Storj (STORJ) Wyckoff Analysis (11 to 20 Dec 2023)
29 Dezember 2023 - 2:56PM
NEWSBTC
Wyckoff Analysis (WA) aims to understand why prices of stocks and
other market items move due to supply and demand dynamics. It
typically is applied to any freely traded market where larger or
institutional traders operate (commodities, bonds, currencies,
etc.). In this article we will apply WA to the cryptocurrency Storj
($STORJ) to make a forecast for approximate future events. Storj
Price Data from MEXC Futures | Source: STORJUSDT.P on
tradingview.com. Link to the raw image:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/BGsOkzGM Storj is currently in Phase
E of a Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1. StockCharts says this
about Phase E in their article on the Wyckoff Method: Phase E
depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock leaves the TR and
supply is in control. Once TR support is broken on a major SOW,
this breakdown is often tested with a rally that fails at or near
support. This also represents a high-probability opportunity to
sell short. Subsequent rallies during the markdown are usually
feeble. Traders who have taken short positions can trail their
stops as price declines. After a significant down-move, climactic
action may signal the beginning of a re-distribution TR or of
accumulation. The trading range for Storj was $1 – $1.12 and it has
concretely fallen below that. From the picture below a major SOW
has occurred, more so pointing to a Distribution occurring. This
also coincides with our analyst’s Elliott Wave (EWT) view on Storj.
They predict a small rally as Storj continues to fall in its Wave
2. The majority of the liquidity (per its relevant Volume Profile)
is between the 38.2% and 61.8% LFR at $0.56 and $0.76
respectively. A liquidity cluster is typically expected between
these LFRs in EWT leading us to the think a Wave 2 correction is
happening. Additionally, the cluster is in the price range of the
subwave 4, an EWT guideline. Storj Price Data from MEXC Futures |
Source: STORJUSDT.P on tradingview.com. Link to the raw image:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/dD8hv9Aj Related Reading: Datamall
Chain (DMC) Foundation Adds 5 Major Strategic Partners to
Decentralized Storage Ecosystem Below is the typical schematic for
a Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1. Wyckoff Distribution Schematic
#1 | Source: StockCharts.com Related Reading: Making Web3 and
Decentralized Storage Mainstream Glossary All quotes are from the
first link in Supplemental Reading. Preliminary Supply (PSY) –
“where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a
pronounced up-move” Buying Climax (BC) – large operators selling
their shares while the public buys them at a premium during a
period of huge demand Automatic Reaction (AR) – “With intense
buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply
continuing, an AR takes place” Secondary Test (ST) – when “price
revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at
these levels” Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) – “a definitive
test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance” Test –
where larger traders “test the market for supply throughout a TR”
Sign of Weakness (SoW) – “a down-move to (or slightly past) the
lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and
volume” Last Point of Supply (LPSY) – “exhaustion of demand and the
last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins
in earnest” Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) “A theory in technical
analysis that attributes wave-like price patterns, identified at
various scales, to trader psychology and investor sentiment.”
Source: “Elliott Wave Theory: What It Is and How to Use It” by
James Chen (2023) Logarithmic Fibonacci Retracement (LFR) – A
measured correction at certain Fibonacci ratios on a semi-log
scale. Logarithmic Fibonacci Extensions (LFE) – A measured rally at
certain Fibonacci ratios on a semi-log scale. Related Reading:
Decentralized Cloud Storage as a Response to Cybersecurity Issues
Supplemental Reading “The Wyckoff Method: A Tutorial” by Bogomazov
& Lipsett “Reaccumulation Review” by Bruce Fraser (2018)
“Jumping the Creek: A Review” by Bruce Fraser (2018) “Distribution
Review” by Bruce Fraser (2018) “Introduction to Point & Figure
Charts” from StockCharts “P&F Price Objectives: Horizontal
Counts” from StockCharts “The Wyckoff Methodology in Depth” by
Rubén Villahermosa (2019) “Wyckoff 2.0: Structures, Volume Profile
and Order Flow” by Rubén Villahermosa (2021) “Elliott Wave
Principle – Key To Market Behavior” by Frost & Prechter (2022)
Featured image from gemini.com. Charts from tradingview.com.
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