seen. This
is the worst time to be bearish. The breakout will be massive.
pic.twitter.com/oauSgiBNRY — Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) July 30, 2024
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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