Google's Indicated Price Range is Reasonable, But Risks Abound, Says S&P Equity Analyst in Second Pre-IPO Report
09 August 2004 - 10:41PM
PR Newswire (US)
Google's Indicated Price Range is Reasonable, But Risks Abound,
Says S&P Equity Analyst in Second Pre-IPO Report NEW YORK, Aug.
9 /PRNewswire/ -- Based on numerous methods of valuation analysis,
it is Standard & Poor's opinion that the price range Google
Inc. has provided in advance of its upcoming initial public
offering (IPO) appears reasonable, however, a number of factors
could have a negative impact on the near-term prospects for the
shares, according to a pre-IPO report released today by Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services(1). Using relative, intrinsic
and option analyses, Standard & Poor's calculates a possible
valuation for Google of $121 to $127 per share, although
uncertainties associated with the Dutch auction process, the
potential distraction of unrelated significant news events, the
challenge of issuing shares during a seasonally slow time for
stocks in general, and the recent unfavorable climate for
technology and Internet stocks could restrain share performance.
The report also includes information regarding the auction process,
and guidance to would-be investors in Google on how to proceed with
bids and in the after- market. "We evaluated Google against its
competitors and peers, including eBay and Yahoo, which trade at
significant premiums to the S&P 500 Index reflecting their
ability to generate revenue and profit growth without comparable
operating or capital requirements, as well as Amazon.com and
IAC/InterActiveCorp -- which we view as more traditional companies
-- in conjunction with analyses based on discounted cash-flows and
option grants," says Scott Kessler, Internet Software &
Services Equity Analyst and author of the report. "These analyses
suggest Google's fair market value could be $121 to $127 per share,
within the range indicated by the company. However, there are many
risk factors to consider relative to Google, potentially including
commoditization of its offerings, challenges related to the
introduction of new products and services like e-mail, and
competition from the likes of Yahoo and Microsoft. Near-term
external factors, not the least of which is the recent adverse
sentiment for technology and Internet stocks in general,
constitutes an additional reason warranting investor caution,"
concludes Kessler. The publication is the second of a two-part
report issued by Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services.
Part 2 addresses not only issues related to valuation, but also the
Dutch auction process. Part 1 was issued June 7. Readers can
purchase either or both parts of the report online for immediate
download at http://sandp.ecnext.com/ipo . Members of the media can
request the report from the communications contact listed at the
end of this release. Additional information on Standard &
Poor's pre-IPO coverage on Google can be found at
http://www.standardandpoors.com/pre-ipo . This press release is
being issued for information purposes only and should not be
considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither
Standard & Poor's nor any other party guarantees the accuracy
of any information contained herein or regarding results from its
usage. Data and information about Google, Inc. used in the report
are exclusively from publicly available documents filed by the
company with the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission. About
Standard & Poor's STock Appreciation Ranking System (STARS)
Standard & Poor's STock Appreciation Ranking System (STARS),
which was first introduced on December 31, 1986, reflects the
opinions of Standard & Poor's equity analysts on the price
appreciation potential of 1,500 U.S. stocks for the next 12-month
period. Rankings range from five-STARS ("Buy") to one-STARS
("Sell"). About Standard & Poor's Standard & Poor's, a
division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), is the world's
foremost provider of independent credit ratings, indices, risk
evaluation, investment research, data and valuations. With 5,000
employees located in 20 countries, Standard & Poor's is an
essential part of the world's financial infrastructure and has
played a leading role for more than 140 years in providing
investors with the independent benchmarks they need to feel more
confident about their investment and financial decisions. For more
information, visit http://www.standardandpoors.com/ . The analyst
referenced above is a Standard & Poor's equity analyst. He has
no affiliation nor ownership interest in any company referenced
above. The equity research reports and recommendations provided by
Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services are prepared
separately from any other analytic activity of Standard &
Poor's. In this regard, Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services has no access to non-public information received by other
units of Standard & Poor's. Standard & Poor's does not
trade for its own account. (1) Standard & Poor's believes risks
to Google, its shares, and our related projections include among
other things, commoditization of the company's offerings,
difficulties related to its introduction of new products and
services and competition from the likes of Yahoo and Microsoft.
Google also has limited operating history, expects to invest
heavily in new initiatives, is and will likely to continue after
its IPO to be controlled by its founders, is employing a largely
untested process to price and distribute its shares, and may not
provide business or financial information as detailed as that
disseminated by other public companies. DATASOURCE: Standard &
Poor's CONTACT: John J. Piecuch Communications Manager (+1)
212-438-1102 Web site: http://www.standardandpoors.com/
http://sandp.ecnext.com/ipo http://www.standardandpoors.com/pre-ipo
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