Cardinal Energy Ltd. ("
Cardinal" or the
"
Company") (TSX:CJ) is pleased to present its 2018
year end reserves which reinforce our successful 2018 drilling
program and the low decline nature of our asset base.
RESERVE HIGHLIGHTS (1)
- Proved Developed Producing ("PDP") reserve additions of 10.7
mmboe replaced 2018 production by 1.4x, predominantly through
organic growth and Total Proved plus Probable ("TPP") reserve
additions of 12.7 mmboe replaced 2018 production 1.7x.
- PDP Finding Development and Acquisition Costs ("FD&A")
including the change in future development costs ("FDC") was
$4.12/boe with a recycle ratio of 5x, primarily through a
combination of positive technical revisions at Bantry, Midale and
Wainwright due to performance exceeding the prior year projections
and positive 2018 drilling results.
- Achieved a TPP FD&A of $7.99/boe including the change in
FDC with a recycle ratio of 2.6x on TPP reserves.
- Increased our PDP Reserve Life Index ("RLI") to 10 years and
our TPP RLI to 14.8 years.
- PDP Net Present Value (before tax) discounted at 10% ("NPV10")
increased 9% to $8.73 per share and TPP net asset value increased
8% to $11.81 per share.
- PDP NPV10 increased 15% over 2017.
- 86% of Cardinal's reserves are producing (proved plus
probable producing) which reflects the low risk predictable nature
of our asset base.
- 73% of the TPP reserve additions are producing.
- Top Quartile reserve results in our peer group in 2018 for: %
PDP of TPP reserves; TPP Recycle Ratio; FD&A; FDC/2019 adjusted
funds flow; PDP RLI.
1. See Oil and Gas Metrics
In an era of production curtailments and
volatile oil pricing, Cardinal's low decline separates our business
model from other conventional oil producers as it requires minimal
drilling capital to sustain production.
The ability to generate organic reserve growth
is evident as our positive technical revisions contribute to our
year over year reserve growth demonstrating both our staff's
technical aptitude in managing these assets and the quality of the
assets themselves. In 2018, Cardinal acquired additional working
interest reserves (net of dispositions) which accounted for 13% of
the PDP and TPP reserve additions. Cardinal specifically targeted
the acquisition of each of the assets it owns for their predictable
low decline profile.
2018 RESERVES INFORMATION
Cardinal's year-end 2018 reserves were evaluated
by independent reserves evaluator GLJ Petroleum Consultants ("GLJ")
as at December 31, 2018. This evaluation of all of the Company's
oil and gas properties was done in accordance with the definitions,
standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluation Handbook ("COGE Handbook") and National Instrument
51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI
51-101"). Additional reserve information as required under NI
51-101 will be included in Cardinal's Annual Information Form which
will be filed on SEDAR on or before March 29, 2019. Reserves
included are Company share reserves which are the Company's total
working interest reserves before deduction of any royalties and
include any royalty interests payable to the Company. The numbers
in the tables below may not add due to rounding.
|
Reserves Summary |
|
At December 31 |
|
2018Equivalents
(Mboe) |
2017Equivalents
(Mboe) |
%Change |
Proved developed
producing |
|
74,085 |
|
71,023 |
|
4 |
% |
Proved
developed non-producing |
|
2,583 |
|
3,264 |
|
-21 |
% |
Proved
undeveloped |
|
7,034 |
|
4,495 |
|
56 |
% |
Total proved |
|
83,702 |
|
78,781 |
|
6 |
% |
Probable
additional |
|
26,150 |
|
25,933 |
|
1 |
% |
Total proved and probable |
|
109,852 |
|
104,714 |
|
5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
PDP RLI,
(yrs) (1)(2) |
|
10.0 |
|
9.3 |
|
7 |
% |
Proved
RLI, (yrs) (1)(2) |
|
11.2 |
|
10.3 |
|
9 |
% |
Proved
and probable RLI, (yrs) (1)(2) |
|
14.8 |
|
13.8 |
|
7 |
% |
Proved
plus probable producing RLI, (yrs) (1)(2) |
|
12.7 |
|
12.2 |
|
4 |
% |
Proved
and Probable producing reserves % of Total |
|
86 |
% |
89 |
% |
|
|
1. RLI based on Q4 2018 production of 20,365
boed. |
2. RLI based on Q4 2017 production of 20,770
boed. |
At December 31, 2018 |
|
2018NPV10
(1)(MM$) |
2017NPV10
(2)(MM$) |
%Change |
Proved developed
producing |
|
1,014.7 |
|
885.7 |
|
15 |
% |
Proved
developed non-producing |
|
22.2 |
|
30.7 |
|
-28 |
% |
Proved
undeveloped |
|
77.4 |
|
51.3 |
|
51 |
% |
Total Proved |
|
1,114.4 |
|
967.7 |
|
15 |
% |
Probable
additional |
|
258.0 |
|
246.9 |
|
4 |
% |
Total Proved and Probable |
|
1,372.4 |
|
1,214.6 |
|
13 |
% |
NPV per share (NPV10 per share/basic) (3) |
|
2018 |
2017 |
%Change |
Proved developed
producing |
|
$ |
8.73 |
|
$ |
7.99 |
|
9 |
% |
Total
proved |
|
$ |
9.59 |
|
$ |
8.73 |
|
10 |
% |
Proved plus probable |
|
$ |
11.81 |
|
$ |
10.96 |
|
8 |
% |
|
1. Based on Consultant's Average December 31,
2018 price forecast and GLJ reserves evaluation effective December
31, 2018. |
2. Based on Consultant's Average December 31,
2017 price forecast and GLJ reserves evaluation effective December
31, 2017. |
3. Basic shares as at December 31, 2017 of 110,
838,321 and 2018 of 116,197,095. |
Reserves Reconciliation |
|
|
|
Company Share Reserves
Reconciliation |
|
|
PDP(Mboe) |
Proved(Mboe) |
Proved
andProbable(Mboe) |
December
31, 2017 |
|
71,023 |
|
78,781 |
|
104,714 |
|
Extensions, Improved Recovery & Infills |
|
4,969 |
|
7,362 |
|
8,409 |
|
Technical Revisions (1) |
|
4,333 |
|
3,809 |
|
2,613 |
|
Acquisitions (2) |
|
1,357 |
|
1,347 |
|
1,713 |
|
Production |
|
(7,596 |
) |
(7,596 |
) |
(7,596 |
) |
December 31, 2018 |
|
74,085 |
|
83,702 |
|
109,852 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2018 Production Replacement |
|
1.4x |
|
1.6x |
|
1.7x |
|
|
1. Includes any revisions for economic
factors. |
2. In accordance with the requirements of NI
51-101, the reserve estimates for acquisitions are the reserves as
of December 31, 2018 plus production from the date of acquisition
(net of dispositions). |
|
Reserve Performance Ratios
The following tables highlight the Finding and
Development Costs ("F&D), and FD&A of our Company share
reserves and the associated recycle ratios.
TPP FD&A was supported by incremental
undeveloped reserve bookings offsetting the Company's successful
2018 drilling programs.
Finding and development Costs (1)(2)
|
F&D, $/boe |
Recycle
Ratio |
PDP |
$5.96 |
3.5x |
TP |
$8.37 |
2.5x |
TPP |
$9.64 |
2.1x |
Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs
(1)(2)
|
FD&A, $/boe |
Recycle
Ratio |
PDP |
$4.12 |
5.0x |
TP |
$6.86 |
3.0x |
TPP |
$7.99 |
2.6x |
|
1. Includes changes in future development costs
and includes consideration of any royalty interest
dispositions. |
2. Recycle ratio is calculated using Cardinal's
average 2018 operating netback of $20.65 per BOE (unaudited)
divided by the finding and development or finding, development and
acquisition costs per boe. Excludes consideration of hedging in the
netback. |
|
Future Development Costs
FDC reflects the best estimate of the capital
cost required to produce the reserves. The FDC associated with the
TPP reserves at yearend 2018 is $219 million undiscounted ($143
million discounted at 10%) of which 40%, or $88 million
undiscounted ($39 million discounted at 10%) is attributed to the
CO2 purchases for our southeast Saskatchewan enhanced oil recovery
project.
|
|
|
millions $ |
Total Proved |
Total Proved plusProbable |
Total
FDC, Undiscounted |
171.7 |
218.7 |
Total
FDC, Discounted at 10% |
115.0 |
143.6 |
|
|
|
Our ratio of undiscounted TPP FDC to 2019
budgeted adjusted funds flow is 2.3x with 60 net future locations
included in the 2018 reserve report. Excluding CO2 purchases for
enhanced oil recovery, our 2019 budgeted adjusted funds flow
multiple to undiscounted TPP FDC is 1.4x.
OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
In 2018, Cardinal focused on the improvement and
advancement of its core assets through both the drilling of new
wells and the continuing optimization of enhanced recovery
operations within our existing production base. Cardinal invested
$21.4 million in drilling, completing, equipping and tying in 17
(10.6 net) wells on its Alberta and Saskatchewan asset base. In
addition, the Company drilled 15 stratigraphic test wells which
served to further delineate our Ellerslie and Glauc channel
locations in the Bantry area of Alberta.
In southern Alberta, we proved up the economic
and operational viability of our horizontal multi-leg, open hole
Ellerslie concept with three successful new drills. In aggregate,
these three wells are currently producing over 800 boe/d and have
been producing for an average of five months. Cardinal believes
that the success of these initial Ellerslie wells proves up a large
inventory of locations for future development.
Also in southern Alberta, Cardinal continued
with its successful development of Glauc channels via horizontal
drilling with three successful wells. In aggregate, these three
wells are currently producing more than 550 boe/d after seven
months of production. Furthermore, with our modernized wellbore and
completion design, Cardinal realized an all-in cost reduction for
these three wells of more than 13%, when compared to our costs for
previous Glauc channel wells drilled in this area.
Major oil producing assets under enhanced
recovery continued to be optimized, with injection volumes being
directed toward areas expected to respond most significantly. At
Midale, our initiative to increase injected CO2 volumes, and to
direct those volumes to the most appropriate locations within the
reservoir have resulted in a distinct shallowing of the production
decline. Throughout the Company, the effects of these efforts is
best illustrated by positive revisions to our proved developed
producing reserves.
Note Regarding Forward Looking
Statements
This press release contains forward-looking
statements and forward-looking information (collectively
"forward-looking information") within the meaning of applicable
securities laws relating to the Cardinal's plans and other aspects
of Cardinal's anticipated future operations, management focus,
objectives, strategies, financial, operating and production
results. Forward-looking information typically uses words such as
"anticipate", "believe", "project", "expect", "goal", "plan",
"intend", " may", "would", "could" or "will" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes, events or performance. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak
only as of the date thereof and are expressly qualified by this
cautionary statement.
Specifically, this press release contains
forward-looking statements relating to: our business strategies,
plans and objectives, future production and production decline
rates, improved recovery factors, Cardinal's asset base and its
future potential and opportunities, drilling locations and
inventory, level of drilling capital required to sustain
production, planned capital expenditures and the allocation
thereof, and the anticipated results therefrom. In addition,
information and statements relating to reserves are deemed to be
forward-looking statements, as they involve implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves
described exist in quantities predicted or estimated, and that the
reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
Forward-looking statements regarding Cardinal
are based on certain key expectations and assumptions of Cardinal
concerning anticipated financial performance, business prospects,
strategies, regulatory developments, current and future commodity
prices and exchange rates, applicable royalty rates, tax laws,
future well production rates and reserve volumes, future operating
costs, the performance of existing and future wells, the success of
its exploration and development activities, the sufficiency and
timing of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned
activities, the availability and cost of labor and services, the
impact of competition, conditions in general economic and financial
markets, availability of drilling and related equipment, effects of
regulation by governmental agencies, the ability to obtain
financing on acceptable terms which are subject to change based on
commodity prices, market conditions, drilling success and potential
timing delays.
These forward-looking statements are subject to
numerous risks and uncertainties, certain of which are beyond
Cardinal's control. Such risks and uncertainties include, without
limitation: the impact of general economic conditions; volatility
in market prices for crude oil and natural gas; industry
conditions; currency fluctuations; imprecision of reserve
estimates; liabilities inherent in crude oil and natural gas
operations; environmental risks; incorrect assessments of the value
of acquisitions and exploration and development programs;
competition from other producers; the lack of availability of
qualified personnel, drilling rigs or other services; changes in
income tax laws or changes in royalty rates and incentive programs
relating to the oil and gas industry; hazards such as fire,
explosion, blowouts, and spills, each of which could result in
substantial damage to wells, production facilities, other property
and the environment or in personal injury; and ability to access
sufficient capital from internal and external sources.
Management has included the forward-looking
statements above and a summary of assumptions and risks related to
forward-looking statements provided in this press release in order
to provide readers with a more complete perspective on Cardinal's
future operations and such information may not be appropriate for
other purposes. Cardinal's actual results, performance or
achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or
implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no
assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the
forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of
them do so, what benefits that Cardinal will derive there from.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are not
exhaustive. These forward-looking statements are made as of the
date of this press release and Cardinal disclaims any intent or
obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or results or
otherwise, other than as required by applicable securities
laws.
Oil and Gas Metrics
The term "boe" or barrels of oil equivalent may
be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion
ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of
oil equivalent (6 Mcf: 1 bbl) is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Additionally,
given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil,
as compared to natural gas, is significantly different from the
energy equivalency of 6:1; utilizing a conversion ratio of 6:1 may
be misleading as an indication of value.
This press release contains a number of
additional oil and gas metrics, including finding and development
costs, finding, development and acquisition costs, reserve life
index and recycle ratio, which do not have standardized meanings or
standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not
be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. Such
metrics have been calculated by management and included herein to
provide readers with additional measures to evaluate Cardinal's
performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of
the future performance of Cardinal and future performance may not
compare to the performance in previous periods.
Finding and developments costs and finding,
development and acquisition costs are used as a measure of capital
efficiency. Finding and development costs are calculated on a per
boe basis by dividing the aggregate of the change in future
development costs from the prior year for the particular reserve
category and the costs incurred on development and exploration
activities in the year by the change in reserves (including royalty
interest reserves) from the prior year for the reserve category.
Development and exploration expenditures include costs of land and
seismic, but exclude capitalized general and administration costs.
The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in
the most recent financial year and the change during that year in
estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total
finding and development costs related to reserves additions for
that year. Finding development and acquisition costs are calculated
on a per boe basis by dividing the aggregate of the change in
future development costs from the prior year for the particular
reserve category and the costs incurred on development and
exploration activities and property acquisitions (net of
dispositions) in the year by the change in reserves (including
royalty interest reserves) from the year for the reserve category.
Acquisition costs include the announced purchase price of
acquisitions rather than the amounts allocated to property, plant
and equipment and exploration and evaluation assets for accounting
purposes. The acquired cost per boe included all company interest
reserves, including royalty interest reserves. Recycle ratio is
calculated by dividing operating netback per boe (without realized
gains on commodity contracts on a boe basis) by the finding,
development and acquisition costs for the relevant reserve category
for the year. Reserve life index is calculated based on the amount
for the relevant reserve category divided by fourth quarter average
daily company interest production.
Certain financial and operating information
included in this press release for the year ended December 31,
2018, including F&D, FD&A costs and operating netbacks are
based on estimated unaudited financial results for the year then
ended, and are subject to the same limitations as discussed under
Forward Looking Statements set out above. These estimated amounts
may change upon the completion of audited financial statements for
the year ended December 31, 2018 and changes could be
material.
Reserves Advisories
Unless otherwise indicated, all reserves
reported in this press release are Company share reserves which
represent Cardinal's total working interest reserves prior to the
deduction of royalties payable and include any royalty interests
payable to the Company.
Future net revenue is a forecast of revenue,
estimated using forecast prices and costs arising from the
anticipated development and production of resources, net of
associated royalties, operating costs, development costs and
abandonment and reclamation costs for those wells assigned
reserves. It should not be assumed that the future net revenues
undiscounted and discounted at 10% included in this press release
represent the fair market value of the reserves.
The estimates of reserves and future net revenue
for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level
as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties
due to the effects of aggregation.
Drilling Locations
This news release discloses Cardinal's 60 net
booked drilling locations which are derived from the report
prepared by GLJ evaluating Cardinal's reserves as of December 31,
2018. There is additional reference in the Operational Highlights
to locations, these are unbooked locations. There is no certainty
that we will drill all drilling locations and if drilled there is
no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and
gas production. The drilling locations on which we actually drill
wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital,
regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas
prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir
information that is obtained and other factors. While certain of
the unbooked drilling locations have been de-risked by drilling
existing wells in relative close proximity to such unbooked
drilling locations, other unbooked drilling locations are farther
away from existing wells where management has less information
about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore these is
more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations
and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will
result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or
production.
Non-GAAP measures
This press release may contain the terms
"development capital expenditures", "adjusted funds flow",
"adjusted funds flow per share", "total payout ratio", "net bank
debt" and "net bank debt to adjusted funds flow" which do not have
a standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards ("IFRS" or, alternatively, "GAAP") and
therefore may not be comparable with the calculation of similar
measures by other companies. Cardinal uses adjusted funds flow,
free cash flow and total payout ratio to analyze operating
performance. Cardinal feels these benchmarks are key measures of
profitability and overall sustainability for the Company. Adjusted
funds flow is not intended to represent operating profits nor
should it be viewed as an alternative to cash flow provided by
operating activities, net earnings or other measures of performance
calculated in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted funds flow is
calculated as cash flow from operating activities adjusted for
changes in non-cash working capital and decommissioning
expenditures. "Development capital expenditures" represent
expenditures on property, plant and equipment (excluding corporate
and other assets and acquisitions) to maintain and grow the
Company's base production. "Total payout ratio" represents the
ratio of the sum of dividends declared plus development capital
expenditures divided by adjusted funds flow. Total payout ratio is
a key measure to assess our ability to finance operating
activities, capital expenditures and dividends.
About Cardinal Energy Ltd.
Cardinal is a junior Canadian oil focused
company built to provide investors with a stable platform for
dividend income and growth. Cardinal's operations are focused in
low decline light and medium quality oil in Alberta and
Saskatchewan.
For further information: M.
Scott Ratushny, CEO or Shawn Van Spankeren, CFO or Laurence Broos,
VP Finance Email: info@cardinalenergy.caPhone: (403) 234-8681
Website: www.cardinalenergy.ca Address: 600, 400 – 3rd Avenue SW,
Calgary, AB, T2P 4H2
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