Will Google Glass Make You A Buyer of GOOG Stock? - Real Time Insight
09 Mai 2013 - 4:30PM
Zacks
Even though most of big tech has had a rocky year, shares of
Google (GOOG) have been powering ahead. The search
giant is now above $870/share, marking a nearly 40% gain over the
past 12 month period.
This is in stark contrast to many other names in the technology
world, such as Apple (AAPL),
Microsoft (MSFT) or even the
broad technology sector (XLK) in the same time
frame, as all of these options have paled in comparison to Google’s
return as of late. Thanks to this, many are now looking to GOOG as
the leader of the technology world and the best hope for growth
among the tech giants.
However, it is worth noting that GOOG could be facing some
headwinds in the near future. Some analysts are worried that search
revenue could be in trouble—as more consumers just buy on
Amazon (AMZN) instead of searching for a product
on Google—and that other avenues haven’t really paid off yet for
the company.
After all, the company is trading at a somewhat lofty forward PE
of 22, which seems a bit high for a nearly $300 billion company
that already has a stranglehold on its only real market. Analysts
are also mixed on the prospects in the near term, as the stock has
a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with EPS growth of just 2% predicted for
this quarter.
Change on the horizon?
Clearly if GOOG is going to continue to surge it will need to
find new ways to grow beyond desktop search and android phone
adoption. One such way that many are banking on is via Google
Glass.
Google glass is basically a wearable computing device that one
utilizes like glasses. It will run on an android operating system
and allow users to access a number of Google applications, take
videos and pictures, and run third-party apps as well.
Although the product is still in development, many analysts and
journalists have already developed strong opinions about the
product, its likely sales figures, and the widespread adoption of
the device.
On the high side, some are terming Glass as a gamechanging
product that could sell as many as 6.6 million units a year in
2016. Meanwhile, others are much less optimistic, declaring that
‘nobody likes Google Glass’ and that the sales estimates will fall
well short of estimates.
Bottom Line
Personally, I am more apt to believe in the high side estimates
and that Google Glass will be a key part of many consumers’
technology lives, and a major part of Google’s growth going
forward. The possible uses for the product are limitless, with
potential applications in industries like the military,
health care, and education just to name a few.
Still, many remain deeply skeptical of the product, predicting
that its adoption will be slowed by people not wanting to look
‘stupid’ wearing them (kind of like how some view those who use
Bluetooth headsets). Or that Glass will basically be a ‘Segway’
redux; a technological innovation billed as the next big thing that
only has found its way into niche markets.
But what do you think? Is Google Glass going to be a
transformative product and a key aspect of GOOG’s lineup, or a
Segway-like flop?
And, does this product change how you feel about Google’s stock
going forward?
Let us know in the comments below!
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