(FROM THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ASIA 10/22/15)
By Alec MacFarlane
HONG KONG -- Private-equity funds are raising tens of billions
of dollars for Asian investments even as they sit on record amounts
of money with fewer and fewer available targets.
While Asia has seen a mergers-and-acquisitions boom this year,
just a sliver of the deals has come from private-equity firms
putting their money to work.
The lack of such deals is a reflection of wariness about
volatility in China, persistently high valuations on potential
acquisitions, and fierce competition from corporate buyers.
"There's more capital than there are opportunities at the
moment," said John Hall, a managing director and co-head of Asia
mergers and acquisitions and financial sponsors investment banking
at J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. "Valuations have been high and there
have been a number of deals that private-equity firms have looked
at but haven't worked out."
Like the rest of the world, the Asia-Pacific region has seen
record levels of takeovers of its companies in 2015. Asia M&A
this year is up by 48.7% from the same period last year, to a
record $886.8 billion, Dealogic data show.
But private equity's share of that is just 3.5%, according to
Dealogic. That is the smallest slice since 2009, when the financial
crisis continued to cast a shadow.
That small portion for private equity is despite the $6.1
billion sale in September by British supermarket company Tesco PLC
of its South Korean business to Seoul-based MBK Partners, Asia's
biggest-ever private-equity deal. But purchases by buyout firms
have been overshadowed this year by other M&A activity, which
has been boosted by large corporate takeovers in China and
Australia and a number of big restructurings that involved deals
among affiliated group companies in Hong Kong and South Korea.
Meanwhile, cash is piling up at Asia-focused private-equity
funds. They raised $39 billion in the first nine months of the
year, according to data provider Preqin, and around 315 funds are
currently looking to raise another $83 billion.
If successful, the fundraisings will add to the already record
amount of unspent capital earmarked for deals in Asia. Asia-focused
funds are sitting on $169.8 billion of dry powder, up 8% from the
end of 2014.
Such funds have made just 142 acquisitions this year, the lowest
in at least a decade and down 31% from last year.
Two of the reasons for the small portion of private-equity
investments, say deal makers, are corporate competition to buy
assets and expensive valuations of companies, despite falling stock
markets.
The MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index has fallen about 10% from June
12, when China's once-booming stocks began reversing, through
Tuesday. China's Shanghai Composite Index has lost 36%since June
12.
But sellers of companies aren't lowering their price tags.
"What tends to happen when you have these big shifts in public
market values is deal flow goes down," said Jan Nielsen, a senior
managing director at private-equity firm Blackstone Group LP. "In
China you've had a run-up and then you've had a correction, so it
is natural that buyers and sellers are having a hard time agreeing
what the values of businesses are."
China's slowing economy could also act as a double-edged sword
for private-equity firms looking for new deals. Some of the more
bullish managers expect China's economic problems to result in the
country opening up for more private and foreign investment. But
volatility is also expected to increase competition for assets by
cash-rich corporate buyers, which are likely to be just as keen to
snap up bargains if and when valuations fall.
"If the Chinese government doesn't pump money into the market,
private equity will have more opportunity as an alternative source
of finance," said Richard Tan, head of private markets in Asia at
Towers Watson, which advises investors on their investments in
private equity. "Competition is expected to increase, because if
the Chinese economy is facing challenges, this creates a good
buying environment" for corporate buyers.
The challenges of investing aren't hampering private-equity
fundraising, though that has slowed a bit.
RRJ Capital, the Hong Kong and Singapore-based firm founded by
former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. dealmaker Richard Ong, recently
raised US$4.5 billion. This makes it the second-biggest
private-equity fund devoted to Asian investing ever raised, behind
KKR & Co.'s $6 billion fund raised two years ago, according to
Asia Private Equity Review.
PAG Asia Capital recently set a $3.5 billion upper limit for its
latest fund, according to people familiar with the matter. Bain
Capital is looking to raise $2.5 billion for its third pan-Asia
offering, while Hony Capital is expected to target roughly $2
billion for its new fund, the people said. China's CDH Investments
is also raising a $600 million fund targeting midcap companies, the
people said. All firms declined to comment or didn't respond to
requests for comment.
"There isn't too much money raised for all strategies, but the
pace for private-equity [deals getting done] is below par," said
Juan Delgado-Moreira, Hong Kong-based managing director at Hamilton
Lane, which invests in private equity and advises investors about
the asset class. "Private equity is also being forced to do smaller
deals, given increasing competition by strategics for the larger
assets."
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 21, 2015 13:35 ET (17:35 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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