Baytex Energy Corp. ("Baytex")(TSX: BTE) reports its operating and
financial results for the three months and year ended December 31,
2021 (all amounts are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted).
“In 2021, we made a commitment to maintain
capital discipline, maximize free cash flow and reduce our net
debt. I am very pleased to say we delivered on all fronts with
strong operational execution, record free cash flow and a
significantly improved balance sheet. With continued operating
momentum and current commodity prices, we expect to generate over
$550 million of free cash flow in 2022 and reach our initial $1.2
billion net debt target during the second quarter. As a result, we
are announcing the next phase of our return of capital framework,
which includes allocating approximately 25% of our free cash flow
to share buybacks commencing in the second quarter. We are also
following up our success in the Clearwater where we now have four
of the top five initial rate wells drilled to date in the play,”
commented Ed LaFehr, President and Chief Executive Officer.
2021 Highlights
- Production
exceeded the high end of guidance at 80,789 boe/d (82% oil and NGL)
in Q4/2021 and 80,156 boe/d (82% oil and NGL) for the full-year
2021.
- Exploration
and development expenditures totaled $74 million in Q4/2021,
bringing aggregate spending for 2021 to $313 million, in line
with guidance.
- Delivered
adjusted funds flow(1) of $215 million ($0.38 per basic share) in
Q4/2021 and $746 million ($1.32 per basic share) for 2021.
- Generated a
record level of free cash flow(2) of $137 million ($0.24 per basic
share) in Q4/2021 and $421 million ($0.75 per basic share) for
2021.
- Cash flows
from operating activities was $241 million ($0.43 per basic
share) in Q4/2021 and $712 million ($1.26 per basic share) for
2021.
- Reduced net
debt(1) by 24% to $1.4 billion at year-end 2021, from $1.8 billion
at year-end 2020.
- Drilled four
of the top five wells to-date in the Clearwater play, with our two
most recent wells at Peavine generating 30-day initial production
rates of 921 bbl/d and 815 bbl/d, respectively.
- Reduced our GHG emissions intensity
(tonnes of CO2e per boe) in 2021 by 11% over 2020 levels and have
now achieved a 52% reduction, relative to our 2018 baseline.
Reserves Highlights
- Proved
developed producing reserves increased by 7%, from 120 mmboe to 129
mmboe. Proved reserves total 278 mmboe (271 mmboe at year-end 2020)
and proved plus probable reserves total 451 mmboe (462 mmboe at
year-end 2020).
- Finding and
development ("F&D") costs, including changes in future
development costs (“FDC”), were $8.20/boe for PDP reserves,
$17.67/boe for 1P reserves and $24.55/boe for 2P reserves.
- Generated a
PDP recycle ratio of 4.5x and a 1P recycle ratio of 2.1x based on
2021 operating netback(1) of $36.52/boe.
- At year-end
2021, the present value of our reserves, discounted at 10% before
tax, is estimated to be $5.1 billion ($3.3 billion at year-end
2020). The increase is largely attributable to a higher commodity
price forecast being utilized by our reserves evaluator (consultant
average of approximately US$70/bbl WTI).
- Our net asset
value at year-end 2021, discounted at 10% before tax, is estimated
to be $6.67 per share. This is based on the estimated reserves
value plus a value for undeveloped acreage, net of long-term debt
and working capital.
(1) Capital management measure. Refer to the
Specified Financial Measures section in this press release for
further information.(2) Specified financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures presented by
other entities. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures section
in this press release for further information.
2022 Outlook
In 2022, we expect to benefit from our
diversified oil weighted portfolio and our commitment to allocate
capital effectively. Our capital program is designed to generate
stable production from our light and heavy oil assets in Canada and
the Eagle Ford in the United States, while scaling up development
in the Clearwater.
Our 2022 guidance remains unchanged as we target
production of 80,000 to 83,000 boe/d with exploration and
development expenditures of $400 to $450 million. Based on the
forward strip(1), we expect to generate over $550 million of free
cash flow(2) in 2022.
|
2022 Guidance |
Exploration and development expenditures |
$400 - $450 million |
Production (boe/d) |
80,000 - 83,000 |
|
|
Expenses: |
|
Average royalty rate (2) |
18.5% - 19.0% |
Operating (3) |
$12.25 - $13.00/boe |
Transportation (3) |
$1.20 - $1.30/boe |
General and administrative (3) |
$43 million ($1.45/boe) |
Interest (3) |
$80 million ($2.70/boe) |
|
|
Leasing expenditures |
$3 million |
Asset
retirement obligations |
$20 million |
Return of Capital Framework
With continued operating momentum and strong
commodity prices, we expect to reach our initial $1.2 billion net
debt(4) target during the second quarter of 2022. As we reach this
debt level, we will have reduced our net debt by approximately $1.1
billion over the past three and a half years. As a result of our
significantly improved financial position, we are introducing the
next phase of our enhanced return to shareholders framework.
For 2022, we expect to allocate approximately
25% of our annual free cash flow to direct shareholder returns and
intend to implement a share buyback program commencing in
Q2/2022.
The remainder of our free cash flow will
continue to be allocated to debt reduction until we achieve a net
debt level of $800 million, which represents an expected net
debt(4) to EBITDA(5) ratio of 1.0x at a US$55 WTI price. We feel
this level of net debt will provide us with ultimate flexibility to
run our business through the commodity price cycles and generate
meaningful returns for all stakeholders. At current prices, we
expect to achieve this net debt level by mid-2023, at which point
we will consider steps to further enhance shareholder returns.
(1) 2022 pricing assumptions: WTI - US$82/bbl;
WCS differential - US$13/bbl; MSW differential – US$3/bbl, NYMEX
Gas - US$4.80/mcf; AECO Gas - $4.50/mcf and Exchange Rate (CAD/USD)
- 1.27.(2) Specified financial measure that does not have any
standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and may not be comparable
with the calculation of similar measures presented by other
entities. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures section in this
press release for further information.(3) Calculated as operating,
transportation, general and administrative or interest expense
divided by barrels of oil equivalent production volume for the
applicable period.(4) Capital management measure. Refer to the
Specified Financial Measures section in this press release for
further information.(5) Calculated in accordance with the Credit
Facilities Agreement.
|
Three Months Ended |
Twelve Months Ended |
|
December 31, 2021 |
September 30, 2021 |
December 31, 2020 |
December 31, 2021 |
December 31, 2020 |
FINANCIAL (thousands of Canadian dollars, except
per common share amounts) |
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas sales |
$ |
552,403 |
|
$ |
488,736 |
|
$ |
233,636 |
|
$ |
1,868,195 |
|
$ |
975,477 |
|
Adjusted funds
flow (1) |
|
214,766 |
|
|
198,397 |
|
|
82,176 |
|
|
745,628 |
|
|
311,506 |
|
Per share – basic |
|
0.38 |
|
|
0.35 |
|
|
0.15 |
|
|
1.32 |
|
|
0.56 |
|
Per share – diluted |
|
0.37 |
|
|
0.35 |
|
|
0.15 |
|
|
1.30 |
|
|
0.56 |
|
Free cash
flow (2) |
|
137,133 |
|
|
101,215 |
|
|
1,794 |
|
|
421,329 |
|
|
18,073 |
|
Per share – basic |
|
0.24 |
|
|
0.18 |
|
|
— |
|
|
0.75 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
Per share – diluted |
|
0.24 |
|
|
0.18 |
|
|
— |
|
|
0.74 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
Cash flows from
operating activities |
|
240,567 |
|
|
178,961 |
|
|
51,017 |
|
|
712,384 |
|
|
353,096 |
|
Per share – basic |
|
0.43 |
|
|
0.32 |
|
|
0.09 |
|
|
1.26 |
|
|
0.63 |
|
Per share – diluted |
|
0.42 |
|
|
0.31 |
|
|
0.09 |
|
|
1.25 |
|
|
0.63 |
|
Net income
(loss) |
|
563,239 |
|
|
32,714 |
|
|
221,160 |
|
|
1,613,600 |
|
|
(2,438,964 |
) |
Per share – basic |
|
1.00 |
|
|
0.06 |
|
|
0.39 |
|
|
2.86 |
|
|
(4.35 |
) |
Per share – diluted |
|
0.98 |
|
|
0.06 |
|
|
0.39 |
|
|
2.82 |
|
|
(4.35 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital
Expenditures |
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures |
$ |
73,995 |
|
$ |
94,235 |
|
$ |
77,809 |
|
$ |
313,303 |
|
$ |
280,340 |
|
Acquisitions and divestitures |
|
(5,414 |
) |
|
(612 |
) |
|
(33 |
) |
|
(6,247 |
) |
|
(182 |
) |
Total oil and natural gas capital expenditures |
$ |
68,581 |
|
$ |
93,623 |
|
$ |
77,776 |
|
$ |
307,056 |
|
$ |
280,158 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Debt |
|
|
|
|
|
Credit facilities |
$ |
506,514 |
|
$ |
546,803 |
|
$ |
651,173 |
|
$ |
506,514 |
|
$ |
651,173 |
|
Long-term notes |
|
885,920 |
|
|
1,000,171 |
|
|
1,147,950 |
|
|
885,920 |
|
|
1,147,950 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
1,392,434 |
|
|
1,546,974 |
|
|
1,799,123 |
|
|
1,392,434 |
|
|
1,799,123 |
|
Working capital deficiency |
|
17,283 |
|
|
17,684 |
|
|
48,478 |
|
|
17,283 |
|
|
48,478 |
|
Net debt (1) |
$ |
1,409,717 |
|
$ |
1,564,658 |
|
$ |
1,847,601 |
|
$ |
1,409,717 |
|
$ |
1,847,601 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares Outstanding -
basic (thousands) |
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average |
|
564,213 |
|
|
564,211 |
|
|
561,173 |
|
|
563,674 |
|
|
560,657 |
|
End of period |
|
564,213 |
|
|
564,213 |
|
|
561,227 |
|
|
564,213 |
|
|
561,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BENCHMARK
PRICES |
|
|
|
|
|
Crude
oil |
|
|
|
|
|
WTI (US$/bbl) |
$ |
77.19 |
|
$ |
70.56 |
|
$ |
42.66 |
|
$ |
67.92 |
|
$ |
39.40 |
|
MEH oil (US$/bbl) |
|
78.89 |
|
|
71.64 |
|
|
43.05 |
|
|
69.26 |
|
|
40.15 |
|
MEH oil differential to WTI (US$/bbl) |
|
1.70 |
|
|
1.08 |
|
|
0.39 |
|
|
1.34 |
|
|
0.75 |
|
Edmonton par ($/bbl) |
|
93.29 |
|
|
83.78 |
|
|
50.24 |
|
|
80.23 |
|
|
45.34 |
|
Edmonton par differential to WTI (US$/bbl) |
|
(3.15 |
) |
|
(4.07 |
) |
|
(4.11 |
) |
|
(3.92 |
) |
|
(5.60 |
) |
WCS heavy oil ($/bbl) |
|
78.82 |
|
|
71.81 |
|
|
43.46 |
|
|
68.79 |
|
|
35.95 |
|
WCS differential to WTI (US$/bbl) |
|
(14.63 |
) |
|
(13.57 |
) |
|
(9.31 |
) |
|
(13.05 |
) |
|
(12.60 |
) |
Natural
gas |
|
|
|
|
|
NYMEX (US$/mmbtu) |
$ |
5.83 |
|
$ |
4.01 |
|
$ |
2.66 |
|
$ |
3.84 |
|
$ |
2.08 |
|
AECO ($/mcf) |
|
4.94 |
|
|
3.54 |
|
|
2.77 |
|
|
3.56 |
|
|
2.24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CAD/USD average exchange rate |
|
1.2600 |
|
|
1.2601 |
|
|
1.3031 |
|
|
1.2536 |
|
|
1.3413 |
|
|
Three Months Ended |
Twelve Months Ended |
|
December 31, 2021 |
September 30, 2021 |
December 31, 2020 |
December 31, 2021 |
December 31, 2020 |
OPERATING |
|
|
|
|
|
Daily
Production |
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil and condensate (bbl/d) |
|
34,986 |
|
|
35,614 |
|
|
29,568 |
|
|
35,789 |
|
|
37,056 |
|
Heavy oil (bbl/d) |
|
23,482 |
|
|
21,996 |
|
|
21,725 |
|
|
22,188 |
|
|
21,142 |
|
NGL (bbl/d) |
|
7,984 |
|
|
7,174 |
|
|
6,495 |
|
|
7,244 |
|
|
7,340 |
|
Total liquids (bbl/d) |
|
66,452 |
|
|
64,784 |
|
|
57,788 |
|
|
65,221 |
|
|
65,538 |
|
Natural gas (mcf/d) |
|
86,029 |
|
|
90,528 |
|
|
76,116 |
|
|
89,606 |
|
|
85,464 |
|
Oil equivalent (boe/d @ 6:1) (3) |
|
80,789 |
|
|
79,872 |
|
|
70,475 |
|
|
80,156 |
|
|
79,781 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Netback
(thousands of Canadian dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
Total sales, net of blending
and other expense (2) |
$ |
523,382 |
|
$ |
469,155 |
|
$ |
222,745 |
|
$ |
1,782,506 |
|
$ |
927,096 |
|
Royalties |
|
(100,152 |
) |
|
(90,523 |
) |
|
(37,807 |
) |
|
(339,156 |
) |
|
(163,735 |
) |
Operating expense |
|
(95,357 |
) |
|
(84,196 |
) |
|
(79,748 |
) |
|
(343,002 |
) |
|
(331,345 |
) |
Transportation expense |
|
(8,169 |
) |
|
(7,818 |
) |
|
(6,692 |
) |
|
(32,261 |
) |
|
(28,437 |
) |
Operating netback (2) |
$ |
319,704 |
|
$ |
286,618 |
|
$ |
98,498 |
|
$ |
1,068,087 |
|
$ |
403,579 |
|
General and administrative |
|
(11,481 |
) |
|
(9,980 |
) |
|
(9,314 |
) |
|
(40,804 |
) |
|
(34,268 |
) |
Cash financing and interest |
|
(21,319 |
) |
|
(22,793 |
) |
|
(25,194 |
) |
|
(92,069 |
) |
|
(106,534 |
) |
Realized financial derivatives (loss) gain |
|
(70,544 |
) |
|
(53,905 |
) |
|
17,105 |
|
|
(184,241 |
) |
|
47,836 |
|
Other (4) |
|
(1,594 |
) |
|
(1,543 |
) |
|
1,081 |
|
|
(5,345 |
) |
|
893 |
|
Adjusted funds flow (1) |
$ |
214,766 |
|
$ |
198,397 |
|
$ |
82,176 |
|
$ |
745,628 |
|
$ |
311,506 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Netback per
boe (5) |
|
|
|
|
|
Total sales, net of blending
and other expense (2) |
$ |
70.42 |
|
$ |
63.85 |
|
$ |
34.35 |
|
$ |
60.93 |
|
$ |
31.75 |
|
Royalties |
|
(13.47 |
) |
|
(12.32 |
) |
|
(5.83 |
) |
|
(11.59 |
) |
|
(5.61 |
) |
Operating expense |
|
(12.83 |
) |
|
(11.46 |
) |
|
(12.30 |
) |
|
(11.72 |
) |
|
(11.35 |
) |
Transportation expense |
|
(1.10 |
) |
|
(1.06 |
) |
|
(1.03 |
) |
|
(1.10 |
) |
|
(0.97 |
) |
Operating netback (2) |
$ |
43.02 |
|
$ |
39.01 |
|
$ |
15.19 |
|
$ |
36.52 |
|
$ |
13.82 |
|
General and administrative |
|
(1.54 |
) |
|
(1.36 |
) |
|
(1.44 |
) |
|
(1.39 |
) |
|
(1.17 |
) |
Cash financing and interest |
|
(2.87 |
) |
|
(3.10 |
) |
|
(3.89 |
) |
|
(3.15 |
) |
|
(3.65 |
) |
Realized financial derivatives (loss) gain |
|
(9.49 |
) |
|
(7.34 |
) |
|
2.64 |
|
|
(6.30 |
) |
|
1.64 |
|
Other (4) |
|
(0.23 |
) |
|
(0.21 |
) |
|
0.17 |
|
|
(0.19 |
) |
|
0.03 |
|
Adjusted funds flow (1) |
$ |
28.89 |
|
$ |
27.00 |
|
$ |
12.67 |
|
$ |
25.49 |
|
$ |
10.67 |
|
Notes:
(1) Capital management measure. Refer to the
Specified Financial Measures section in this press release for
further information.(2) Specified financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures presented by
other entities. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures section
in this press release for further information.(3) Barrel of oil
equivalent ("boe") amounts have been calculated using a conversion
rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of
oil. The use of boe amounts may be misleading, particularly if used
in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of
natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. (4) Other is
comprised of realized foreign exchange gain or loss, other income
or expense, current income tax expense or recovery and share-based
compensation. Refer to the 2021 MD&A for further information on
these amounts.(5) Calculated as royalties, operating or
transportation expense divided by barrels of oil equivalent
production volume for the applicable period.2021
Results
In 2021, we delivered strong operating and
financial results and continued to advance our exciting new
Clearwater play in northwest Alberta with four of the highest
initial rate wells drilled to date in the play. We also delivered
on our commitment to maintain capital discipline, maximize free
cash flow and reduce our net debt. Production exceeded the high end
of our annual guidance and we generated record free cash flow(1) of
$421 million, which meaningfully accelerated our debt reduction
efforts.
Production during the fourth quarter averaged
80,789 boe/d (82% oil and NGL), as compared to 79,872 boe/d (82%
oil and NGL) in Q3/2021. The higher volumes largely reflect a
resumption of activity during the second half of the year.
Production in 2021 averaged 80,156 boe/d as compared to 79,781
boe/d in 2020. Exploration and development expenditures totaled $74
million in Q4/2021 and $313 million for full-year 2021. We
participated in the drilling of 231 (174.2 net) wells with a 100%
success rate during the year.
We delivered adjusted funds flow(2) of $215
million ($0.38 per basic share) in Q4/2021 and $746 million ($1.32
per basic share) in 2021. This resulted in a record level of free
cash flow of $137 million ($0.24 per basic share) in Q4/2021 and
$421 million ($0.75 per basic share) in 2021. We allocated 100% of
our free cash flow to debt repayment, reducing net debt(2) by 24%
to $1.4 billion at year-end 2021, from $1.8 billion at year-end
2020.
We recorded net income of $563 million ($1.00
per basic share) in Q4/2021 and $1.6 billion ($2.86 per basic
share) in 2021. During 2021, we identified indicators of impairment
reversal for our oil and gas properties due to the increase in
forecasted commodity prices. As a result, we recorded an impairment
reversal of $0.4 billion in Q4/2021 and $1.5 billion for the
full-year 2021 as the estimated recoverable amounts exceeded the
carrying value of our oil and gas properties.
The following table compares our 2021 results to
our 2021 guidance.
|
2021 Guidance |
|
|
Original (3) |
Revised (4) |
2021 Results |
Exploration and development expenditures |
$225 - $275 million |
$285 - $315 million |
$313 million |
Production (boe/d) |
73,000 - 77,000 |
77,000 - 79,000 |
80,156 |
|
|
|
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
Average royalty rate (1) |
18.0% - 18.5% |
18.0% - 18.5% |
19.0% |
Operating (5) |
$11.50 - $12.25/boe |
$11.25 - $12.00/boe |
$11.72/boe |
Transportation (5) |
$1.00 - $1.10/boe |
$1.15 - $1.25/boe |
$1.10/boe |
General and administrative
(5) |
$42 million ($1.53/boe) |
$42 million ($1.48/boe) |
$41 million ($1.39/boe) |
Interest (5) |
$105 million ($3.84/boe) |
$98 million ($3.46/boe) |
$92 million ($3.15/boe) |
|
|
|
|
Leasing expenditures |
$4 million |
$4 million |
$4 million |
Asset
retirement obligations (6) |
$6 million |
$6 million |
$7 million |
Operating Results
Eagle Ford and Viking Light Oil
Production in the Eagle Ford averaged 30,428
boe/d (82% oil and NGL) during Q4/2021 and 30,731 boe/d for the
full-year 2021. In 2021, we invested $105 million on
exploration and development in the Eagle Ford and generated an
operating netback(1) of $437 million. During 2021, we participated
in the drilling of 67 (15.5 net) wells and brought 93 (23.1 net)
wells onstream. We expect to bring approximately 14 net wells
onstream in 2022.
(1) Specified financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures presented by
other entities. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures section
in this press release for further information.(2) Capital
management measure. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures
section in this press release for further information.(3) As
announced on December 2, 2020. (4) As announced on April 29, 2021.
This guidance reference date included the introduction of a
five-year outlook. 2021 guidance was subsequently tightened on
November 4, 2021 reflecting year-to-date results to $300 to $315
million for exploration and development expenditures, 79,500 to
80,000 boe/d for production, 18.5% to 19.0% for average royalty
rates, $11.25/boe to $11.75/boe for operating expenses, $1.10/boe
to $1.15/boe for transportation expenses and $92 million
($3.16/boe) for interest expense. (5) Calculated as operating,
transportation, general and administrative or interest expense
divided by barrels of oil equivalent production volume for the
applicable period.(6) Government grants reduced asset retirement
obligations by $3 million in 2021.
Production in the Viking averaged 16,313 boe/d
(88% oil and NGL) during Q4/2021 and 17,278 boe/d for the full-year
2021. In 2021, we invested $116 million on exploration and
development in the Viking and generated an operating netback(1) of
$327 million. During 2021, we participated in the drilling of 123
(121.2 net) wells and brought 116 (114.2 net) wells onstream. We
expect to bring approximately 145 net wells onstream in 2022.
Heavy Oil
Our heavy oil assets at Peace River and
Lloydminster (excluding our Clearwater development) produced a
combined 24,217 boe/d (91% oil and NGL) during Q4/2021 and 23,579
boe/d for the full-year 2021. Our 2021 drilling program was heavily
weighted to H2/2021 and included three net Bluesky wells at Peace
River and 21.5 net wells at Lloydminster. In 2021, we invested $38
million on exploration and development in Peace River and
Lloydminster and generated an operating netback(1) of $231 million.
In 2022, we will drill approximately nine net Bluesky wells at
Peace River and 37 net wells at Lloydminster.
Peace River Clearwater
We are committed to building and maintaining
respectful relationships with Indigenous communities and creating
opportunities for meaningful economic participation and inclusion.
We have executed two strategic agreements with the Peavine Métis
Settlement in the Peace River area that cover 80 sections of land
directly to the south of our existing Seal operations. At the time,
we identified potential for an early stage exploratory play
targeting the Spirit River formation, a Clearwater formation
equivalent. When combined with our legacy acreage position in
northwest Alberta, we estimate that over 125 sections are highly
prospective for Clearwater development.
Our 2021 appraisal program yielded exceptional
results with production increasing from zero at the beginning of
2021 to over 3,000 bbl/d in January 2022. Our two eight-lateral
wells (6-31 and 14-31) drilled during the fourth quarter and
offsetting our highest initial rate well (11-31) generated 30-day
initial production rates of 921 bbl/d and 815 bbl/d, respectively.
With the performance of these two wells, our Peavine development
has now yielded four of the top five initial rate Clearwater wells
drilled-to date across the entire play. In addition, our eight
lateral appraisal well (14-11) drilled on our northern acreage
generated a very economic initial production rate (through its
first twenty-five days of production) of approximately 120 bbl/d,
consistent with our expectations. On our Seal legacy lands, we
drilled a successful exploration well in late 2021 with a 30-day
initial production rate of 147 bbl/d and we have a follow-up well
scheduled for H2/2022.
The following table summarizes the results of
our 2021 appraisal program.
Area |
Well |
Spud |
Rig Release |
# of Laterals |
30-Day Initial Production
Rate(bbl/d) (2) |
Peavine |
100/04-34 |
January 7 |
January 15 |
2 |
175 |
Peavine |
102/04-34 |
June 15 |
June 21 |
2 |
175 |
Peavine |
100/13-27 |
June 22 |
July 6 |
8 |
695 |
Peavine |
100/05-34 |
July 8 |
July 18 |
8 |
412 |
Peavine |
102/11-31 |
July 20 |
August 4 |
8 |
930 |
Peavine |
100/06-31 |
November 4 |
November 15 |
8 |
921 |
Peavine |
100/14-31 |
November 17 |
November 27 |
8 |
815 |
Peavine |
100/14-11 |
November 29 |
December 11 |
8 |
120 |
Seal |
100/12-34 |
October 21 |
November 2 |
6 |
147 |
Our first quarter 2022 drilling program is
underway with two rigs that will see ten wells drilled on our
Peavine lands. Importantly, we have successfully executed our first
three extended reach horizontal multi-lateral wells at Peavine,
which are utilized to provide appropriate set-backs to residents
and environmentally sensitive areas. In aggregate, we expect to
bring 18 wells onstream this year. To-date, we have de-risked 20
sections of land and pending further success, the play holds the
potential for greater than 200 locations. The Clearwater generates
strong economics with the ability to grow organically while
enhancing our free cash flow profile.
Pembina Area Duvernay Light Oil
Production in the Pembina Duvernay averaged
2,668 boe/d (83% oil and NGL) during Q4/2021 and 2,008 boe/d for
the full-year 2021. The increased volumes during the fourth quarter
reflect two wells brought onstream in October 2021. As a follow-up
to our 2021 program, we are currently drilling a three-well pad
which is expected to be onstream in Q3/2022.
(1) Specified financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures presented by
other entities. Refer to the Specified Financial Measures section
in this press release for further information.(2) 30-Day Initial
Production Rate (bbl/d) is defined as the average oil rate over the
first 720 hours of production following drilling fluid
recovery.
Financial Liquidity
Our credit facilities total approximately
$1.0 billion and have a maturity date of April 2, 2024. These
are not borrowing base facilities and do not require annual or
semi-annual reviews. As of December 31, 2021, we had
$506 million of undrawn capacity on our credit facilities,
resulting in liquidity, net of working capital, of
$489 million.
Our net debt(1), which includes our credit
facilities, long-term notes and working capital, totaled
$1.4 billion at December 31, 2021, down from $1.6 billion
at September 30, 2021.
During 2021, we repurchased and cancelled US$200
million of the 5.625% long term notes due June 2024. This
represents 50% of the original US$400 million outstanding.
Risk Management
To manage commodity price movements, we utilize
various financial derivative contracts and crude-by-rail to reduce
the volatility of our adjusted funds flow.
For 2022, we have entered into hedges on
approximately 41% of our net crude oil exposure utilizing a
combination of a 3-way option structure that provides price
protection at US$57.76/bbl with upside participation to
US$67.51/bbl and swaptions at US$53.50/bbl. We also have WTI-MSW
differential hedges on approximately 25% of our expected net
Canadian light oil exposure at US$4.43/bbl and WCS differential
hedges on approximately 70% of our expected net heavy oil exposure
at a WTI-WCS differential of approximately US$12.28/bbl.
For 2023, we have entered into hedges on
approximately 9% of our net crude oil exposure utilizing a 3-way
option structure that provides price protection at US$71.00/bbl
with upside participation to US$88.18/bbl
A complete listing of our financial derivative
contracts can be found in Note 17 to our 2021 financial
statements.
Environmental Stewardship
The energy industry and society are undergoing a
transition to a low-carbon economy. We believe oil and gas will be
instrumental in this energy transition. As a responsible energy
producer, we are committed to monitoring greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions from our operations, setting targets to reduce our GHG
emissions intensity, and pursuing cost-effective decarbonization
strategies.
In 2019, we established a GHG emissions
reduction target. Our objective was to reduce our corporate GHG
emission intensity (tonnes of CO2e per boe) by 30% by 2021,
relative to our 2018 baseline. We exceeded this target in scope and
timing, achieving a 46% reduction in our GHG emissions intensity
through year-end 2020. This represented an annual reduction of 1.6
million tonnes of CO2e and was equivalent to taking 340,000 cars
off the road annually.
Continual improvement is an important element of
our corporate culture and we have set the bar higher. Our target is
to now reduce our corporate GHG emission intensity by a further 33%
from 2020 levels by 2025. This equates to an approximate 65%
reduction by 2025, relative to our 2018 baseline. Our emissions
reduction strategy includes increased gas conservation and
combustion, reusing associated gas as fuel for field activities,
reducing emissions from storage tanks, along with monitoring and
preventing fugitive emissions.
In 2021, we reduced our GHG emissions intensity
by 11% over 2020 levels. In 2022, we will invest approximately $10
million as part of our GHG mitigation program and expect to reduce
our GHG emissions intensity by approximately 7.5% over 2021
levels.
GHG Emissions Intensity (Scope 1 and
Scope 2)
|
2018 Baseline |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2025 Target |
Tonnes CO2e/boe |
0.112 |
0.095 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.041 |
(1) Capital management measure. Refer to the
Specified Financial Measures section in this press release for
further information.Our commitment to responsible development also
extends to the retirement of our assets. We plan for full lifecycle
development of our properties which includes the restoration,
abandonment and reclamation of assets that have reached the end of
their productive life. At December 31, 2020, we had an end of life
well inventory of approximately 4,500 wells. We have committed to
reducing this well inventory to zero by 2040 which represents a
proactive stance to managing future financial obligations and
regulatory compliance. In 2022, we will embark on an active
abandonment and reclamation program with approximately $35 million
being directed to pipeline, wellbore and facility decommissioning
along with well site reclamations.
Abandonment and Reclamation
|
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
2022 Plan |
Number of wells abandoned (gross) |
|
110 |
|
113 |
|
99 |
|
237 |
|
320 |
Spending in abandonment/reclamation ($ million) (1) |
$ |
14 |
$ |
15 |
$ |
9 |
$ |
10 |
$ |
35 |
Year-end 2021 Reserves
Baytex's year-end 2021 proved and probable
reserves were evaluated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants
Ltd. (“McDaniel”), an independent qualified reserves evaluator. All
of our oil and gas properties were evaluated in accordance with
National Instrument 51-101 “Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities” (“NI 51-101”) and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation
Handbook (the “COGE Handbook”) using the average commodity price
forecasts and inflation rates of McDaniel, GLJ Petroleum
Consultants (“GLJ”) and Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”) as
of January 1, 2022. Complete reserves disclosure will be included
in our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31,
2021, which will be filed on or before March 31, 2022.
Reserves Highlights
- Proved
developed producing ("PDP") reserves increased by 7%, from 120
mmboe to 129 mmboe. Proved reserves (“1P”) total 278 mmboe (271
mmboe at year-end 2020) and proved plus probable reserves (“2P”)
total 451 mmboe (462 mmboe at year-end 2020).
- Finding and
development ("F&D") costs, including changes in future
development costs (“FDC”), were $8.20/boe for PDP reserves,
$17.67/boe for 1P reserves and $24.55/boe for 2P reserves.
- Generated a
PDP recycle ratio of 4.5x and a 1P recycle ratio of 2.1x based on
2021 operating netback(2) of $36.52/boe.
- Reserves on a
1P basis are comprised of 80% oil and NGL (36% light oil, 26%
NGL’s, 17% heavy oil and 2% bitumen) and 20% natural gas. PDP
reserves represent 46% of 1P reserves (44% at year-end 2020) and 1P
reserves represent 62% of 2P reserves (59% at year-end 2020).
- Baytex
maintains a strong reserves life index of 4.4 years based on PDP
reserves, 9.4 years based on 1P reserves and 15.3 years based on 2P
reserves.
- At year-end,
2021, the present value of our reserves, discounted at 10% before
tax, is estimated to be $5.1 billion ($3.3 billion at year-end
2020). The increase is largely attributable to a higher commodity
price forecast being utilized by our reserves evaluator (consultant
average of approximately US$70/bbl WTI).
- Our net asset value at year-end
2021, discounted at 10% before tax, is $6.67 per share. This is
based on the estimated reserves value plus a value for undeveloped
acreage, net of long-term debt and working capital.
(1) Spending includes government grants received
for abandonment and reclamations of $2 million in 2020, $3 million
in 2021 and $15 million in 2022.(2) Specified financial measure
that does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and
may not be comparable with the calculation of similar measures
presented by other entities. Refer to the Specified Financial
Measures section in this press release for further information.
The following table sets forth our gross and net
reserves volumes at December 31, 2021 by product type and reserves
category. Please note that the data in the table may not add due to
rounding.
Reserves Summary
|
Light and Medium Oil |
Tight Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Bitumen |
Total Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids (3) |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) |
Shale Gas |
Total (5) |
Reserves Summary |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mmcf) |
(mmcf) |
(mboe) |
Gross (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved producing |
18,564 |
26,623 |
23,735 |
641 |
69,564 |
31,853 |
65,234 |
99,778 |
128,919 |
Proved developed non-producing |
664 |
314 |
765 |
— |
1,743 |
852 |
1,973 |
2,448 |
3,333 |
Proved undeveloped |
26,781 |
26,278 |
21,503 |
4,197 |
78,759 |
39,431 |
37,216 |
129,213 |
145,929 |
Total proved |
46,009 |
53,216 |
46,003 |
4,838 |
150,067 |
72,137 |
104,423 |
231,439 |
278,181 |
Total probable |
23,296 |
21,485 |
29,705 |
45,874 |
120,360 |
27,751 |
62,394 |
84,928 |
172,665 |
Proved plus probable |
69,305 |
74,701 |
75,709 |
50,713 |
270,427 |
99,888 |
166,817 |
316,367 |
450,846 |
Net (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved producing |
17,436 |
19,797 |
20,775 |
575 |
58,583 |
23,735 |
58,749 |
74,461 |
104,519 |
Proved developed non-producing |
617 |
232 |
689 |
— |
1,538 |
630 |
1,687 |
1,812 |
2,751 |
Proved undeveloped |
24,891 |
19,882 |
19,139 |
3,857 |
67,769 |
29,521 |
34,310 |
96,601 |
119,108 |
Total proved |
42,944 |
39,911 |
40,602 |
4,432 |
127,890 |
53,885 |
94,745 |
172,874 |
226,378 |
Total probable |
21,399 |
16,404 |
25,547 |
37,186 |
100,535 |
20,970 |
56,747 |
64,506 |
141,715 |
Proved plus probable |
64,343 |
56,315 |
66,149 |
41,618 |
228,425 |
74,856 |
151,492 |
237,381 |
368,093 |
Notes:(1) “Gross” reserves means the total working interest
share of remaining recoverable reserves owned by Baytex before
deductions of royalties payable to others.(2) “Net” reserves means
Baytex's gross reserves less all royalties payable to others plus
royalty interest reserves.(3) Natural Gas Liquids includes
condensate.(4) Conventional Natural Gas includes associated,
non-associated and solution gas.(5) Oil equivalent amounts have
been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet
of natural gas to one barrel of oil. BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six
thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on
an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead.
Reserves Reconciliation
The following table reconciles the
year-over-year changes in our gross reserves volumes by product
type and reserves category. Please note that the data in the table
may not add due to rounding.
Proved Reserves – Gross Volumes
(1) (Forecast Prices)
|
Light and Medium Oil |
Tight Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Bitumen |
Total Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids (3) |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) |
Shale Gas |
Total (5) |
|
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mmcf) |
(mmcf) |
(mboe) |
December 31, 2020 |
52,067 |
53,316 |
35,412 |
5,737 |
146,532 |
72,475 |
87,894 |
226,334 |
271,378 |
Extensions |
3,227 |
4,370 |
8,977 |
— |
16,574 |
4,294 |
16,032 |
16,165 |
26,234 |
Technical Revisions (2) |
(6,059) |
520 |
2,949 |
(394) |
(2,984) |
(1,379) |
(1,649) |
1,599 |
(4,372) |
Acquisitions |
3 |
— |
1,228 |
— |
1,231 |
— |
— |
— |
1,231 |
Dispositions |
(2) |
(20) |
(260) |
— |
(282) |
(19) |
(313) |
(35) |
(360) |
Economic Factors |
2,509 |
612 |
5,160 |
130 |
8,411 |
1,159 |
20,547 |
1,995 |
13,326 |
Production |
(5,734) |
(5,581) |
(7,464) |
(635) |
(19,414) |
(4,392) |
(18,088) |
(14,619) |
(29,257) |
December 31, 2021 |
46,009 |
53,216 |
46,003 |
4,838 |
150,067 |
72,137 |
104,423 |
231,439 |
278,181 |
Probable Reserves – Gross
Volumes (1) (Forecast
Prices)
|
Light and Medium Oil |
Tight Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Bitumen |
Total Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids (3) |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) |
Shale Gas |
Total (5) |
|
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mmcf) |
(mmcf) |
(mboe) |
December 31, 2020 |
25,688 |
24,642 |
30,544 |
46,093 |
126,967 |
32,760 |
86,778 |
96,852 |
190,332 |
Extensions |
2,413 |
(2,315) |
(760) |
— |
(663) |
(2,989) |
(9,810) |
(10,055) |
(6,963) |
Technical Revisions (2) |
(5,357) |
(1,018) |
(1,721) |
(216) |
(8,312) |
(1,634) |
(70) |
(2,403) |
(10,359) |
Acquisitions |
— |
— |
458 |
— |
458 |
— |
— |
— |
458 |
Dispositions |
(5) |
(5) |
(225) |
— |
(235) |
(258) |
(7,224) |
(9) |
(1,699) |
Economic Factors |
556 |
182 |
1,409 |
(2) |
2,145 |
(127) |
(7,280) |
543 |
895 |
Production |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
December 31, 2021 |
23,296 |
21,485 |
29,705 |
45,874 |
120,360 |
27,751 |
62,394 |
84,928 |
172,665 |
Proved Plus Probable Reserves – Gross
Volumes (1) (Forecast
Prices)
|
Light and Medium Oil |
Tight Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Bitumen |
Total Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids (3) |
Conventional Natural Gas (4) |
Shale Gas |
Total (5) |
|
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mbbls) |
(mmcf) |
(mmcf) |
(mboe) |
December 31, 2020 |
77,755 |
77,958 |
65,956 |
51,830 |
273,499 |
105,235 |
174,671 |
323,186 |
461,710 |
Extensions |
5,640 |
2,054 |
8,217 |
— |
15,911 |
1,304 |
6,222 |
6,110 |
19,271 |
Technical Revisions (2) |
(11,416) |
(498) |
1,228 |
(610) |
(11,296) |
(3,013) |
(1,719) |
(804) |
(14,730) |
Acquisitions |
3 |
— |
1,686 |
— |
1,689 |
— |
— |
— |
1,689 |
Dispositions |
(7) |
(26) |
(485) |
— |
(517) |
(278) |
(7,536) |
(45) |
(2,058) |
Economic Factors |
3,065 |
794 |
6,570 |
127 |
10,556 |
1,031 |
13,267 |
2,538 |
14,221 |
Production |
(5,734) |
(5,581) |
(7,464) |
(635) |
(19,414) |
(4,392) |
(18,088) |
(14,619) |
(29,257) |
December 31, 2021 |
69,305 |
74,701 |
75,709 |
50,713 |
270,427 |
99,888 |
166,817 |
316,367 |
450,846 |
Notes:
(1) “Gross” reserves means the total working
interest share of remaining recoverable reserves owned by Baytex
before deductions of royalties payable to others.(2) Negative
revisions in light and medium oil are predominantly associated with
our Viking asset and due to variations in performance versus
previous forecasts and the removal of inventory locations with
higher finding and development costs. (3) Natural gas liquids
include condensate.(4) Conventional natural gas includes
associated, non-associated and solution gas.(5) Oil equivalent
amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six
thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. BOEs may
be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion
ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of
oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead.Future Development
Costs
The following table sets forth future
development costs deducted in the estimation of the future net
revenue attributable to the reserves categories noted below.
Future Development Costs ($ millions) |
ProvedReserves |
Proved Plus Probable
Reserves |
2022 |
416 |
423 |
2023 |
506 |
540 |
2024 |
517 |
562 |
2025 |
489 |
581 |
2026 |
398 |
657 |
Remainder |
84 |
987 |
Total FDC undiscounted |
2,410 |
3,750 |
F&D and FD&A Costs – including future
development costs
Based on the evaluation of our petroleum and
natural gas reserves prepared by McDaniel, the efficiency of our
capital program is summarized in the following table.
$
millions except for per boe amounts |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
|
2019 |
|
3 Year |
|
Proved plus Probable Reserves |
|
|
|
|
Finding &
Development Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development expenditures |
$ |
313.3 |
$ |
280.3 |
|
$ |
552.3 |
|
$ |
1,145.9 |
|
Net change in Future
Development Costs |
$ |
147.4 |
$ |
(705.9 |
) |
$ |
96.7 |
|
$ |
(461.8 |
) |
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
18.8 |
|
(38.4 |
) |
|
39.8 |
|
|
20.2 |
|
F&D Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
24.55 |
$ |
11.08 |
|
$ |
16.30 |
|
$ |
33.92 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finding, Development
& Acquisition (“FD&A”) Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures and net acquisitions |
$ |
307.1 |
$ |
280.2 |
|
$ |
554.5 |
|
$ |
1,141.7 |
|
Net change in Future
Development Costs |
$ |
144.4 |
$ |
(709.3 |
) |
$ |
79.9 |
|
$ |
(485.0 |
) |
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
18.4 |
|
(38.6 |
) |
|
38.6 |
|
|
18.5 |
|
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
24.55 |
$ |
11.12 |
|
$ |
16.42 |
|
$ |
35.59 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved
Reserves |
|
|
|
|
Finding &
Development Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures |
$ |
313.3 |
$ |
280.3 |
|
$ |
552.3 |
|
$ |
1,145.9 |
|
Net change in Future
Development Costs |
$ |
308.6 |
$ |
(464.4 |
) |
$ |
(90.4 |
) |
$ |
(246.2 |
) |
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
35.2 |
|
(13.1 |
) |
|
35.8 |
|
|
57.9 |
|
F&D Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
17.67 |
$ |
14.06 |
|
$ |
12.92 |
|
$ |
15.55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finding, Development
& Acquisition Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures and net acquisitions |
$ |
307.1 |
$ |
280.2 |
|
$ |
554.5 |
|
$ |
1,141.7 |
|
Net change in Future
Development Costs |
$ |
316.8 |
$ |
(464.4 |
) |
$ |
(107.2 |
) |
$ |
(254.7 |
) |
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
36.1 |
|
(13.1 |
) |
|
34.7 |
|
|
57.7 |
|
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
17.30 |
$ |
14.07 |
|
$ |
12.88 |
|
$ |
15.38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Developed
Producing Reserves |
|
|
|
|
Finding &
Development Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures |
$ |
313.3 |
$ |
280.3 |
|
$ |
552.3 |
|
$ |
1,145.9 |
|
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
38.2 |
|
7.7 |
|
|
42.5 |
|
|
88.2 |
|
F&D Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
8.20 |
$ |
36.63 |
|
$ |
13.04 |
|
$ |
12.99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Finding, Development
& Acquisition Costs |
|
|
|
|
Exploration and development
expenditures and net acquisitions |
$ |
307.1 |
$ |
280.2 |
|
$ |
554.5 |
|
$ |
1,141.7 |
|
Gross Reserves additions
(mmboe) |
|
38.1 |
|
7.6 |
|
|
42.5 |
|
|
88.3 |
|
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
$ |
8.06 |
$ |
36.64 |
|
$ |
13.04 |
|
$ |
12.93 |
|
Reserves Life Index
The following table sets forth our reserves life
index, which is calculated by dividing our proved and proved plus
probable reserves at year-end 2021 by annualized Q4/2021
production.
|
|
Reserves Life Index (years) |
|
Q4/2021Production |
Proved |
Proved Plus Probable |
Crude Oil and NGL (bbl/d) |
66,452 |
9.2 |
15.3 |
Natural
Gas (mcf/d) |
86,029 |
10.7 |
15.4 |
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) |
80,789 |
9.4 |
15.3 |
Forecast Prices and Costs
The following table summarizes the forecast
prices used in preparing the estimated reserves volumes and the net
present values of future net revenues at December 31, 2021.
The estimated future net revenue to be derived from the production
of the reserves is based on the following average of the price
forecasts of McDaniel, GLJ and Sproule as of January 1, 2022.
Year |
WTI Crude OilUS$/bbl |
Edmonton LightCrude Oil
$/bbl |
Western Canadian Select$/bbl |
Henry HubUS$/MMbtu |
AECO Spot $/MMbtu |
Inflation Rate %/Yr |
Exchange Rate$US/$Cdn |
2021 act. |
67.95 |
80.25 |
68.80 |
3.90 |
3.55 |
1.4 |
0.800 |
2022 |
72.83 |
86.82 |
74.42 |
3.85 |
3.56 |
— |
0.797 |
2023 |
68.78 |
80.73 |
69.17 |
3.44 |
3.21 |
2.3 |
0.797 |
2024 |
66.76 |
78.01 |
66.54 |
3.17 |
3.05 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2025 |
68.09 |
79.57 |
67.87 |
3.24 |
3.11 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2026 |
69.45 |
81.16 |
69.23 |
3.30 |
3.17 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2027 |
70.84 |
82.78 |
70.61 |
3.37 |
3.23 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2028 |
72.26 |
84.44 |
72.02 |
3.44 |
3.30 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2029 |
73.70 |
86.13 |
73.46 |
3.50 |
3.36 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2030 |
75.18 |
87.85 |
74.69 |
3.58 |
3.43 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
2031 |
76.68 |
89.61 |
76.19 |
3.65 |
3.50 |
2.0 |
0.797 |
Thereafter |
Escalation rate of 2.0% |
2.0 |
0.797 |
Net Present Value of Reserves
(1) (Forecast Prices and
Costs)
The following table summarizes the McDaniel
estimate of the net present value before income taxes of the future
net revenue attributable to our reserves.
Reserves at December 31, 2021 ($ millions, discounted at) |
0% |
|
5% |
|
10% |
|
15% |
|
Proved developed producing |
2,399 |
|
2,235 |
|
1,988 |
|
1,787 |
|
Proved developed
non-producing |
94 |
|
72 |
|
60 |
|
52 |
|
Proved
undeveloped |
2,852 |
|
1,948 |
|
1,399 |
|
1,040 |
|
Total proved |
5,345 |
|
4,255 |
|
3,448 |
|
2,880 |
|
Probable |
4,596 |
|
2,554 |
|
1,636 |
|
1,149 |
|
Total Proved Plus Probable (before tax) |
9,941 |
|
6,809 |
|
5,084 |
|
4,029 |
|
Note:
(1) Includes abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs
for all producing and non-producing wells and facilities.
Net Asset Value (Forecast Prices and
Costs)
Our estimated net asset value is based on the
estimated net present value of all future net revenue from our
reserves, before income taxes, as estimated by McDaniel at
year-end, plus the estimated value of our undeveloped land
holdings, less net debt. This calculation can vary significantly
depending on the oil and natural gas price assumptions. In
addition, this calculation does not consider "going concern" value
and assumes only the reserves identified in the reserves report
with no further acquisitions or incremental development.
The following table sets forth our net asset
value as at December 31, 2021.
($ millions, except per share amounts, discounted at) |
5% |
|
10% |
|
15% |
|
Net present value of proved plus probable reserves (1) |
6,809 |
|
5,084 |
|
4,029 |
|
Undeveloped land holdings
(2) |
89 |
|
89 |
|
89 |
|
Net
Debt (4) |
(1,410 |
) |
(1,410 |
) |
(1,410 |
) |
Net Asset Value |
5,488 |
|
3,763 |
|
2,708 |
|
Net
Asset Value per Share (3) |
9.73 |
|
6.67 |
|
4.80 |
|
Notes:
(1) Includes abandonment, decommissioning and
reclamation costs for all producing and non-producing wells and
facilities.(2) The value of undeveloped land holdings generally
represents the estimated replacement cost of our undeveloped land.
(3) Based on 564.2 million common shares outstanding as at December
31, 2021. (4) Capital management measure. Refer to the Specified
Financial Measures section in this press release for further
information.
Additional Information
Our audited consolidated financial statements
for the year ended December 31, 2021 and the related Management's
Discussion and Analysis of the operating and financial results can
be accessed on our website at www.baytexenergy.com and will be
available shortly through SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR at
www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml.
Conference Call Tomorrow9:00 a.m. MST
(11:00 a.m. EST) |
Baytex will host a conference call tomorrow, February 25, 2022,
starting at 9:00am MST (11:00am EST). To participate, please dial
toll free in North America 1-800-319-4610 or international
1-416-915-3239. Alternatively, to listen to the conference call
online, please enter
http://services.choruscall.ca/links/baytex20220225.html in your web
browser.An archived recording of the conference call will be
available shortly after the event by accessing the webcast link
above. The conference call will also be archived on the Baytex
website at www.baytexenergy.com. |
Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
In the interest of providing Baytex's
shareholders and potential investors with information regarding
Baytex, including management's assessment of Baytex's future plans
and operations, certain statements in this press release are
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United
States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and
"forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities legislation (collectively, "forward-looking
statements"). In some cases, forward-looking statements can be
identified by terminology such as "believe", "continue",
""estimate", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "may", "objective",
"ongoing", "outlook", "potential", "project", "plan", "should",
"target", "would", "will" or similar words suggesting future
outcomes, events or performance. The forward-looking statements
contained in this press release speak only as of the date thereof
and are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Specifically, this press release contains
forward-looking statements relating to but not limited to: our
business strategies, plans and objectives; that we expect to
generate more than $550 million of free cash flow in 2022 and reach
our $1.2 billion net debt target in Q2/2022; the next phase of our
return of capital frame work, which includes allocating 25% of free
cash flow to share buy backs starting in Q2/2022; in 2022 that: we
expect to benefit from our diversified oil weighted portfolio and a
commitment to allocate capital effectively and our program is
designed to generate stable production while scaling up development
in the Clearwater; our guidance for 2022 exploration and
development expenditures, production, royalty rate, operating,
transportation, general and administration and interest expense and
leasing expenditures and asset retirement obligations; we expect to
allocate 25% of free cash flow to share buy backs starting in
Q2/2022 with the remainder of our free cash flow allocated to debt
repayment until we achieve a net debt level of $800 million, our
expected net debt to EBITDA ratios at such net debt level at $US55
WTI and $US75 WTI and our expectation that we will achieve that net
debt level by mid-2023 at which point we will consider enhanced
shareholder returns; in the Eagle Ford that we expect to bring 14
net wells onstream in 2022; in the Viking that we expect to bring
145 nets wells onstream in 2022; in 2022, that we will drill ~9 net
Bluesky wells at Peace River and 37 net wells at Lloydminster; we
have 125 sections that are highly prospective for Clearwater
development; we have a follow-up Clearwater well scheduled on our
legacy Seal lands in H2/2022; we are drilling 10 wells in Q1/2022
on our Peavine lands and expect to bring 18 wells onstream in 2022;
our Clearwater play holds the potential for greater than 200
locations, has strong economics and the ability to grow organically
while enhancing free cash flow; in Duvernay that we are drilling a
three well pad expected to be onstream in Q3/2022; that we use
financial derivative contracts and crude-by-rail to reduce adjusted
funds flow volatility, the percentage of our expected production in
2022 of Canadian light oil and heavy oil for which we have hedged
the differential to WTI and the percentage of our 2022 and 2023 net
crude exposure that is hedged; that we are committed to monitoring
GHG emissions, setting targets and pursuing cost-effective
decarbonization strategies; our 2025 GHG emissions intensity
reduction target and our strategies to reach the target; our 2022
expected spending on GHG mitigation; our commitment to abandon and
reclaim 4,500 wells by 2040, the number of wells we expect to
abandon and our expected 2022 spending on abandonment and
reclamation; future development costs, F&D and FD&A; our
reserves life index; forecast prices for oil and natural gas;
forecast inflation and exchange rates; the net present value before
income taxes of the future net revenue attributable to our
reserves; the value of our undeveloped land holdings and our
estimated net asset value. In addition, information and statements
relating to reserves are deemed to be forward-looking statements,
as they involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves described exist in quantities
predicted or estimated, and that they can be profitably produced in
the future.
These forward-looking statements are based on
certain key assumptions regarding, among other things: petroleum
and natural gas prices and differentials between light, medium and
heavy oil prices; well production rates and reserve volumes; our
ability to add production and reserves through our exploration and
development activities; capital expenditure levels; our ability to
borrow under our credit agreements; the receipt, in a timely
manner, of regulatory and other required approvals for our
operating activities; the availability and cost of labour and other
industry services; interest and foreign exchange rates; the
continuance of existing and, in certain circumstances, proposed
tax, carbon tax and royalty regimes; our ability to develop our
crude oil and natural gas properties in the manner currently
contemplated; and current industry conditions, laws and regulations
continuing in effect (or, where changes are proposed, such changes
being adopted as anticipated). Readers are cautioned that such
assumptions, although considered reasonable by Baytex at the time
of preparation, may prove to be incorrect.
Actual results achieved will vary from the
information provided herein as a result of numerous known and
unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Such factors
include, but are not limited to: the volatility of oil and natural
gas prices and price differentials (including the impacts of
Covid-19); restrictions or costs imposed by climate change
initiatives and the physical risks of climate change; risks
associated with our ability to develop our properties and add
reserves; the impact of an energy transition on demand for
petroleum productions; changes in income tax or other laws or
government incentive programs; availability and cost of gathering,
processing and pipeline systems; retaining or replacing our
leadership and key personnel; the availability and cost of capital
or borrowing; risks associated with a third-party operating our
Eagle Ford properties; risks associated with large projects; costs
to develop and operate our properties; public perception and its
influence on the regulatory regime; current or future control,
legislation or regulations; new regulations on hydraulic
fracturing; restrictions on or access to water or other fluids;
regulations regarding the disposal of fluids; risks associated with
our hedging activities; variations in interest rates and foreign
exchange rates; uncertainties associated with estimating oil and
natural gas reserves; our inability to fully insure against all
risks; additional risks associated with our thermal heavy oil
projects; our ability to compete with other organizations in the
oil and gas industry; risks associated with our use of information
technology systems; results of litigation; that our credit
facilities may not provide sufficient liquidity or may not be
renewed; failure to comply with the covenants in our debt
agreements; risks of counterparty default; the impact of Indigenous
claims; risks associated with expansion into new activities; risks
associated with the ownership of our securities, including changes
in market-based factors; risks for United States and other
non-resident shareholders, including the ability to enforce civil
remedies, differing practices for reporting reserves and
production, additional taxation applicable to non-residents and
foreign exchange risk; and other factors, many of which are beyond
our control.
These and additional risk factors are discussed
in our Annual Information Form, Annual Report on Form 40-F and
Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December
31, 2021, to be filed with Canadian securities regulatory
authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission not
later than March 31, 2022 and in our other public filings.
The above summary of assumptions and risks
related to forward-looking statements has been provided in order to
provide shareholders and potential investors with a more complete
perspective on Baytex’s current and future operations and such
information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
There is no representation by Baytex that actual
results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as those
referenced in the forward-looking statements and Baytex does not
undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the
included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required
by applicable securities law.
All amounts in this press release are stated in
Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified.
Specified Financial
Measures
In this press release, we refer to certain
financial measures (such as free cash flow, operating netback,
average royalty rate and total sales, net of blending and other
expense) which do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by
IFRS. While free cash flow and operating netback are commonly used
in the oil and gas industry, our determination of these measures
may not be comparable with calculations of similar measures for
other issuers. In addition, this press release contains the terms
adjusted funds flow and net debt, which are considered capital
management measures.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Total sales, net of blending and other
expense
Total sales, net of blending and other expense
is not a measurement based on GAAP in Canada and represents the
revenues realized from produced volumes during a period. Total
sales, net of blending and other expense is comprised of total
petroleum and natural gas sales adjusted for blending and other
expense. We believe including the blending and other expense
associated with purchased volumes is useful when analyzing our
realized pricing for produced volumes against benchmark commodity
prices.
Operating netback
Operating netback is not a measurement based on
GAAP in Canada, but is a financial term commonly used in the oil
and gas industry. Operating netback is equal to petroleum and
natural gas sales less blending expense, royalties, production and
operating expense and transportation expense. Our determination of
operating netback may not be comparable with the calculation of
similar measures for other entities. We believe that this measure
assists in characterizing our ability to generate cash margin on a
unit of production basis and is a key measure used to evaluate our
operating performance.
The following table reconciles total sales, net
of blending and other expense and operating netback to petroleum
and natural gas sales.
|
Years Ended December 31 |
($ thousands) |
|
2021 |
|
|
2020 |
|
Petroleum and natural gas sales |
$ |
1,868,195 |
|
$ |
975,477 |
|
Blending and other expense |
|
(85,689 |
) |
|
(48,381 |
) |
Total sales, net of blending and other expense |
|
1,782,506 |
|
|
927,096 |
|
Royalties |
|
(339,156 |
) |
|
(163,735 |
) |
Operating expense |
|
(343,002 |
) |
|
(331,345 |
) |
Transportation expense |
|
(32,261 |
) |
|
(28,437 |
) |
Operating netback |
|
1,068,087 |
|
|
403,579 |
|
Free cash flow
Free cash flow is not a measurement based on
GAAP in Canada. We define free cash flow as cash flows from
operating activities adjusted for changes in non-cash working
capital, additions to exploration and evaluation assets, additions
to oil and gas properties and payments on lease obligations. Our
determination of free cash flow may not be comparable to other
issuers. We use free cash flow to evaluate funds available for debt
repayment, common share repurchases, potential future dividends and
acquisition and disposition opportunities.Free cash flow is
reconciled to cash flows from operating activities in the following
table.
|
Years Ended December 31 |
($ thousands) |
|
2021 |
|
|
2020 |
|
Cash flows from operating activities |
$ |
712,384 |
|
$ |
353,096 |
|
Change in non-cash working
capital |
|
26,582 |
|
|
(48,758 |
) |
Additions to exploration and
evaluation assets |
|
(3,298 |
) |
|
(4,490 |
) |
Additions to oil and gas
properties |
|
(310,005 |
) |
|
(275,850 |
) |
Payments on lease obligations |
|
(4,334 |
) |
|
(5,925 |
) |
Free cash flow |
$ |
421,329 |
|
$ |
18,073 |
|
Non-GAAP Financial Ratios
Total sales, net of blending and other expense
per boe
Total sales, net of blending and other per boe
is used to compare our realized pricing to applicable benchmark
prices and is calculated as total sales, net of blending and other
expense divided by barrels of oil equivalent production volume for
the applicable period.
Average royalty rate
Average royalty rate is used to evaluate the
performance of our operations from period to period and is
comprised of royalties divided by total sales, net of blending and
other expense. The actual royalty rates can vary for a number of
reasons, including the commodity produced, royalty contract terms,
commodity price level, royalty incentives and the area or
jurisdiction.
Operating netback per boe
Operating netback per boe is equal to operating
netback divided by barrels of oil equivalent sales volume for the
applicable period and is used to assess our operating performance
on a unit of production basis.
Capital Management Measures
Net debt
We define net debt to be the sum of our credit
facilities and long-term notes outstanding adjusted for unamortized
debt issuance costs, trade and other payables, cash and trade and
other receivables. Our definition of net debt may not be comparable
to other issuers. We believe that this measure assists in providing
a more complete understanding of our cash liabilities and provides
a key measure to assess our liquidity. We use the principal amounts
of the credit facilities and long-term notes outstanding in the
calculation of net debt as these amounts represent our ultimate
repayment obligation at maturity. The carrying amount of debt issue
costs associated with the credit facilities and long-term notes is
excluded on the basis that these amounts have already been paid by
Baytex at inception of the contract and do not represent an
additional source of capital or repayment obligation.
The following table summarizes our calculation
of net debt.
($
thousands) |
December 31, 2021 |
|
December 31, 2020 |
|
Credit facilities |
$ |
505,171 |
|
$ |
649,221 |
|
Unamortized debt issuance
costs - Credit facilities(1) |
|
1,343 |
|
|
1,952 |
|
Long-term notes |
|
874,527 |
|
|
1,132,868 |
|
Unamortized debt issuance
costs - Long-term notes(1) |
|
11,393 |
|
|
15,082 |
|
Trade and other payables |
|
190,692 |
|
|
155,955 |
|
Trade
and other receivables |
|
(173,409 |
) |
|
(107,477 |
) |
Net debt |
$ |
1,409,717 |
|
$ |
1,847,601 |
|
(1) Unamortized debt issuance costs were
obtained from Note 7 Credit Facilities and Note 8 Long-term Notes
from the Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended
December 31, 2021.Adjusted funds flow
Adjusted funds flow is a financial term commonly
used in the oil and gas industry. We define adjusted funds flow as
cash flow from operating activities adjusted for changes in
non-cash operating working capital and asset retirement obligations
settled. Our determination of adjusted funds flow may not be
comparable to other issuers. We consider adjusted funds flow a key
measure that provides a more complete understanding of operating
performance and our ability to generate funds for exploration and
development expenditures, debt repayment, settlement of our
abandonment obligations and potential future dividends.
Adjusted funds flow is reconciled to amounts
disclosed in the primary financial statements in the following
table.
|
Years Ended December 31 |
($ thousands) |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
Cash flows from operating activities |
$ |
712,384 |
$ |
353,096 |
|
Change in non-cash working
capital |
|
26,582 |
|
(48,758 |
) |
Asset retirement obligations
settled |
|
6,662 |
|
7,168 |
|
Adjusted funds flow |
$ |
745,628 |
$ |
311,506 |
|
Advisory Regarding Oil and Gas
Information
The reserves information contained in this press
release has been prepared in accordance with NI 51-101. Complete NI
51-101 reserves disclosure will be included in our Annual
Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2021, which will
be filed on or before March 31, 2022. Listed below are
cautionary statements that are specifically required by NI
51-101:
- The term
barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic
feet of natural gas to one boe (6 mcf/bbl) is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil
as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the
energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis
may be misleading as an indication of value.
- With respect
to finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration
and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year
and the change during that year in estimated future development
costs generally will not reflect total finding and development
costs related to reserves additions for that year.
- This press
release contains estimates of the net present value of our future
net revenue from our reserves. Such amounts do not represent the
fair market value of our reserves.
Throughout this press release, “oil and NGL”
refers to heavy oil, bitumen, light and medium oil, tight oil,
condensate and natural gas liquids (“NGL”) product types as defined
by NI 51-101. The following table shows Baytex’s disaggregated
production volumes for the three and twelve months ended December
31, 2021. The NI 51-101 product types are included as follows:
“Heavy Oil” - heavy oil and bitumen, “Light and Medium Oil” - light
and medium oil, tight oil and condensate, “NGL” - natural gas
liquids and “Natural Gas” - shale gas and conventional natural
gas.
|
Three Months Ended December 31, 2021 |
|
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2021 |
|
Heavy Oil (bbl/d) |
Light and Medium Oil (bbl/d) |
NGL (bbl/d) |
Natural Gas (Mcf/d) |
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) |
|
Heavy Oil (bbl/d) |
Light and Medium Oil (bbl/d) |
NGL (bbl/d) |
Natural Gas (Mcf/d) |
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) |
Canada – Heavy |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Peace River |
11,491 |
8 |
22 |
11,027 |
13,359 |
|
11,198 |
7 |
23 |
11,408 |
13,130 |
Lloydminster |
10,566 |
12 |
— |
1,677 |
10,858 |
|
10,202 |
6 |
— |
1,448 |
10,449 |
Peavine |
1,425 |
— |
— |
— |
1,425 |
|
788 |
— |
— |
— |
788 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Canada -
Light |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Viking |
— |
14,200 |
166 |
11,679 |
16,313 |
|
— |
15,277 |
146 |
11,133 |
17,278 |
Duvernay |
— |
1,475 |
733 |
2,766 |
2,668 |
|
— |
1,047 |
598 |
2,178 |
2,008 |
Remaining Properties |
— |
693 |
792 |
25,524 |
5,739 |
|
— |
606 |
904 |
25,566 |
5,771 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United
States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eagle Ford |
— |
18,598 |
6,271 |
33,356 |
30,428 |
|
— |
18,846 |
5,573 |
37,874 |
30,731 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
23,482 |
34,986 |
7,984 |
86,029 |
80,789 |
|
22,188 |
35,789 |
7,244 |
89,606 |
80,156 |
This press release contains metrics commonly
used in the oil and natural gas industry, such as “finding and
development costs”, “finding, development and acquisition costs”,
“net asset value”, and “reserves life index.” These terms do not
have a standardized meaning and may not be comparable to similar
measures presented by other companies, and therefore should not be
used to make such comparisons. Such metrics have been included in
this press release to provide readers with additional measures to
evaluate Baytex’s performance, however, such measures are not
reliable indicators of Baytex’s future performance and future
performance may not compare to Baytex’s performance in previous
periods and therefore such metrics should not be unduly relied
upon.
Finding and development costs are calculated on
a per boe basis by dividing the aggregate of the change in future
development costs from the prior year for the particular reserve
category and the costs incurred on exploration and development
activities in the year by the change in reserves from the prior
year for the reserve category.
Finding, development and acquisition costs are
calculated on a per boe basis by dividing the aggregate of the
change in future development costs from the prior year for the
particular reserve category and the costs incurred on development
and exploration activities and property acquisitions (net of
dispositions) in the year by the change in reserves from the year
for the reserve category
Net asset value has been calculated based on the
estimated net present value of all future net revenue from our
reserves, before income taxes, as estimated by McDaniel effective
December 31, 2021, plus the estimated value of our undeveloped land
holdings, less net debt.
Reserve life index means the reserves for the
particular reserve category divided by annualized 2021 fourth
quarter production.
References herein to average 30-day initial
production rates and other short-term production rates are useful
in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however, such rates are
not determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence
production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long
term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging,
readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in
calculating aggregate production for us or the assets for which
such rates are provided. A pressure transient analysis or well-test
interpretation has not been carried out in respect of all wells.
Accordingly, we caution that the test results should be considered
to be preliminary.
Notice to United States Readers
The petroleum and natural gas reserves contained
in this press release have generally been prepared in accordance
with Canadian disclosure standards, which are not comparable in all
respects to United States or other foreign disclosure standards.
For example, the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (the "SEC") requires oil and gas issuers, in their
filings with the SEC, to disclose only "proved reserves", but
permits the optional disclosure of "probable reserves" (each as
defined in SEC rules). Canadian securities laws require oil and gas
issuers disclose their reserves in accordance with NI 51-101, which
requires disclosure of not only "proved reserves" but also
"probable reserves". Additionally, NI 51-101 defines "proved
reserves" and "probable reserves" differently from the SEC rules.
Accordingly, proved and probable reserves disclosed in this press
release may not be comparable to United States standards. Probable
reserves are higher risk and are generally believed to be less
likely to be accurately estimated or recovered than proved
reserves.
In addition, under Canadian disclosure
requirements and industry practice, reserves and production are
reported using gross volumes, which are volumes prior to deduction
of royalty and similar payments. The SEC rules require
reserves and production to be presented using net volumes, after
deduction of applicable royalties and similar payments.
Moreover, Baytex has determined and disclosed
estimated future net revenue from its reserves using forecast
prices and costs, whereas the SEC rules require that reserves be
estimated using a 12-month average price, calculated as the
arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each
month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting
period. As a consequence of the foregoing, Baytex's reserve
estimates and production volumes in this press release may not be
comparable to those made by companies utilizing United States
reporting and disclosure standards.
Baytex Energy Corp.
Baytex Energy Corp. is an energy company based
in Calgary, Alberta. The company is engaged in the acquisition,
development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the
Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the
United States. Approximately 82% of Baytex’s production is weighted
toward crude oil and natural gas liquids. Baytex’s common shares
trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol BTE.
For further information about Baytex, please
visit our website at www.baytexenergy.com or contact:
Brian Ector, Vice President, Capital
Markets
Toll Free Number: 1-800-524-5521Email:
investor@baytexenergy.com
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