Freeport Surpasses Consensus - Analyst Blog
20 April 2011 - 1:50PM
Zacks
Metals and mining powerhouse Freeport-McMoRan Copper
& Gold Inc. (FCX) posted a net income of
$1.5 billion or $1.57 per share in the first quarter of 2011,
outshining the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 per share and the
year ago net income of $897 million, $1.00 per share.
Quarterly revenues of $5.7 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of $5.39 million and were up 30.9% year over year.
Sales Prices and Volumes
Consolidated unit net cash costs were $0.79 per pound of copper
in the first quarter, versus $0.82 per pound in the prior-year
quarter primarily because of higher gold and molybdenum by-product
credits in the 2011 period.
However, copper sales volumes plunged 3.5% year over year in the
quarter to 926 million pounds due to lower sales from Indonesia and
North America because of timing of shipments.
Gold sales volumes were almost flat at 480,000 ounces.
Molybdenum sales volumes of 20 million pounds were up by 17.6% year
over year reflecting improved demand in the chemical and
metallurgical sectors.
Operations:
North America Copper Mining --
Copper sales in
the quarter in North America were 276 million pounds lower than 391
million pounds in the first-quarter of 2010 because of
timing of shipments. However, production was higher due to
increased mining and milling activities at Morenci. Increased
mining and milling activities and higher input costs led to higher
production and delivery costs in the reported quarter.
For 2011, the company expects sales from North America copper
mines to approximate 1.2 billion pounds of copper, compared to 1.1
billion pounds of copper for 2010. The restart of Miami and
Chino mines
and potential expansion of Morenci are expected to further
increase production in future periods.
South America Mining -- Copper
sales from these were 312 million
pounds slightly higher than the year-ago quarter. Higher input
costs of materials, energy and currency exchange rates led to
higher production and delivery costs in the reported quarter.
For the year 2011, the company expects South America sales of
1.3 billion pounds of copper and 100 thousand ounces of gold.
Indonesia Mining -- The mines’
copper sales
were lower at 278 million pounds in the first quarter of 2011
versus sales of 296 million pounds in the prior year quarter
primarily because of timing of shipments. Gold sales however
approximated first-quarter 2010 sales.
FCX expects 2011 sales to approximate 1.1 billion pounds of
copper and 1.5 million ounces of gold.
Africa Mining -- Copper sales
were 60 million
pounds in the first quarter of 2011, a decline of 9.1%
y/y.
FCX expects Tenke Fungurume sales of approximately 285 million
pounds of copper and over 20 million pounds of cobalt for the year
2011.
Molybdenum
-- Consolidated molybdenum
sales from mines were higher at 20 million pounds in the first
quarter of 2011, compared to 17 million pounds in the first quarter
of 2010.
For the year 2011, Freeport expects molybdenum sales from its
mines to approximate 73 million pounds, compared to 67 million
pounds in 2010.
Financial
Review
Net cash cost per unit in the quarter decreased 3.7% to 79 cents
per pound versus 82 cents in the first quarter of 2009. Operating
cash flows of $2.4 billion for first-quarter 2011 increased by a
robust 29.8% from $1.8 billion as of March 31, 2010. Capital
expenditures totaled $505 million for the first quarter of
2011.
As of March 31, 2011, total debt was approximately $4.8
billion.
Guidance
In 2011, Freeport expects to sell 3.9 billion pounds of copper,
1.6 million ounces of gold and 73 million pounds of molybdenum. For
the upcoming quarter, the company projects sales of 965 million
pounds of copper, 365 thousand ounces of gold and 17 million pounds
of molybdenum. The company expects average copper prices of $4.25
per pound, $1,400 per ounce of gold and $15 per pound of molybdenum
for fiscal year 2011.
Operating cash flows are estimated to be $8.3 billion in
2011.
Freeport expects capital expenditures of $2.5 billion in 2011,
of which $1.3 billion is expected to be spent on major projects
which include underground development activities at Grasberg,
construction activities at the Climax molybdenum mine and
completion of the initial phase of the sulfide ore project at El
Abra. In addition, FCX is considering additional investments at
several of its sites.
Freeport has a short-term (1 to 3 months) Zacks #3 Rank (Hold)
and a long-term Neutral recommendation.
The company faces stiff competition from Newmont Mining
Corp. (NEM) and Southern Copper Corp.
(SCCO).
FREEPT MC COP-B (FCX): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
SOUTHERN COPPER (SCCO): Free Stock Analysis Report
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