Japan ETFs Stumble, Can They Regain Footing? - ETF News And Commentary
03 April 2013 - 12:14PM
Zacks
Japan ETFs have been in the limelight ever since Prime Minister
Shinzo Abe came into power following recent elections in Japan.
These investments have surged, as his leadership has sparked
renewed interest in Japan investing, as well as hopes for an end to
the long economic malaise in the nation (Japan ETFs: Six Ways to
Play the Surge).
This uptrend was largely due to promises made by Shinzo Abe for
a more aggressive monetary and fiscal policy. This program looked
to revive the economic growth of the country while finally
eliminating deflation.
Thanks to the initiative of unlimited monetary easing, Japanese
equities and ETFs sprung to life. This shift in investors’ interest
led to huge inflows of asset in Japan-based ETFs to start 2013,
suggesting a massive change in overall perception over the nation’s
fortunes.
This was largely reflected by two of the most popular Japan ETFs
on the market today, the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity
Fund (DXJ) and the
iShares MSCI Japan
(EWJ). Both of these
funds have been on a tear as of late, adding significantly over the
past few months (DXJ--Best ETF to Play the Japan Rally).
While this has been a strong, durable trend, some are worrying
that recent economic events are suggesting an end to the yen
weakness. The currency recently strengthened, while
geopolitical events in the region created somewhat of a risk-off
atmosphere.
As a result, ETFs tracking Japan equities lost their recent
momentum. Both WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) and lost
nearly 5% and 4%, respectively, in the Monday trading session,
possibly signaling a reversal now that we are in Q2 (Japan ETF
(EWJ) Signaling Continued Bull Trend?).
However, it is believed that this strength in yen will be
short-lived as Haruhiko Kuroda will lead his first policy meeting
this week in which the central bank is poised to step-up monetary
stimulus.
Haruhiko Kuroda said this week that the Bank of Japan will
consider combining its monthly bond purchases and asset purchase
fund, as well as buying more debt with longer maturities and
scrapping a rule that limits the scale of bond buying. He has also
suggested bringing forward open-ended asset purchases planned for
2014.
If the measures taken by the government to ease monetary policy
work and result in further depreciation of the yen, this will turn
in favor of an export oriented economy like Japan (As Yen Weakens,
Currency Hedged ETFs Soar).
Either way, Japanese ETF investments are looking more
interesting as we move forward in 2013. This is especially true if
the current trend in the market place holds and more gains are seen
in Japanese stocks.
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WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
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