Bitcoin Closing In On $100K: The Case For A Future Valuation Of $1 Million
20 November 2024 - 8:30AM
NEWSBTC
Since November 5, the day President-elect Donald Trump secured
another term in office, Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable
uptrend, reaching a new all-time high of $93,300. Since then,
BTC has been trading within a narrow range between $89,000 and
$92,000, positioning for a potential move toward the $100,000
milestone. This raises an intriguing question whether a price of $1
million per coin is feasible over the next decade. A Long-Term
Vision For Investors Market expert VirtualBacon has conducted an
in-depth analysis of these possibilities, delving into the numbers,
trends, and catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to experience a
surge of nearly 1,000% from its current price levels. Within
the current market cycle, the expert forecasts that Bitcoin could
hit $200,000 in the next one to two years. However, he notes that
while this milestone is significant, altcoins may offer higher
returns at a greater risk, often crashing by 80% to 90% in bear
markets. In contrast to altcoins, which face increasing regulatory
scrutiny, Bitcoin stands out as a safer long-term investment.
VirtualBacon argues that Bitcoin’s potential is not just confined
to the next few years but spans a decade or more. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast: Fundstrat Sees BTC ‘Comfortably’
Over $100,000 This Year To understand why Bitcoin’s price could
reach $1 million, VirtualBacon asserts that investors need to
consider its fundamental utility as a store of value. Bitcoin’s
fixed supply of 21 million coins, its global accessibility, and its
resistance to censorship and manipulation make it a compelling
alternative to traditional financial assets. The expert
suggests that if Bitcoin is to become recognized as the digital
gold of the 21st century, reaching a market capitalization that
rivals gold’s estimated $13 trillion is not merely a theoretical
possibility but “a logical outcome.” Key drivers for this potential
growth include increasing participation from asset managers,
corporate treasuries, central banks, and wealthy individuals.
Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have seen record inflows,
with $1 billion invested last week, reflecting growing
institutional confidence. Additionally, discussions among
corporations, such as Microsoft considering Bitcoin reserves,
further enhance its strategic value. Wealthy individuals are also
beginning to adopt Bitcoin as a standard portfolio allocation, with
even a modest 1% investment becoming commonplace among
billionaires. What Does Bitcoin Need To Reach $1 Million? For
Bitcoin to reach the $1 million mark, two critical factors must be
analyzed: global wealth growth and portfolio allocation.
VirtualBacon notes that in 2022, total global wealth was estimated
at $454 trillion, and projections suggest this could grow to $750
trillion by 2034. Currently, gold holds approximately 3.9% of
global wealth, while Bitcoin is at a mere 0.35%. If Bitcoin’s
allocation in global portfolios rose to just 3%, still
significantly below gold’s share, its market cap could soar to $20
trillion, pushing the price to $1 million per coin. Historically,
gold’s market cap saw significant growth following the launch of
exchange-traded funds in 2004, with its portfolio allocation
increasing from 1.67% to 4.74% over the next decade. Related
Reading: Analyst Predicts Rapid Dogecoin Surge To $1: The Timing
May Surprise You If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, its
allocation could rise from 0.35% to 1.05% or more, translating to a
market cap of approximately $7.92 trillion, equating to about
$395,000 per Bitcoin. Therefore, reaching $1 million doesn’t
require Bitcoin to surpass gold; it must capture about 57% of
gold’s projected market cap by 2034. With gold representing 4.7% of
global portfolios compared to Bitcoin’s 0.35%, a modest increase in
Bitcoin’s share of global wealth to 3%—just 60% of gold’s
allocation—could “easily” result in a $20 trillion market cap and a
$1 million price point. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at
$92,240, up 7% every week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart
from TradingView.com
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