Cadence Minerals
Plc
("Cadence Minerals",
"Cadence", or "the Company")
Update PFS Level Economic
Study Delivers an Increased Net Present Value of US$1.145
Billion
Cadence Minerals (AIM: KDNC) is
pleased to announce the results from the updated economic study,
the progress on the environmental applications and the ongoing
development of the 67% 'Green Iron' processing flow sheet at the
Amapá Ore Project ("Amapá", "Project" or "Amapá Project"). Since
the end of March 2024, Cadence's total investment in the Amapá
Project had increased by approximately US$0.7 million to
approximately US$13.9 million, and consequently, the equity stake
in the project now stands at 34.2%.
Highlights:
· 20% increase of Post-tax Net Present Value ("NPV") to US$1.14
billion at a discount rate of 10%, with profit after tax of US$3.14
billion over the Life of Mine ("LOM").
· 10% increase in average production after ramp-up to 5.82
million dry metric tonnes ("DMT") per annum ("Mtpa") of Fe
concentrate, consisting of 4.81 Mtpa at 65.4% Fe and 1.01 Mtpa at
62% Fe concentrate.
· A 6% decrease in Free on Board ("FOB") C1 Cash Costs to
US$33.5/dmt at the port of Santana. Cost and Freight ("CFR") C1
Cash Costs US$62.2/dmt in China.
· Improved Post-tax Internal Rate of Return from 34% to
42%.
· The port's environmental licensing is on schedule with the
studies complete and the required reports being drafted, it is due
to be submitted on schedule in the current quarter of this
year.
· Testing of the 67% Fe "Green Iron" flow sheet has commenced,
and results are expected by the end of September 2024.
· If successful, the 67% flow could increase the net operating
profit of the Project, at full production, from approximately
US$227 million to US$324 million per year.
Cadence CEO, Kiran Morzaria,
commented: "On belhaf of our Board, I am thrilled with the positive
outcomes from the updated economic study at the Amapá Ore Project,
along with further he significant progress made at Amapá. The
increased net present value of US$1.145 billion and the enhanced
post-tax internal rate of return demonstrate substantial
improvements to the Project's already robust
economics.
The ongoing development of the 67% 'Green Iron' processing
flow sheet and the Project's 100% renewable power source exemplify
our commitment to propelling Amapa forward to meet the growing
demand for low-carbon iron ore and steel, while at the same time
demonstrating a potential 43% uplift in projected annual net
operating profit.
We
are optimistic about the potential of the Amapá Iron Ore Project
and look forward to providing further updates on our progress in
the future."
Updated PFS-level economic study
In March this year, the Amapa
Project announced the results of the optimisation study, which
delivered material capital savings to the Project. Based on these
results, the Amapa Project carried out an updated PFS-level
economic study.
Updated Mining Schedule
As part of the optimisation study
completed in March 2024, the engineering consultants identified
higher availability at the processing plant, which increased the
annual run-of-mine feed rate to the processing plant. As a result
of this, it was necessary to re-examine the mining and other
related engineering disciplines, and in particular, the mine
schedule had to be recalculated to optimise the project's
NPV.
A life of mine production plan was
scheduled using the Deswik.Blend® Scheduler Optimizer. The solids
used in the mine scheduling were based on the final pit design,
with an SMU (Selective Mining Unit) of 100 m x 200 m x 4 m. The
life of mine schedule allows for 15 years of production with the
current economic values and cut-off of 25% Fe. The resultant
life of mine strip ratio is approximately 0.4:1 (tonnes waste:
tonnes ore) and an average ore mine delivered to the plant of 13
million metric tonnes per annum.
Project Financial Analysis
An updated PFS financial model,
which included the updated mining schedule, lower capex, and lower
operational costs, was developed to evaluate the project's
economics. All other aspects of the financial analysis remained the
same as per the PFS published in January 2023, including the iron
ore concentrate price. Which was a long-term average price for 62%
iron ore concentrate of US$95/dmt and US$118.8/dmt for 65.4% iron
ore concentrate, both quoted on a Cost and Freight ("CFR") basis.
As of 8 July 2024 the 62% iron ore concentrate price was
US$108.75/dmt and 65% iron ore fines was US$129/dmt. Summary
results from the financial model outputs are presented in the
tables below, including financial analysis. The financial model
considers 100% equity funding for the Project, although, in
reality, the financing of the Project will be a mix of debt and
equity. However, the existing obligations in terms of principal
repayment and current interest liabilities payable have been
included in the financial model. A summary of the key financial
information is presented below, alongside the 2022 PFS
data.
Table 1.1 Key Project Metrics (100% project
basis)
Metric
|
Unit
|
2022 PFS Data
|
2024 PFS Data
|
Total ore feed to the
plant
|
Mt (dry)
|
176.88
|
176.93
|
Life of Mine
|
Years
|
16
|
15
|
Fe grade of ore feed to the
plant
|
%
|
39.34
|
39.34
|
Recovery
|
%
|
76.27
|
76.27
|
62.0% iron ore concentrate
production
|
Mtpa
|
0.89
|
0.95
|
65.4% iron ore concentrate
production
|
Mtpa
|
4.23
|
4.51
|
C1 Cash Costs FOB
*
|
US$/dmt
|
35.53
|
33.50
|
C1 Cash Costs CFR **
|
US$/dmt
|
64.23
|
52.20
|
Pre-Production capital
investment***
|
US$M
|
399
|
343
|
Sustaining capital investment over
LOM****
|
US$M
|
245
|
245
|
Post-tax NPV (10%)
|
US$M
|
949
|
1,145
|
Post-tax IRR
|
%
|
34
|
42
|
Project payback
|
Years
|
4
|
4
|
Total profit after tax (net
operating profit)
|
US$B
|
2.96
|
3.14
|
*
|
Means operating cash costs,
including mining, processing, geology, OHSE, rail, port and site
G&A, divided by the tonnes of iron ore concentrate produced. It
excludes royalties and is quoted on a FOB basis (excluding shipping
to the customer).
|
**
|
Means the same as C1 Cash Costs FOB;
however, it includes shipping to the customer in China
(CFR).
|
***
|
Includes direct tax credit rebate
over 48 months
|
****
|
Includes both sustaining CAPEX and
deferred capital expenditure, specifically, improvements to the
railway and the installation of conveyor belt and mine site to rail
load out
|
Table 1.2 FOB and CFR average cash cost per tonne of dry
product over the LOM
Cash
Cost Per Discipline
|
PFS
2022
|
PFS
2024
|
|
US$/dmt
|
US$/dmt
|
Mine
|
17.05
|
16.73
|
TSF
|
0.08
|
0.08
|
Beneficiation Plant, Road / Conveyor
Transfer & Rail Loading
|
12.43
|
10.94
|
Rail Freight
|
2.43
|
2.43
|
Port
|
1.55
|
1.55
|
G & A (5% total cost)
|
1.99
|
1.77
|
FOB
Cash Costs
|
35.53
|
33.50
|
Marine Logistics
|
28.70
|
28.70
|
CFR
Cash Costs
|
64.23
|
62.20
|
Table 1.3 Summary of key financial information for the
Project.
Item Over Life of Mine
|
Unit
|
2022
PFS Data
|
2024
PFS Data
|
Gross revenue
|
US$M
|
9,387
|
9,389
|
Freight (Maine Logistics)
|
US$M
|
(2,350)
|
(2,351)
|
Net
Revenue
|
US$M
|
7,037
|
7,038
|
Operating costs
|
US$M
|
(2,910)
|
(2,744)
|
Royalties and taxes (excluding
income tax)
|
US$M
|
(373)
|
(373)
|
EBITDA
|
US$M
|
3,754
|
3,922
|
EBIT
|
US$M
|
3,315
|
3,547
|
Net Taxes and Interest
|
US$M
|
(355)
|
(390)
|
Net
Operating Profit
|
US$M
|
2,960
|
3,144
|
Initial, Sustaining capital costs
& repayments
|
US$M
|
(727)
|
(645)
|
Free Cash Flow
|
US$M
|
2,672
|
2,874
|
Item
|
Unit
|
2022 PFS Data
|
2024 PFS Data
|
LOM
|
Years
|
16
|
15
|
Discount rate
|
%
|
10
|
10
|
NPV
|
US$M
|
949
|
1,145
|
IRR
|
%
|
34
|
42
|
Project Payback
|
Years
|
4
|
4
|
Licensing
As announced in September 2023,
Amapá Project Management had agreed with the Amapá State
Environmental Agency ("SEMA") to an expedited environmental
process, given the Project had previously been granted all its
Operational Licenses ("LO").
SEMA is reviewing the application
for the Installation License ("LI") for the mine and railway, which
were submitted in March 2024. The the LI application for the
wholly-owned port are nearing completion, with the final reports
due for submission in the current quarter. Our understanding from
SEMA is that based on the current timeline, the LI will be granted
by the end of 2024. The LI allows the rehabilitation and
construction of the Amapá Project, and once this is completed, the
LO is granted, and mining operations can commence.
67%
'Green Iron' Flowsheet
The Amapá Project Management team
continues to develop the 'green iron' flowsheet. Part of the work
entails carrying out a mineralogical and multi-elemental analysis
of run-of-mine ore, concentrate, and tailings and testing the full
circuit at a pilot-scale level.
To this end, the Project has
completed a life-of-mine sampling programme, collecting
approximately two tonnes of material, which was shipped to our
independent consultant engineers in March. The samples were shipped
and cleared Chinese customs in late June. The samples have been
checked and reconciled, and flow sheet testing results are expected
by the end of the current quarter.
Assuming the testing confirms the
flow sheet, we will update the project economics to reflect the
increased revenue and any capital expenditure changes and update
the market with these figures.
Project Financing
In October 2023, Cadence announced a
memorandum of understanding ("MOU") to obtain debt financing for
the Project. More information can be found in the
announcement
here. The MOU remains in place
and our primary focus has been on securing the equity needed for
the Project's construction.
We have signed several
non-disclosure agreements in this regard, and interested parties
have been and will be conducting technical site visits as part of
their due diligence. The Project will need to have the necessary
equity and debt in place to start construction. We will inform the
markets if any definite agreements are made. In the meantime,
Cadence plans to fund ongoing work, including the advancement of
the 67% flow sheet, licensing, maintenance of the tailings storage
facility, and general working capital for the Project.
About the Amapá Project and Cadence
Ownership
The Amapá Project is a brownfield
integrated iron ore project in the Amapá State of Brazil. It has
Mineral Resources of 276 million tonnes (Mt) at 38.33% Iron (Fe)
and Ore Reserves of 196 Mt at 39.34%. The Project comprises the
mine, processing plant, wholly owned port and a 194km
railway.
Since the end of March 2024,
Cadence's total investment in the Amapá Project had increased by
approximately US$0.7 million to approximately US$13.9 million, and
consequently, the equity stake in the project now stands at
34.2%.
For further information
contact:
|
|
Cadence Minerals plc
|
+44
(0) 20 3582 6636
|
Andrew Suckling
|
|
Kiran Morzaria
|
|
|
|
WH
Ireland Limited (NOMAD & Broker)
|
+44
(0) 20 7220 1666
|
James Joyce
|
|
Darshan Patel
Isaac Hooper
|
|
|
|
Fortified Securities - Joint Broker
|
+44
(0) 20 3411 7773
|
Guy Wheatley
|
|
|
|
Brand Communications
|
+44
(0) 7976 431608
|
Public & Investor
Relations
|
|
Alan Green
|
|
Qualified Person
Kiran Morzaria B.Eng. (ACSM), MBA,
has reviewed and approved the information contained in this
announcement. Kiran holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Industrial
Geology) from the Camborne School of Mines and an MBA (Finance)
from CASS Business School.
Cautionary and
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this
announcement are or may be considered forward-looking.
Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and
phrases such as "believe", "could", "should", "envisage",
"estimate", "intend", "may", "plan", "will", or the negative of
those variations or comparable expressions
including references to assumptions. These forward-looking
statements are not based on historical facts but rather on the
Directors' current expectations and assumptions regarding the
company's future growth results of operations
performance, future
capital, and other expenditures (including the
amount, nature, and sources of funding thereof) competitive
advantages business prospects and opportunities. Such
forward-looking statements reflect the Directors' current beliefs
and assumptions and are based on information currently available to
the Directors. Many factors could cause actual results to
differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking
statements, including risks associated with vulnerability to
general economic and business conditions, competition,
environmental and other regulatory changes actions by governmental
authorities, the availability of capital markets reliance on
crucial personnel uninsured and underinsured losses and other
factors many of which are beyond the control of the company.
Although any forward-looking statements contained in this
announcement are based upon what the Directors believe to be
reasonable assumptions. The company cannot assure investors that
results will be consistent with such forward-looking
statements.
The information contained within this announcement is deemed
by the company to constitute Inside Information as stipulated under
the Market Abuse Regulation (E.U.) No. 596/2014, as it forms part
of U.K. domestic law under the European Union (Withdrawal) Act
2018, as amended. Upon the publication of this announcement via a
regulatory information service, this information is considered to
be in the public domain.