NEW
YORK, Jan. 29, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow
Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the November 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic
Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices
recorded a 3.8% annual gain in November
2024, a slight increase from the previous annual gains in
2024. More than 27 years of history are available for the data
series and can be accessed in full by going to
https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/index-family/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller/.
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA
Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.8%
annual return for November, up from a 3.6% annual gain in the
previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of
4.9%, recording the same annual increase in the previous month. The
20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, up from
a 4.2% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual
gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in November, followed
by Chicago and Washington with annual increases of 6.2% and
5.9%, respectively. Tampa posted
the lowest return, falling 0.4%.
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
The pre-seasonally adjusted U.S. National, 20-City, and 10-City
Composite Indices' upward trends continued to reverse in November,
with a -0.1% drop for the national index, while the 20-City
Composite saw a -0.1% decline and the 10-City Composite was
unchanged.
After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National, 20-City, and
10-City Composite Indices all posted a month-over-month increase of
0.4%.
ANALYSIS
"With the exception of pockets of above-trend performance,
national home prices are trending below historical averages," says
Brian D. Luke, CFA, Head of
Commodities, Real & Digital Assets. "Markets in New York, Washington, D.C., and Chicago are well above norms, with
New York leading the way.
Unsurprisingly, the Northeast was the fastest growing region,
averaging a 6.1% annual gain. However, markets out west and in once
red-hot Florida are trending well
below average growth. Tampa's
decline is the first annual drop for any market in over a year.
Returns for the Tampa market and
entire Southern region rank in the bottom quartile of historical
annual gains, with data going back to 1988.
"Despite below-trend growth, our National Index hit its
18th consecutive all-time high on a seasonally adjusted
basis," Luke continued. "Again, with the exception of Tampa, all markets rose monthly with seasonal
adjustment. With New York leading
the nation for the seventh consecutive month and U.S. banks
reporting strong Q4 earnings, this could set the Big Apple up as we
close out the year."
SUPPORTING DATA
Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for
the three composites along with the current levels and percentage
changes from the peaks and troughs.
|
2006
Peak
|
2012
Trough
|
Current
|
Index
|
Level
|
Date
|
Level
|
Date
|
From Peak
(%)
|
Level
|
From Trough
(%)
|
From Peak
(%)
|
National
|
184.61
|
Jul-06
|
133.99
|
Feb-12
|
-27.4 %
|
323.91
|
141.7 %
|
75.5 %
|
20-City
|
206.52
|
Jul-06
|
134.07
|
Mar-12
|
-35.1 %
|
332.59
|
148.1 %
|
61.0 %
|
10-City
|
226.29
|
Jun-06
|
146.45
|
Mar-12
|
-35.3 %
|
350.40
|
139.3 %
|
54.8 %
|
Table 2 below summarizes the results for November 2024. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the
receipt of additional source data.
|
November
2024
|
November/October
|
October/September
|
1-Year
|
Metropolitan
Area
|
Level
|
Change
(%)
|
Change
(%)
|
Change
(%)
|
Atlanta
|
247.92
|
-0.3 %
|
-0.3 %
|
2.9 %
|
Boston
|
339.05
|
0.4 %
|
0.3 %
|
5.1 %
|
Charlotte
|
280.83
|
-0.1 %
|
-0.3 %
|
3.6 %
|
Chicago
|
209.91
|
-0.3 %
|
-0.4 %
|
6.2 %
|
Cleveland
|
194.26
|
0.0 %
|
-1.0 %
|
5.4 %
|
Dallas
|
295.19
|
-0.5 %
|
-0.5 %
|
1.0 %
|
Denver
|
314.79
|
-0.5 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.9 %
|
Detroit
|
190.02
|
-0.3 %
|
-0.6 %
|
4.6 %
|
Las Vegas
|
300.39
|
-0.1 %
|
-0.5 %
|
5.6 %
|
Los Angeles
|
436.98
|
0.0 %
|
-0.1 %
|
3.8 %
|
Miami
|
441.73
|
0.3 %
|
-0.1 %
|
3.2 %
|
Minneapolis
|
240.66
|
-0.4 %
|
-0.4 %
|
2.7 %
|
New York
|
317.36
|
0.2 %
|
0.3 %
|
7.3 %
|
Phoenix
|
329.82
|
0.0 %
|
0.0 %
|
1.6 %
|
Portland
|
328.89
|
-0.3 %
|
-0.4 %
|
2.0 %
|
San Diego
|
435.32
|
-0.4 %
|
-0.4 %
|
4.5 %
|
San
Francisco
|
350.92
|
-0.8 %
|
-1.0 %
|
1.9 %
|
Seattle
|
386.87
|
-0.7 %
|
-0.9 %
|
5.4 %
|
Tampa
|
381.74
|
-0.6 %
|
-0.6 %
|
-0.4 %
|
Washington
|
330.99
|
-0.1 %
|
0.1 %
|
5.9 %
|
Composite-10
|
350.40
|
0.0 %
|
-0.1 %
|
4.9 %
|
Composite-20
|
332.59
|
-0.1 %
|
-0.2 %
|
4.3 %
|
U.S.
National
|
323.91
|
-0.1 %
|
-0.2 %
|
3.8 %
|
Sources: S&P Dow
Jones Indices and CoreLogic
|
|
|
Data through
November 2024
|
|
|
|
Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the
seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data.
Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported
on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline
indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices
publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline
indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price
indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.
|
November/October
Change (%)
|
October/September
Change (%)
|
Metropolitan
Area
|
NSA
|
SA
|
NSA
|
SA
|
Atlanta
|
-0.3 %
|
0.3 %
|
-0.3 %
|
0.2 %
|
Boston
|
0.4 %
|
0.9 %
|
0.3 %
|
0.7 %
|
Charlotte
|
-0.1 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.3 %
|
0.2 %
|
Chicago
|
-0.3 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.2 %
|
Cleveland
|
0.0 %
|
0.5 %
|
-1.0 %
|
-0.3 %
|
Dallas
|
-0.5 %
|
0.3 %
|
-0.5 %
|
0.2 %
|
Denver
|
-0.5 %
|
0.2 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.5 %
|
Detroit
|
-0.3 %
|
0.3 %
|
-0.6 %
|
0.3 %
|
Las Vegas
|
-0.1 %
|
0.5 %
|
-0.5 %
|
0.4 %
|
Los Angeles
|
0.0 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.1 %
|
0.1 %
|
Miami
|
0.3 %
|
0.7 %
|
-0.1 %
|
0.2 %
|
Minneapolis
|
-0.4 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.2 %
|
New York
|
0.2 %
|
0.3 %
|
0.3 %
|
0.4 %
|
Phoenix
|
0.0 %
|
0.9 %
|
0.0 %
|
0.6 %
|
Portland
|
-0.3 %
|
0.6 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.4 %
|
San Diego
|
-0.4 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.4 %
|
0.4 %
|
San
Francisco
|
-0.8 %
|
0.2 %
|
-1.0 %
|
0.2 %
|
Seattle
|
-0.7 %
|
-0.1 %
|
-0.9 %
|
0.3 %
|
Tampa
|
-0.6 %
|
-0.2 %
|
-0.6 %
|
-0.1 %
|
Washington
|
-0.1 %
|
0.4 %
|
0.1 %
|
0.7 %
|
Composite-10
|
0.0 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.1 %
|
0.3 %
|
Composite-20
|
-0.1 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.2 %
|
0.3 %
|
U.S.
National
|
-0.1 %
|
0.4 %
|
-0.2 %
|
0.4 %
|
Sources: S&P Dow
Jones Indices and CoreLogic
|
|
|
Data through
November 2024
|
|
|
|
For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please
visit www.spglobal.com/spdji.
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(+1) 212 438 7530
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S&P Dow Jones Indices' interactive blog, IndexologyBlog.com,
delivers real-time commentary and analysis from industry experts
across S&P Global on a wide range of topics impacting
residential home prices, homebuilding and mortgage financing in
the United States. Readers and
viewers can visit the blog at www.indexologyblog.com, where
feedback and commentary are welcomed and encouraged.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are published on the
last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am
ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path
of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area
provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of
individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales
data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price
Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of
single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions
and is calculated quarterly. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
10-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of
the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P CoreLogic
Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted
average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value
of 100 in January 2000; thus, for
example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50%
appreciation rate since January 2000
for a typical home located within the subject market.
These indices are generated and published under agreements
between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic, Inc.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are produced by
CoreLogic, Inc. In addition to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering
thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets.
The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just
a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.
Case-Shiller® and CoreLogic® are
trademarks of CoreLogic Case-Shiller, LLC or its affiliates or
subsidiaries ("CoreLogic") and have been licensed for use by
S&P Dow Jones Indices. None of the financial products based on
indices produced by CoreLogic or its predecessors in interest are
sponsored, sold, or promoted by CoreLogic, and neither CoreLogic
nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, or predecessors in
interest makes any representation regarding the advisability of
investing in such products.
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SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices