2nd UPDATE: DineEquity Shares Fall On Sales, Shelf Registration
28 Juli 2009 - 7:36PM
Dow Jones News
DineEquity Inc. (DIN) shares dropped Tuesday after the
restaurant operator's second-quarter sales failed to respond to
aggressive discounting, while a filing to potentially sell up to
$200 million in securities stoked fears of diluting shares.
Despite posting per-share earnings well ahead of analyst
estimates, DineEquity shares fell $3.44, or 11%, in recent trading
to $27.65. The stock has run up more than 140% in 2009 as the
company recovered from earlier liquidity concerns and investors'
expectations rose.
While cost-containment is helping restaurant chains like
DineEquity top earnings estimates, investors are getting hungry for
sales growth, which is slow to come as unemployment remains high.
Chains are responding with promotions to increase traffic, though
analysts are skeptical it's been paying off. DineEquity saw traffic
decline at both its IHOP and Applebee's restaurants, where
same-store sales fell 0.6% and 4.3%, respectively.
About 20% of Applebee's customers are coming in for their "2 for
$20" deal offering two entrees and an appetizer for $20, a level
that DineEquity Chief Executive Julia Stewart noted was fairly
high. Brinker International Inc.'s (EAT) Chili's Grill & Bar, a
chief competitor of Applebee's, recently raised the stakes in the
bar-and-grill battle, offering an appetizer, two entrees and a
dessert for $20 in its latest promo.
Such aggressive discounting may not be sustainable, as customers
become accustomed to shopping around for the best deal. In a call
with investors, Stewart acknowledged the long-term impact that such
promotions can have on business, and said the company will test new
ways to offer values.
"While discounting and buy-one-get-one-free may drive traffic in
the near term, we believe such moves are ultimately dilutive to
margins and detrimental to the business over the long term," said
Stewart.
Separately, DineEquity also filed a shelf registration that
would allow the company to sell up to $200 million of common and
preferred stock, debt and other securities, joining a wave of
companies capitalizing on investor appetite for new issues.
Proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes.
For a company with a market capitalization of less than $500
million, the size of the potential offering shook some investors.
"If they do sell stock here, it could be pretty dilutive," Raymond
James & Co. analyst Bryan Elliott said. He noted, however, that
given the uncertain environment for companies sensitive to consumer
spending, DineEquity was prudent in proposing such an option.
Earlier, DineEquity reported second-quarter profits excluding
items rising to 74 cents from 2 cents a share. Revenue fell 18% to
$349.7 million.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters predicted earnings of 36
cents a share on revenue of $355 million.
DineEquity added that, due to the credit crunch, it likely won't
be able to sell any company-owned Applebee's restaurants in 2009.
The company had earlier planned to sell 200 stores this year, which
is key in retiring debt taken on during IHOP's $2.1 billion
acquisition of Applebee's in 2007, though analysts were skeptical
of that goal.
The remaining Applebee's stores owned by the company have
improved margins through cost cuts, which has pushed the asking
price higher, though few buyers are willing to bite.
Even without any sales, DineEquity says it will generate enough
free cash to remain in compliance with debt covenants for at least
the next 12 months.
-By Paul Ziobro, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2194;
paul.ziobro@dowjones.com