TIDMAOF

RNS Number : 2988Q

Africa Opportunity Fund Limited

29 August 2014

29 August 2014

AFRICA OPPORTUNITY FUND LIMITED

("AOF" or "the Company")

INTERIM RESULTS

The Board of Directors of Africa Opportunity Fund Limited is pleased to announce its unaudited results for the 6 month period to 30 June 2014.

Highlights:

-- AOF's ordinary share net asset value per share of US$1.108 as at 30 June 2014 decreased by 9% from the 31 December 2013 net asset value per share of US$1.222.

   --     AOF closed a share placing which raised US$29.2 million through the issue of C shares. 

-- AOF's Ordinary Shares and the C Shares were admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange's Specialist Fund Market ("SFM") effective 17 April 2014. Concurrent with the listing on the SFM, the Ordinary Shares were cancelled from admission to trading on AIM.

-- As at 30 June 2014, AOF's investment allocation for its Ordinary Shares was 73% equities, 27% debt.

   --     AOF's Ordinary Shares net asset value per share as at 31 July 2014 was US$1.115. 
   --     AOF's C Share net asset value per share as at 31 July 2014 was US$0.972. 

C Share Issue and Listing on the SFM: AOF closed a share placing which raised $29.2 million through the issue of C Shares on 17 April. As part of the placing AOF moved to the Specialist Fund Market ("SFM"), the London Stock Exchange's specialist market for specialist investment funds.

Management Fee- Revised to be calculated as 2% on the first US$50 million of Net Asset Value and 1% of the Net Asset Value in excess of US$50 million. The Q3 effective rate (based on assets under management as at 30 June 2014) was 1.66%.

Dividend Policy- Amended to pay out all earned income net of fees and expenses annually, commencing in Q1 2015.

Life of Fund- There will be a continuation vote in 2019, with the expectation that shareholders wishing to realize their investment will be provided the opportunity to exit at or near NAV.

Board of Directors - a new independent Chair of the Board was appointed, Myma Belo-Osagie, along with two new independent directors Vikram Mansharamani and Peter Mombaur.

Market Conditions: AOF's Ordinary Share NAV decreased 9% during H1 2014. By comparison, in US dollar terms in H1 2014 the S&P rose 7%, South Africa rose 9%, Egypt rose 16%, Kenya rose 8%, and Nigeria rose 1%.

Portfolio Highlights: The H1 decline in AOF's Ordinary Share NAV was precipitated primarily by the collapse of Ghana's Cedi. The Cedi depreciated against the Dollar by 8% in May alone, 20% during Q2, and 29% during H1. To compound the Cedi's depreciation over that period, the share price of Enterprise Group declined 4%. Ghanaians and foreigners alike have lost confidence in the Ghana government's fiscal sobriety. AOF has resisted the urge to flee Ghana for two reasons: most of its capital in Ghana is invested in industry--leading financial service operators which over the long term have unequivocal records of strong earnings growth and dividends in US dollars. Standard Chartered Bank's H1 2014 profits, for example, only declined from US$41.4 to US$40.7 million. The interim results for the Enterprise Group however, disclosed that, despite a decline in investment income from US$8.8 million to US$8.4 million, overall net profits fell from US$10.6 million to US$1.6 million due to a flat performance of its equity portfolio in 2014 versus strong results in 2013. Listed equities accounted for 24% of its portfolio at year--end and the Ghana stock market was down 22% in US dollars at the end of Q2.

Elsewhere in the portfolio our largest holding Sonatel reported pleasing H1 2014 numbers, with an EBITDA margin of 51%, return on equity of 32%, and net profit margin of 25%. Subscriber numbers rose 22% to 24 million, revenue rose 12%, year on year, and profits rose 7%. The presence of Naspers, our fifth largest holding, with its sky--high P/E ratio of 83 demands an explanation. It is part of a paired trade in which AOF is short Tencent, its impressive Chinese internet affiliate. We established this investment when Naspers was trading at a discount to the value of its holding in Tencent, meaning that synthetically we purchased the non--Tencent business for free. What is this business? It is the dominant African pay--TV franchise, with 8 million subscribers, which generated US$1 billion in EBITDA and $420 million in net profit in the last financial year. The fact that the South African market is assigning no value to Naspers' pay--TV business is astonishing to us.

Shoprite's Zambian listed shares declined by 14% as a result of the weakening Kwacha, leaving the discount of Shoprite's Lusaka share price to its JSE price at approximately 33% at the end of June 2014. We continue to work towards obtaining confirmation of AOF's title to its Shoprite shares and may potentially initiate judicial proceedings in the second half of 2014.

Ordinary Share Portfolio Appraisal Value: As of 30 June 2014, the Manager's appraisal of the economic value of the Ordinary Share portfolio was US$1.37 per share. The Ordinary Share market price of US$1.14 per share at 30 June 2014 represents a 16% discount. The Appraisal Value is intended to provide a measure of the Manager's long--term view of the attractiveness of AOF's Ordinary Share portfolio. It is a subjective estimate, and does not tell when that value will be realized, nor does it guarantee that any security will reach its Appraisal Value.

C Shares: The NAV of the C Shares declined 3% to the end of June 2014. We have begun to invest this new capital separately from the capital underpinning AOF's ordinary shares. As of the end of June 2014, 25% of that capital had been invested, with 19% in debt, and 6% in equity. Nigeria, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe have received the majority of the C Share's invested capital in sectors like insurance, real estate, industrial mineral and oil and gas.

Outlook: Ghana's macro-economic challenges and the economic, social and health consequences of the Ebola virus in West Africa may harm the business environment for West African companies in AOF's portfolio in the second half of this year. The rise of Ghana's producer price inflation data from 33% in June to 47% in July, juxtaposed with consumer price inflation of 15.3% in July could be a harbinger of severe margin compression for the Ghanaian business sector, slowing economic activity and a growing danger of non-performing loans. The spread of the Ebola virus is not only a human tragedy for countries at its epicentre like Guinea, but also a source of lower GDP growth in West Africa because of quarantines imposed for preventive or curative medical reasons.

We believe that AOF's portfolio possesses undervalued companies. The Ordinary Shares top 10 holdings (including the Naspers paired trade) combined offer a weighted average dividend yield of 5.8%, a P/E ratio of 13.5X, a return on assets of 5.2% and a return on equity of 11.3%. Despite the difficult period experienced by the portfolio during the first half of 2014, we are excited by these attractive valuation metrics and remain optimistic about AOF's prospects.

Responsibility Statements:

The Board of Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

a. The financial statements, prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the Company.

b. The Interim Investment Manager Report, and Condensed Notes to the Financial Statements include:

i. a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R (indication of important events that have occurred during the first six months and their impact on the financial statements, and a description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and

ii. a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R (confirmation that no related party transactions have taken place in the first six months of the year that have materially affected the financial position or performance of the Company during that period).

Per Order of the Board

29 August 2014

AFRICA OPPORTUNITY FUND LIMITED

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF PROFIT OR LOSS

AND OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

FOR THE PERIOD FROM 1 JANUARY 2014 TO 30 JUNE 2014

 
          For the period   For the period 
                ended 30         ended 30 
   Note        June 2014        June 2013 
         ---------------  --------------- 
                     USD              USD 
 
 
 Revenue 
 Dividend income                                         995,397     932,097 
 Interest income                                         722,152     337,420 
 Net exchange gains on bank                                    -     486,340 
 Profit on financial assets at fair 
  value through profit or loss                5(a)             -   7,391,461 
 Profit on financial liabilities at 
  fair value through profit or loss           5(b)        71,392     246,236 
 Other income                                            331,193           - 
                                                       2,120,134   9,393,554 
                                                    ------------  ---------- 
 
 Expenses 
 Losses on financial assets at fair                    5,068,917           - 
  value through profit or loss 
 Placing and admission fees                            1,075,141           - 
 Management fee                                          573,403     435,441 
 Net exchange losses on bank                             290,869           - 
 Custodian, secretarial and administration 
  fees                                                   136,917     120,976 
 Interest charges and other fees                         145,103     102,569 
 Dividend paid                                            86,475      20,754 
 Operating expenses                                       86,111      44,072 
 Brokerage fees                                           64,156     239,871 
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