NZ Dollar Falls On Soft Jobs Data, Weak China PMI
01 November 2023 - 3:27AM
RTTF2
The New Zealand dollar weakened against other major currencies
in the Asian session on Wednesday, after data showed that the
unemployment rate in New Zealand increased in the third quarter of
2023. The unexpected contraction in China's Caixin manufacturing
PMI also weighed on the currency.
Data from Statistics New Zealand showed that the unemployment
rate in New Zealand came in at a seasonally adjusted 3.9 percent in
the third quarter of 2023. That was in line with expectations and
up from 3.6 percent in the previous three months.
The New Zealand employment change was down 0.2 percent on
quarter versus forecasts for an increase of 0.4 percent and down
from 1.0 percent in the three months prior.
Data from S&P Global showed that the China's Caixin
manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 in October, from 50.6 in the
previous month. The economists had expected the PMI to increase to
50.8, although it remains beneath the boom-or-bust line of 50 that
separates expansion from contraction.
Traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves and will pay
close attention to the Fed's accompanying statement for clues about
the outlook for interest rates.
The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.
CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating a 97.1 percent
chance the Fed will leave rates unchanged on Wednesday and a 68.9
percent chance rates will remain unchanged in December.
In the Asian trading today, the NZ dollar fell to 6-day lows of
0.5789 against the U.S. dollar and 1.8256 against the euro, from
yesterday's closing quotes of 0.5825 and 1.8153, respectively. If
the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around
0.56 against the greenback and 1.83 against the euro.
Against the Australian dollar, the kiwi dropped to a 2-day low
of 1.0922 from Tuesday's closing value of 1.0875. On the downside,
1.10 is seen as the next support level for the kiwi.
The kiwi edged down to 87.56 against the yen, from yesterday's
closing value of 88.35. The next possible downside target level for
the kiwi is seen around the 86.00 region.
Looking ahead, U.K. Nationwide house price index for October,
PMI reports from various European economies and U.K. for October
are due to be released in the European session.
In the New York session, U.S. MBA mortgage approvals data, U.S.
and Canada PMI reports for October, U.S. construction spending data
for September, U.S. EIA crude oil data are slated for release.
At 2:00 pm ET, the Federal Reserve is set to announce its rate
decision.
The U.S. central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates
unchanged at 5.5 percent, but traders will pay close attention to
the accompanying statement for clues about the outlook for
rates.
Half-an-hour later, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak at the
press conference following the rate decision.
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