CALGARY, March 10, 2020 /CNW/ - Crew Energy Inc.
(TSX: CR) ("Crew" or the "Company") is pleased to announce our
operating and financial results for the three and twelve month
periods ended December 31,
2019. Crew's full audited consolidated Financial Statements
and Notes, as well as Management's Discussion and Analysis
("MD&A") for the three and twelve month periods ended
December 31, 2019 are available on
Crew's website and filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Q4 & FULL YEAR 2019 HIGHLIGHTS
- Driving Sustainability: We are proud that in
2019, Crew and our industry peers continued to uphold Canada's track record for environmental
excellence, responsible extraction techniques, stringent regulatory
standards and innovative approaches to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions and be a positive contributor to a cleaner global energy
future.
- Average 2019 Production at High End of Guidance Range:
At 22,837 boe per day, 2019 volumes were near the high end of our
22,000 to 23,000 boe per day guidance range. Fourth quarter
2019 volumes averaged 22,446 boe per day, which were also at the
high end of our 22,000 to 22,500 boe per day guidance range, and in
line with Q4/18.
- Increasing Condensate Contribution: Crew achieved an
increase in condensate1 production of 13%
year-over-year, averaging 2,693 bbls per day in 2019. The Company's
continued focus on development of our higher-value ultra-condensate
rich ("UCR")2 area at Greater Septimus supported revenue
and adjusted funds flow ("AFF")3 generation in 2019.
- AFF of $81.0 million in
2019: During 2019, Crew generated AFF of $81.0 million ($0.53 per fully diluted share), 12% lower than in
2018 reflecting the impact of weaker commodity prices. In Q4/19,
AFF was $16.1 million ($0.11 per fully diluted share), compared to
$23.7 million ($0.16 per fully diluted share) for the same
period in 2018, reflecting lower realized natural gas and other ngl
("ngl" or "natural gas liquids")4 prices.
- 2019 Capital Program Concentrated in UCR Area: Net
capital expenditures3 in 2019 totaled $95.0 million, after $19.1
million of property dispositions net of acquisitions. The
majority of our expenditures were focused at Greater Septimus,
drilling and completing extended reach horizontal ("ERH") wells in
the UCR area. Crew's Q4/19 exploration and development net capital
expenditures were $26.5 million, with
76% directed to completion activities in the UCR area.
- Capitalizing on Costs and Pricing: Crew's Q4/19 capital
plan was highly successful in lowering completion costs and taking
advantage of a period with significantly higher forward commodity
prices to bring on strong initial production from newly completed
wells.
- Strengthening the Balance Sheet: During Q1/20, Crew
announced a strategic debt and cost reduction transaction, and
received $35 million in cash proceeds
following the first closing of this transaction, which was applied
to reduce borrowings on our credit facility. This transaction will
enable the Company to capture efficiencies and strengthen the
balance sheet, ultimately reducing net debt by $58.3 million with $2.1
million of annual cost savings after the second closing of
this transaction in November, 2020.
- Financial Liquidity Maintained: Crew's year-end net debt
was 2% lower than Q3/19, totaling $347.9
million and including $300
million of term debt due in 2024 with no financial
maintenance covenants, and a $235
million credit facility that was 22% drawn at year end,
including the impact of working capital.
- Efficient Operations Drive Positive Three Year Capital
Efficiency Trends: With an ongoing focus on reduced capital
costs and capturing drilling and completions efficiencies, in 2019
Crew achieved another consecutive year of declining average three
year 2P finding and development costs5, and finding,
development and acquisition costs, which totaled $5.66 per boe and $5.02 per boe, respectively, reflecting
reductions of 4% and 9% from 2018, respectively.
- Increased UCR Reserves6: We
continued to realize efficiencies at our UCR area, leveraging
improved drilling and completions designs and longer ERH wells
which improved per well recoveries with less capital deployed per
developed area. Assigned UCR reserves increased meaningfully in
2019 across all reserve categories:
-
- Total proved plus probable ("2P") was 97.3 MMboe, Total proved
("1P") was 50.8 MMboe and proved developed producing ("PDP") was
15.8 Mmboe.
- Condensate1 reserves in the area increased over 2018
with PDP up 110% to 4.0 MMbbls; 1P up 52% to 13.7 MMbbls and 2P
increased by 24% to 26.4 MMbbls.
- In Crew's UCR area the estimated net present value of future
net revenue discounted at 10% (before tax) ("NPV10 BT") for 2P
reserves assigned by Sproule to 17.5 net sections was $856.0 million which equates to $5.65 per share.
__________________________________
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(1) Condensate is defined as a
mixture of pentanes and heavier hydrocarbons recovered as a liquid
at the inlet of a gas processing plant before the gas is processed
and pentanes and heavier hydrocarbons obtained from the processing
of raw natural gas.
|
(2) Ultra-Condensate Rich" or "UCR"
is not defined in NI 51-101 and means a fairway of land at Crew's
Greater Septimus area of operations where productive zones have
high condensate rates (initial 30-day condensate / gas ratio rates
of greater than 75 bbls per mmcf).
|
(3) Non-IFRS Measure. "Operating
netback", "adjusted funds flow" and "net capital expenditures" do
not have standardized measures prescribed by International
Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), and therefore may not be
comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other
companies. See "Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas
Reserves, Operational Information and Non-IFRS Measures" within
this press release and the Company's MD&A for details including
reasons for use.
|
(4) Throughout this news release,
natural gas liquids ("ngl") comprise all natural gas liquids as
defined by NI 51-101 other than condensate, which is disclosed
separately.
|
(5) "Finding, Development and
Acquisitions costs" or "FD&A costs", "Finding and Development
costs" or "F&D costs" as previously disclosed in Crew's
February 10, 2020 reserves press release, do not have standardized
meanings. See "Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas
Reserves and Operational Information" contained in this news
release.
|
(6) All
reserves information is derived from the Company's independent
reserves evaluation prepared by Sproule Associates Ltd effective
December 31, 2019 (the "Sproule Report"). See the Company's press
release dated February 10, 2020 filed on SEDAR for a more detailed
summary of the results of the Sproule Report.
|
Financial & Operating Highlights:
|
|
|
|
|
FINANCIAL ($ thousands, except per share amounts)
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Year
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Year
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Petroleum and
natural gas sales
|
44,941
|
50,838
|
193,532
|
218,385
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow (1)
|
16,086
|
23,712
|
81,034
|
91,996
|
Per share -
basic
|
0.11
|
0.16
|
0.53
|
0.61
|
- diluted
|
0.11
|
0.16
|
0.53
|
0.61
|
Net (loss)
income
|
(6,235)
|
18,771
|
12,071
|
12,799
|
Per share -
basic
|
(0.04)
|
0.12
|
0.08
|
0.08
|
- diluted
|
(0.04)
|
0.12
|
0.08
|
0.08
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
Development expenditures
|
26,390
|
33,174
|
114,094
|
103,219
|
Property
acquisitions (net of dispositions)
|
82
|
175
|
(19,084)
|
(9,806)
|
Net capital
expenditures
|
26,472
|
33,349
|
95,010
|
93,413
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital
Structure ($
thousands)
|
|
|
As
at Dec. 31,
2019
|
As
at Dec. 31, 2018
|
Working capital
surplus (2)
|
|
|
(149)
|
(11,984)
|
Bank loan
|
|
|
52,136
|
59,904
|
|
|
|
51,987
|
47,920
|
Senior Unsecured
Notes
|
|
|
295,868
|
294,885
|
Total Net Debt
(3)
|
|
|
347,855
|
342,805
|
Common Shares
Outstanding (thousands)
|
|
|
151,534
|
151,730
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Non-IFRS Measure. AFF
is calculated as cash provided by operating activities, adding the
change in non-cash working capital, decommissioning obligation
expenditures and accretion of deferred financing costs on the
senior unsecured notes. AFF does not have a standardized
measure prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards,
("IFRS") and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations
of similar measures for other companies. See "Non-IFRS
Measures" contained within Crew's MD&A for details including a
reconciliation of AFF to its most closely related IFRS
measure.
|
(2)
|
Non-IFRS Measure.
Working capital surplus includes accounts receivable and net assets
held for sale; less accounts payable and accrued liabilities. See
"Non-IFRS Measures" contained within Crew's MD&A
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(3)
|
Non-IFRS Measure. Net
debt is defined as outstanding long-term debt and net working
capital. See "Non-IFRS Measures" within the Company's
MD&A.
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|
|
|
|
|
Operations
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Year
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Year
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
Light crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
251
|
260
|
216
|
276
|
Heavy crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
1,600
|
1,634
|
1,639
|
1,782
|
Natural gas liquids
(bbl/d)
|
2,011
|
1,832
|
2,056
|
1,761
|
Condensate
(bbl/d)
|
2,455
|
2,446
|
2,693
|
2,380
|
Natural gas
(mcf/d)
|
96,776
|
97,265
|
97,398
|
106,116
|
Total (boe/d @
6:1)
|
22,446
|
22,383
|
22,837
|
23,885
|
Average prices
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
Light crude oil
($/bbl)
|
62.85
|
38.18
|
63.24
|
65.32
|
Heavy crude oil
($/bbl)
|
44.76
|
10.38
|
50.65
|
39.27
|
Natural gas liquids
($/bbl)
|
8.66
|
14.71
|
6.78
|
23.18
|
Condensate
($/bbl)
|
63.29
|
52.85
|
64.40
|
72.22
|
Natural gas
($/mcf)
|
2.36
|
3.80
|
2.53
|
2.80
|
Oil equivalent
($/boe)
|
21.76
|
24.69
|
23.22
|
25.05
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Notes:
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(1)
|
Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include
realized gains and losses on financial instruments.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Three months
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Year
ended Dec. 31,
2019
|
Year
ended Dec. 31, 2018
|
Netback
($/boe)
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural
gas sales
|
21.76
|
24.69
|
23.22
|
25.05
|
Royalties
|
(1.97)
|
(1.67)
|
(1.77)
|
(1.73)
|
Realized commodity
hedging gain/(loss)
|
0.78
|
(0.63)
|
0.28
|
(1.22)
|
Marketing
income(1)
|
(0.02)
|
1.03
|
0.99
|
0.45
|
Net operating
costs(2)
|
(5.51)
|
(5.78)
|
(5.93)
|
(6.22)
|
Transportation
costs
|
(2.88)
|
(1.81)
|
(2.74)
|
(1.84)
|
Operating
netback(3)
|
12.16
|
15.83
|
14.05
|
14.49
|
G&A
|
(1.33)
|
(1.55)
|
(1.40)
|
(1.39)
|
Other
income
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.11
|
Financing costs on
long-term debt
|
(3.06)
|
(2.77)
|
(2.94)
|
(2.67)
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
7.77
|
11.51
|
9.71
|
10.54
|
|
|
|
|
|
Drilling
Activity
|
|
|
|
|
Gross wells
|
0.0
|
8.0
|
8.0
|
14
|
Working interest
wells
|
0.0
|
8.0
|
8.0
|
14
|
Success rate, net
wells (%)
|
N/A
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward physical sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation that was not available during the period.
|
(2)
|
Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
|
(3)
|
Non-IFRS Measure.
Operating netback equals petroleum and natural gas sales including
realized hedging gains and losses on commodity contracts, marketing
income, less royalties, net operating costs and transportation
costs calculated on a boe basis. Operating netback does not
have a standardized measure prescribed by IFRS and therefore may
not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for
other companies. See "Non-IFRS Measures" contained within
Crew's MD&A.
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COMMITMENT TO ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE
INITIATIVES
Environmental Leadership is a Priority
- Crew's pursuit to continuously improve has led to a 71%
reduction in gas plant flaring intensity, having decreased the
plant inlet flared from 0.21% in 2015 to 0.06% in 2019.
- In 2019, Crew had the lowest spill volume in recent history
with a 97% reduction since 2017.
- Completion operations realized a 91% reduction in fresh-water
usage from 2015 to 2019, during which 96% of completions fluid was
recycled or otherwise non-potable water. In addition, Crew has
successfully removed 4,235 truckloads from the road by utilizing
pipelines to transfer water from completions, which enhances safety
and reduces emissions.
- Through the use of natural gas substitution for diesel in
Crew's drilling and completion operations, CO2 emissions
from drilling and completions activities declined by 20% in 2019,
having impact equal to removing approximately 230 cars from the
road for one year.
Social Impacts and Safety are at the Forefront
- We are committed to ensuring the health, safety and security of
our employees, contractors and the people in local communities and
are proud of Crew's safety performance. Since 2013, Crew's total
recordable injury frequency for our workforce (employees and
contractors) declined more than 54% through 2019, with zero
fatalities recorded, 730 days with no employee or contractor lost
time injuries and three years with no employee injuries. Crew
achieved a safety record in 2019 with a combined total recordable
injury frequency for both contractors and employees of 0.45, and
zero lost time injuries, the lowest in the Company's operating
history.
- Our 'Crew Cares' initiative has contributed to the Company
being a driving force behind Canada Action's Students for Canada
Program; supporting health and education initiatives for First
Nations' communities; partnering with land conservation
stakeholders to gather data and monitor environmental conditions;
offering First Nations learning exchange field tours and community
outreach; and supporting student employment through our annual
summer student program that has provided valuable work experience
for 17 students over the past five years.
- Based on Crew's 2019 natural gas production, more than 350,000
average Canadian homes each year could be provided with a
responsibly-produced, clean-burning, low-cost, efficient and
abundant energy source, which contributes to Canada's ability to maintain the high standard
of living currently available in this country.
Good Governance is Good Business
- Crew believes in the principles of strong corporate governance,
trust and integrity and we are committed to ensuring strong
alignment between the Board, management and shareholders. We
prioritize active stakeholder engagement and Crew's management team
hosted more than 100 meetings with investors or members of the
investment community in 2019.
- The Company's officers and directors are large shareholders
themselves, with approximately 50% of our top 20 shareholders
represented by insiders of Crew. Further, in 2019, 4.8 million
shares were purchased on the open market for the purpose of future
settlement of awards outstanding under the Company's long-term
incentive program in a non-dilutive manner, supporting Crew's per
share metrics.
- Crew's Board of Directors embraces diversity and inclusion, and
currently has 17% female representation of its non-executive
members, with ongoing efforts to continue to refresh the Board to
enhance the overall skillset and manage tenure.
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Production Stable and In-Line
- Q4/19 production of 22,446 boe per day was in-line with the
same period in 2018 while capital spending was approximately 21%
lower. Production in Q4/19 was 2% lower than the Q3/19 average of
22,824 boe per day as wells in the UCR area were shut-in for
offsetting completion operations.
- Full year 2019 production averaged 22,837 boe per day and was
at the high end of the Company's annual guidance range of 22,000 to
23,000 boe per day. The positive production contributions from 12.0
net new wells brought on line in the UCR area during the year were
partially offset by natural production declines, voluntary shut-ins
of sub-economic natural gas production, pipeline outages that
occurred during the second quarter of 2019 and a third-party
facility outage in Northeast British
Columbia ("NE BC").
- Crew's focus on higher value condensate continues to make a
meaningful impact on the Company's financial results. Condensate
volumes in Q4 and full year 2019 represented 11% and 12% of total
production, respectively, while condensate revenue for the same
periods represented 32% and 33% of total revenue.
Macro Factors Lead to Continued Pricing
Volatility
- During 2019, world crude oil prices underperformed 2018, with
the average Canadian dollar denominated West Texas Intermediate
("WTI") price declining 10% year-over-year as OPEC production
curtailments did not fully offset production growth from U.S. shale
oil and slowing global oil demand growth.
- Crew's benchmark Canadian dollar denominated WTI and condensate
price at Edmonton followed world
prices, declining approximately 11% year-over-year, and remained
relatively flat in Q4/19 versus Q3/19. In the last quarter of 2018,
the Alberta Government announced oil production curtailments
intended to reduce the differential between Canadian and US prices
arising from a lack of Canadian egress, which contributed to an 18%
increase in condensate prices at Edmonton in Q4/19 over Q4/18.
- Our heavy crude oil benchmark, Western Canada Select ("WCS"),
increased 18% year-over-year, decreased 7% in Q4/19 compared to
Q3/19 and increased 116% compared to Q4/18, as pricing in the last
quarter of 2018 reflected significantly wider differentials. The
above noted oil curtailment program successfully strengthened heavy
Canadian crude oil prices in the 2019 periods compared to 2018.
- Year-over-year, Crew's realized heavy oil price increased 29%,
directionally consistent with the WCS benchmark, and enhanced by
the Company's lower relative blending costs required to meet
pipeline specifications. Our Q4/19 realized heavy crude oil price
decreased 15% compared to Q3/19, and increased 331% over Q4/18, a
period of extremely wide differentials prior to the impact of
curtailment initiatives.
- Production of natural gas and ngl from U.S. shale basins had a
dramatic impact on North American prices for these products in
2019. Increasing North American ngl supply through the latter part
of 2018 and throughout 2019, coupled with moderate weather through
most of 2019, impacted ngl demand both domestically and
internationally, which put downward pressure on prices through the
year; the lowest prices were realized during Q3/19 followed by a
small recovery in Q4/19.
- Realized pricing for Crew's ngl production was $8.66 per bbl in Q4/19, compared to $0.57 per bbl in Q3/19 and $14.71 per bbl in Q4/18. Year-over-year, Crew's
2019 realized ngl price was $6.78 per
bbl compared to $23.18 per bbl in
2018. The steep reductions, which improved slightly in Q4/19, are
primarily due to the significant softening of propane and butane
prices in North America.
- Crew's natural gas sales continued to be exposed to a
diversified portfolio of North American pricing points in 2019,
including approximately 70% to U.S. based Chicago City and NYMEX pricing and
approximately 30% to Canadian based Alliance, AECO and Station 2
pricing.
- Our U.S.-focused natural gas weighting benefited Crew in early
2019 as U.S. natural gas prices strengthened due to low U.S.
inventories and early cold weather through late 2018 and the early
part of 2019. As large volumes of associated natural gas supply
were brought on-stream during the year, primarily from the Permian
basin, North American supply overwhelmed demand and U.S. natural
gas prices fell at Crew's primary pricing points. Chicago City Gate
natural gas prices at Crew's ATP delivery point declined by 36%
from Q1/19 to Q4/19.
- In Canada, natural gas markets
benefitted from supportive winter weather and low inventory early
in the year, yet lagged behind U.S. prices as continued lack of
egress and maintenance issues on Canada's major pipelines drove a wide
differential between the two markets.
- In September, TC Energy announced a Temporary Service Protocol
("TSP") that stabilized spot and term AECO pricing by reconnecting
the AECO storage and transportation markets during periods of
planned TC mainline maintenance. The result was an immediate boost
to Canadian prices and a corresponding reduction in the
differential between Canadian and U.S. prices. The Canadian
benchmark AECO 5A average natural gas price was enhanced by 173% in
Q4/19 compared to Q3/19, mainly the result of the TSP, which also
helped to deliver a 17% increase in the average annual price for
AECO 5A over 2018.
- Given a large portion of our 2019 natural gas portfolio was
linked to U.S. price points, Crew's average annual realized gas
price followed the U.S. price trend with a 10% realized natural gas
price decline in 2019 over 2018. The Company's Q4/19 natural gas
price was 21% higher than the prior quarter, due to stronger winter
prices, but was 38% lower than Q4/18 reflective of declining North
American prices over the past year.
- Overall, petroleum and natural gas sales for Q4/19 increased 8%
over Q3/19, primarily due to significant improvements in ngl and
natural gas pricing, offset by weaker heavy and light oil prices.
The 11% year-over-year decrease in petroleum and natural gas sales
in 2019 is attributable to weaker realized commodity prices, with
the exception of heavy crude oil.
Focus on Controlling Cash Costs
- Crew continues to work on lowering its controllable costs with
Q4/19 net operating costs per unit decreasing 7% compared to Q3/19
and 5% compared to Q4/18, while annual net operating costs per unit
declined 5% year-over-year.
- General and administrative ("G&A") costs per boe also
declined in Q4/19, down 2% compared to Q3/19 and down 14% compared
to Q4/18. Annual G&A costs per boe were flat in 2019 compared
to 2018 as declining costs were offset by the 4% decline in
production.
- Transportation costs in Q4 and 2019 increased relative to Q3/19
and the corresponding periods in 2018 as the Company continued to
diversify market opportunities for our natural gas production. Fees
associated with additional transportation capacity on the TC Energy
mainline and the new sales pipeline between West Septimus and the
Saturn meter station resulted in the year-over-year increase.
- Overall cash costs per boe in Q4/19 reflect lower net operating
and G&A costs per boe, although increased 4% relative to Q3/19
primarily due to a one-time royalty adjustment related to prior
years. Q4/19 cash costs per boe increased 9% relative to Q4/18,
primarily attributable to higher transportation costs associated
with Crew's access to new natural gas markets, partially offset by
lower operating costs per boe.
Financial Results Driven by Pricing
- AFF in Q4/19 was $16.1 million
($0.11 per diluted share) and totaled
$81.0 million ($0.53 per diluted share) in 2019. Relative to the
respective periods in 2018, persistently weak natural gas prices
and volatility across all commodity prices generally contributed to
declines in both absolute and per share AFF.
- Quarter-over-quarter AFF was 3% lower, reflecting higher
royalties and transportation costs and a smaller realized commodity
gain, offset by 9% lower net operating costs.
Efficient Capital Program Focused in UCR Area
- By successfully executing lower cost completions, Crew's net
capital expenditures of $26.5 million
in Q4/19 were below previous guidance of $28 to $32 million
and for 2019 totaled $95.0 million
(net of $19.1 million of acquisition
and disposition proceeds). The majority of Crew's net capital
investments throughout 2019 were directed to development within the
Company's UCR area.
- In Q4/19, $20.0 million of the
total capital expenditures was directed to drilling and completion
activities, $4.0 million was
allocated to Montney well site
development, facilities and pipelines and the remaining
$2.4 million was invested in land,
seismic, recompletions and other miscellaneous expenditures.
Balance Sheet Strength Remains a Priority
- Net debt of $347.9 million was 2%
lower than $355.1 million of net debt
at the end of Q3/19.
- Crew's debt is comprised of $300
million of term debt with no financial maintenance covenants
or repayment required until 2024, as well as a $235 million credit facility that was 22% drawn
when combined with the working capital surplus at year end.
- Subsequent to year end, Crew was able to apply $35 million of proceeds from the first closing of
our strategic infrastructure transaction to outstanding draws on
our credit facility, which totaled $52.6
million at December 31, 2019,
further strengthening the Company's balance sheet and financial
flexibility. This transaction will enable the Company to capture
efficiencies and strengthen the balance sheet, ultimately reducing
net debt by $58.3 million with
$2.1 million of annual cost savings
after the second closing of this transaction in November,
2020.
TRANSPORTATION, MARKETING & HEDGING
Active Marketing Program Underpins Strategy
- Crew's election to monetize the Company's Dawn market access
for all of 2019 and 2020 and our Malin market exposure for 2019
generated positive marketing income for the first three quarters of
2019, but the value inherent in the Dawn, Malin and Sumas markets
deteriorated due to a narrowing of Canadian and US natural gas
prices through Q3/19 as described above. As such, Crew recorded a
small loss of $32,000 in Q4/19 on the
monetization of its Malin exposure, with no impact from Dawn or
Sumas contracts as those had previously been monetized.
- For 2020, Crew's average natural gas sales exposure is
currently forecast to be weighted approximately 52% to Chicago, 8% to Malin, 15% to NYMEX, 18% to
Alliance ATP, and 7% to Station 2.
Natural Gas & Liquids Hedging
- Crew's natural gas hedges currently include:
-
- 12,500 mmbtu per day of Chicago gas at C$3.32 per mmbtu for 2020
- 2,500 mmbtu per day of NYMEX gas at US$2.48 per mmbtu for 2020
- For liquids, Crew has the following hedges in place:
-
- 1,253 bbls per day of WTI at an average price of C$77.27 per bbl for 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS differential at US ($17.25) per bbl for first half 2020
- 500 bbls per day of WCS at an average price of C$52.25 per bbl for the first half of 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS at an average price of C$51.50 per bbl for the second half of 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS differential at US ($16.00) per bbl for Q3 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS differential at US ($15.60) per bbl for second half 2020
- 250 bbls per day of EDM C5+ differential at US +$2.00 per bbl
for the first three months of 2020
OPERATIONS & AREA OVERVIEW
NE BC Montney - Greater
Septimus
- Crew completed four UCR wells under budget at our 3-32 ERH pad
in Q4/19 which averaged over 3,000 metres in lateral length per
well, the longest in the Company's history. At an average of
approximately $3.8 million
($1,278 per lateral meter) per well,
completion costs on the pad were 26% lower than Crew's previous
pacesetter pad. The impact of recent completion design and
efficiency improvements contributed to the improved capital
efficiency realized on this pad.
- Early production results continue to impress from the four ERH
wells on the 3-32 UCR pad. Over 53 production days, measured
wellhead condensate per well averaged 659 bbls per day, and raw gas
averaged 2.9 mmcf per day per well. All four wells are currently
flowing restricted through permanent facilities.
- In Q1/20, Crew plans to drill and complete a water disposal
well in the West Septimus area which is expected to further reduce
operating costs once all regulatory approvals have been received
and associated facilities are completed.
Greater Septimus
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production &
Drilling
|
|
Q4
2019
|
Q3
2019
|
Q2
2019
|
Q1
2019
|
Q4
2018
|
Average daily
production (boe/d)
|
|
18,720
|
19,648
|
19,594
|
19,535
|
18,447
|
Wells drilled (gross /
net)
|
|
0
|
0
|
1 / 1.0
|
6 / 6.0
|
6 / 6.0
|
Wells completed (gross
/ net)
|
|
4 /
4.0
|
1 / 1.0
|
0
|
8 / 8.0
|
3 / 3.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
Netback
($ per boe)
|
|
Q4 2019
|
Q3
2019
|
Q2
2019
|
Q1
2019
|
Q4
2018
|
Revenue
|
|
20.13
|
17.38
|
22.20
|
25.61
|
26.53
|
Royalties
|
|
(1.76)
|
(1.04)
|
(1.27)
|
(1.56)
|
(1.58)
|
Realized commodity
hedge gain / (loss)
|
|
0.90
|
1.78
|
0.28
|
(0.74)
|
(1.79)
|
Marketing
income(1)
|
|
(0.02)
|
1.55
|
1.43
|
1.66
|
1.23
|
Net operating
costs(2)
|
|
(3.99)
|
(4.41)
|
(4.46)
|
(4.65)
|
(4.51)
|
Transportation
costs
|
|
(2.61)
|
(2.62)
|
(2.81)
|
(1.73)
|
(1.35)
|
Operating
netback(3)
|
|
12.65
|
12.64
|
15.37
|
18.59
|
18.53
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward physical sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation that was not available during the period.
|
(2)
|
Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
|
(3)
|
Non-IFRS
Measure. Operating netback equals petroleum and natural gas
sales including realized hedging gains and losses on commodity
contracts, marking income, less royalties, net operating costs and
transportation costs calculated on a boe basis. Operating netback
does not have a standardized measure prescribed by IFRS and
therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar
measures for other companies. See "Non-IFRS Measures"
contained within Crew's MD&A.
|
Other NE BC Montney
- Tower: Crew's Tower area generated production of 719 boe
per day in Q4/19, slightly higher than Q3/19 due to decreased
downtime and continued recovery from offset completion activity.
Crew continues to evaluate the relative economics of Tower
development as well as reviewing encouraging nearby Lower Montney
well results.
- Attachie: At
year-end, of Crew's 90 net sections of land in this area,
approximately 44 net sections are situated within the liquids-rich
hydrocarbon window. Given the positive results generated by
offsetting operators, a lease retention well was drilled in January
of 2019 and another is planned in 2020, which is expected to
conclude the lease preservation program in this area.
- Oak / Flatrock: In this
liquids-rich gas area, Crew has more than 60 (52 net) sections of
land, and the Company plans to continue monitoring industry
activity and offsetting well results which have been
encouraging.
AB / SK Heavy Oil - Lloydminster
- During Q4/19, Crew recompleted six (5.0 net) heavy crude oil
wells at Lloydminster to take
advantage of robust heavy crude oil prices that prevailed through
Q3 and Q4/19, with average production of 1,600 bbls per day of
heavy crude oil, 2% lower than Q3/19 and 2% lower relative to
Q4/18, without having drilled any wells in the area in 2019. In
Q1/20, two multi-lateral wells are planned to be drilled.
- In Q4/19, Crew's realized heavy crude oil price increased 331%
relative to Q4/18 due to the narrowing of Canadian crude oil
differentials attributable to the implementation of the Alberta
Government's production curtailments on January 1, 2019. As a result, Crew's operating
netbacks at Lloydminster averaged
$15.48 per boe in Q4/19 and
$18.00 per boe in 2019.
- As a result of Crew implementing several focused infrastructure
investments designed to improve the Company's cost structure, per
unit operating costs in 2019 have remained relatively flat compared
to 2018 without drilling. Water and gas handling infrastructure,
recompletions and artificial lift upgrades have all contributed to
the stabilization of per unit costs, which has helped to offset the
impact of the federal carbon tax.
OUTLOOK
Focus on Financial and Corporate Sustainability
- The Company's emphasis on UCR drilling along with our goal of
improving margins is proving successful. Year-over-year, condensate
volumes increased 13% while Crew realized an average condensate
price of $64.40 per bbl in 2019,
almost three times the Company's realized wellhead price per boe of
$23.22.
- With longer ERH wells and the significant efficiencies and
improvements in recoveries from Crew's UCR area, we are generating
superior economic returns with a smaller environmental footprint,
lower operating costs and significantly lower development costs.
Crew's independent reserve evaluator has assigned 50 ERH
undeveloped 2P locations in our UCR area at year-end 2019.
- Crew's focus on generating an operating netback that exceeds
maintenance capital requirements in established core areas for
redeployment to growth regions is already a reality at Septimus,
and is expected to be replicated at West Septimus in the future.
Annual production decline rates at the Septimus property are less
than 12% based on the year-end Sproule Report, representing similar
performance attributes to a tight conventional reservoir.
- With net cash proceeds of $58.3
million expected to be realized through 2020 from our
previously announced strategic transactions, Crew expects to have
limited draws on our $235 million
credit facility by the end of the year, and plans to continue
pursuing strategic, non-core dispositions and other value-enhancing
transactions to monetize the inherent value of our vast asset base
and further strengthen our financial position.
2020 Full Year Capital Budget and Guidance
- On November 4th, the
Company provided a capital expenditures budget and production
guidance for the first half of 2020, which highlighted
approximately $20 to $28 million allocated to Crew's H1/20 program,
with associated production expected to average 22,000 to 23,000 boe
per day.
- Crew is pleased to build upon this first half capital budget
with the Company's Board of Directors approving full year 2020
capital expenditures of $35 million
to $45 million before acquisitions
and dispositions, of which approximately 60% is planned to be
invested in H1/20, and the remaining 40% in the last half of the
year. The timing of capital outlays is approximate and is dependent
on market conditions, with a goal of capturing optimal capital
investment value.
- This level of capital investment is a reflection of the current
extreme volatility in commodity prices and the heightened level of
uncertainty associated with the global economy. The Company has
taken a proactive approach to managing through this environment and
expects that capital expenditures will be limited, while
higher-cost or lower-netback production may be shut-in from time to
time to preserve economics. With this in mind, Crew expects to
generate average annual production of between 20,000 and 22,000 boe
per day. Our focus in 2020 will be to preserve our reserves and
resources, reduce water handling costs, optimize production and
improve financial strength through debt reduction.
- Through the first few months of 2020, oil prices deteriorated
due to softening global demand caused by the COVID-19 (Coronavirus)
impact. This situation was exacerbated in the last few days with no
agreement to cut oil supply from OPEC+ and an announcement from
Saudi Arabia that they intend to
relax all quotas effective immediately. With the spread of COVID-19
and additional oil supply expected to come on-stream over the near
term, oil prices and global equity markets are expected to remain
under pressure. The extreme supply / demand imbalance is
anticipated to cause a sizeable reduction in industry spending
which is expected to lead to lower supply over time and
improvements in pricing.
- Positively, natural gas prices have strengthened as demand for
power generation continues to grow and the fallout from lower oil
prices is expected to reduce associated gas production in the U.S.
shale basins. With a flexible and conservative capital budget, a
strong focus on capturing further operational efficiencies and
recent midstream transactions that afford meaningful cash proceeds,
Crew's responsible and prudent strategy positions the Company well
to withstand continued market uncertainty and volatility.
- The Company continues to prioritize financial flexibility and
will take steps to refine our annual capital spending plans to
maintain a strong balance sheet and focus on developing and
producing the assets which provide the highest returns in the
current environment.
Optimally Positioned for Diversified Market Access
- Crew's land base is ideally situated to access multiple,
advantageously-priced markets at differentiated sales points across
North America for the Company's
natural gas. It is proximal to the recently approved Coastal
GasLink Pipeline, represents a cost-effective and convenient supply
source for LNG and is positioned along the CN Rail line for the
potential for liquids transportation. In addition, we have access
to three major export pipelines, with industry plans in place for a
potential fourth export pipeline.
- Crew's continuous investment in infrastructure has positioned
the Company with processing capacity that would accommodate
corporate production of over 40,000 boe per day, providing future
growth opportunities at low costs.
With continued challenges facing our industry, we appreciate the
tireless efforts of Crew's employees and Directors whose commitment
and dedication is critical to the success of our Company. We
thank all of our shareholders and bondholders for your ongoing
support.
Advisories
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and
Gas Reserves, Operational Information and Non-IFRS
Measures
All amounts in this news release are stated in Canadian
dollars unless otherwise specified. Our oil and gas reserves
statement for the year ended December 31,
2019, which will include complete disclosure of our oil and
gas reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with
NI 51-101, will be contained within our Annual Information Form
which will be available on our SEDAR profile at
www.sedar.com on or before March
30, 2020. The recovery and reserve estimates contained
herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the
estimated reserves will be recovered. In relation to the
disclosure of estimates for individual properties or subsets
thereof, including the UCR area of operations, such estimates may
not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of
aggregation. The Company's belief that it will
establish additional reserves over time with conversion of probable
undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a forward-looking
statement and is based on certain assumptions and is subject to
certain risks, as discussed below under the heading
"Forward-Looking Information and Statements".
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil
and natural gas industry, such as "finding and development costs"
and "finding, development and acquisition costs". Each of these
metrics are determined by Crew as specifically set forth in its
press release dated February 10, 2020
filed on SEDAR. These terms do not have standardized meanings
or standardized methods of calculation and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and
therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such
metrics have been included to provide readers with additional
information to evaluate the Company's performance however, such
metrics should not be unduly relied upon for investment or other
purposes. Management uses these metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide readers with measures to
compare Crew's performance over time.
Both F&D and FD&A costs take into account reserves
revisions during the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate
of the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that
year in estimated FDC may not reflect total F&D costs related
to reserves additions for that year. Finding and development
costs both including and excluding acquisitions and dispositions
have been presented in this press release because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on our ongoing reserves
replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result in an
inaccurate portrayal of our cost structure.
This press release contains financial and performance metrics
that are not defined in IFRS and do not have standardized meanings
or standardized methods of calculation, such as "adjusted funds
flow", "operating netbacks", "net capital expenditures", "working
capital surplus" and "net debt". As such, these terms may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and
therefore should not be used to make such comparisons. Such
metrics have been included herein to provide readers with
additional information to evaluate the Company's performance,
however such metrics should not be unduly relied upon. Management
uses oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and
to provide shareholders with measures to compare Crew's operations
over time. Readers are cautioned that the information provided
by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics presented
in this press release, should not be relied upon for investment or
other purposes.
With respect to the use of terms used in this press release
identified as Non-IFRS Measures, see Non-IFRS Measures contained in
Crew's MD&A for applicable definitions, calculations, rationale
for use and, where applicable, reconciliations to the most directly
comparable measure under IFRS.
Reference is made in this news release to the Company's
annualized production decline rate at Septimus. The decline rate is
derived from the Sproule Report and reflects the average decline
rate of all of Crew's producing wells in the Septimus area of
operations.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward–looking
information and statements within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" "forecast" and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information
and statements pertaining to the following: as to the execution of
Crew's business plan including guidance as to its capital
expenditure plans in the first half and balance of 2020; the
anticipated receipt of net cash proceeds of $58.3 million upon remaining closings of the
Company's previously announced strategic transactions; as to the
Company's ongoing goal of increasing the overall weighting of
condensate in its production mix; the volumes and estimated value
of Crew's oil and gas reserves; the estimated future net value of
Crew's reserves in its UCR area of operations; the estimated
volumes, including shut-ins, and product mix of Crew's oil and gas
production; production estimates including first half and full year
2020 average production guidance; production decline estimates;
commodity price expectations including Crew's estimates of natural
gas pricing exposure; Crew's commodity risk management programs
including its forecast for natural gas sales exposure in 2020;
marketing and transportation plans; future liquidity and financial
capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics;
potential for lower costs and efficiencies going forward;
expectations regarding the potential impact of COVID-19, world
supply and demand projections and possible reductions in industry
spending as a result, and long-term impact on pricing; future
development, exploration, acquisition and disposition activities
(including drilling and completion plans and associated timing and
cost estimates); infrastructure investment plans and associated
production capacity; and the amount and timing of capital
projects.
In addition, forward-looking statements or information
are based on a number of material factors, expectations or
assumptions of Crew which have been used to develop such statements
and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although
Crew believes that the expectations reflected in such
forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue
reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because
Crew can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be
correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which
may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding,
among other things: that Crew will continue to conduct its
operations in a manner consistent with past operations; results
from drilling and development activities consistent with past
operations; the quality of the reservoirs in which Crew operates
and continued performance from existing wells; the continued and
timely development of infrastructure in areas of new production;
the accuracy of the estimates of Crew's reserve volumes; certain
commodity price and other cost assumptions; continued availability
of debt and equity financing and cash flow to fund Crew's current
and future plans and expenditures; the impact of increasing
competition; the general stability of the economic and political
environment in which Crew operates; the general continuance
of current industry conditions; the timely receipt of any
required regulatory approvals; the ability of Crew to obtain
qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost
efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of
the projects in which Crew has an interest in to operate the field
in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of Crew to
obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and
decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural
gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the
timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and
expansion and the ability of Crew to secure adequate product
transportation; future commodity prices; currency, exchange and
interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which Crew operates;
and the ability of Crew to successfully market its oil and natural
gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements included in
this news release are not guarantees of future performance and
should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and
statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof,
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from
those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements
including, without limitation: changes in commodity prices;
changes in the demand for or supply of Crew's products, the
early stage of development of some of the evaluated areas and
zones the potential for variation in the quality of the
Montney formation; interruptions,
unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in
tax or environmental laws, royalty rates; climate change
regulations, or other regulatory matters; changes in development
plans of Crew or by third party operators of Crew's properties,
increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate
estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve volumes; limited,
unfavourable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased
costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of
competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in
Crew's public disclosure documents (including, without limitation,
those risks identified in this news release and Crew's Annual
Information Form).
The internal projections, expectations or beliefs underlying
the Company's 2020 capital budget and corporate outlook for 2020
and beyond are subject to change in light of ongoing results,
prevailing economic circumstances, commodity prices and industry
conditions and regulations. Crew's outlook for 2020 and
beyond provides shareholders with relevant information on
management's expectations for results of operations, excluding any
potential acquisitions, dispositions or strategic transactions that
may be completed in 2020 and beyond. Accordingly, readers are
cautioned that events or circumstances could cause results to
differ materially from those predicted and Crew's 2020 guidance and
outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes. The
forward-looking information and statements contained in this news
release speak only as of the date of this news release, and Crew
does not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of
the included forward-looking statements or information, whether as
a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
may be required by applicable securities laws.
Supplemental Information Regarding Product Types
This news release includes references to 2019 production,
2020 first half and 2020 annual average daily production volumes.
The following is intended to provide the product type composition
for each of the production figures provided herein, where not
already disclosed within tables above:
|
Production
Weighting by Product Type
|
|
|
Light Crude
Oil(1)
|
Heavy
crude oil
|
Natural gas
liquids(2)
|
Condensate
|
Natural
gas
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
Production
guidance for
the first half of 2020
|
1%
|
7%
|
10%
|
13%
|
69%
|
22,000 -
23,000
|
Average 2020
annual
production guidance
|
1%
|
7%
|
10%
|
12%
|
70%
|
20,500 -
21,500
|
Greater
Septimus Production
|
Q4/19
|
-
|
-
|
10%
|
13%
|
77%
|
18,720
|
Q3/19
|
-
|
-
|
11%
|
13%
|
76%
|
19,648
|
Q2/19
|
-
|
-
|
10%
|
16%
|
74%
|
19,594
|
Q1/19
|
-
|
-
|
10%
|
13%
|
77%
|
19,535
|
Q4/18
|
-
|
-
|
9%
|
13%
|
78%
|
18,447
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Medium oil amounts
are immaterial.
|
(2)
|
Throughout this news
release, natural gas liquids ("ngl") comprise all natural gas
liquids as defined by NI 51-101 other than condensate, which is
disclosed separately.
|
Test Results and Initial Production Rates
A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has
not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided
herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis
or interpretation has been completed. Test results and
initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short
in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long term
performance or of ultimate recovery.
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of
6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio
based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas
is significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
Crew is a growth-oriented oil and natural gas producer,
committed to pursuing sustainable per share growth through a
balanced mix of financially and socially responsible exploration
and development complemented by strategic acquisitions. The
Company's operations are primarily focused in the vast Montney resource, situated in northeast
British Columbia, and include a
large contiguous land base. Crew's ultra-condensate-rich
Septimus and West Septimus areas ("Greater Septimus") along with
Groundbirch and the light oil area at Tower in British Columbia offer significant development
potential over the long-term. The Company has access to
diversified markets with operated infrastructure and access to
multiple pipeline egress options. Crew's common shares are
listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") under the
symbol "CR".
Financial statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis
for the three and twelve month periods ended December 31, 2019 and 2018 are filed on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com and are available on the Company's website at
www.crewenergy.com.
SOURCE Crew Energy Inc.