Google Faces Challenges as it Expands Beyond Core Search Engine Competency, Says S&P Equity Research Services in Google Pre-IPO
07 Juni 2004 - 6:34PM
PR Newswire (US)
Google Faces Challenges as it Expands Beyond Core Search Engine
Competency, Says S&P Equity Research Services in Google Pre-IPO
Report Nationwide Survey Shows Google's Users are Among the
Internet's Most Experienced, Active and Demanding NEW YORK, June 7
/PRNewswire/ -- Google dominates the minds and desktops of Internet
users, with Yahoo a distant second, according to a nationwide
consumer survey on search engines whose results were released today
by Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services. The survey's
findings indicate that 48% of search engine users say they use
Google most overall, compared to 20% for Yahoo, 14% for MSN and 7%
for AOL. However, Google could face challenges as it expands beyond
search into offerings such as comparative shopping, social
networking, and e-mail services, according to Part 1 of a pre-IPO
report on Google also released today by Standard & Poor's
Equity Research Services. According to the survey, which was
commissioned by Standard & Poor's, a leading provider of
independent investment research, ratings and indices, and conducted
by InsightExpress, an online market research firm, search engine
user satisfaction is quite high, with most users (83%) saying they
are extremely pleased with the search engines they use, and
two-thirds of users (67%) have been using their search engines of
choice for more than two years. Google is the most widely used
search engine, primarily because of the relevance and accuracy of
its results. However, more than six out of 10 Google users (63%)
indicated they would switch search engines if a better service came
along. Importantly for Google's free e-mail service called Gmail,
less than one out every four search engine users would be very
likely (8%) or somewhat likely (15%) to sign up for and regularly
use a new personal e-mail service if it offered unlimited storage
and the capacity to search old e-mails, and would search e-mails to
target advertising to users. Scott Kessler, Internet Software &
Services Equity Analyst and author of the report, notes that Google
is the Internet search leader, whose appealing offerings and
opportunities are offset somewhat by notable challenges. "For 2004,
we project Google's net revenues will nearly double, but its
margins will narrow somewhat due to increased investment by the
company," says Scott Kessler, Internet Software & Services
Equity Analyst, Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services. "At
the same time, we believe Google and its shares will also face
risks relating to commoditization of the company's offerings,
difficulties related to its introduction of new products and
services, and competition from the likes of Yahoo and Microsoft.
Google also has a limited operating history, expects to invest
heavily in new initiatives, is employing a largely untested price
to process and distribute its shares. Based on comparisons to what
we consider the company's closest peer, our preliminary estimate
for Google's market value is $33 billion to $40 billion." Part 2 of
Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services' pre-IPO report on
Google, which will address the anticipated Dutch auction process,
as well as valuation in greater detail, is expected by August.
About the Standard & Poor's/InsightExpress Survey Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services surveyed 1,000 individuals
nationwide regarding their usage, attitudes and behaviors
concerning search engines. Respondents are evenly distributed
across all age groups, ranging from 18 to 55 years or older.
InsightExpress is a leading market research firm with access to
over 100 million online individuals. The S&P/InsightExpress
survey was conducted April 14-19, 2004. The margin of error is
approximately +3%. About Standard & Poor's STock Appreciation
Ranking System (STARS) Standard & Poor's STock Appreciation
Ranking System (STARS), which was first introduced on December 31,
1986, reflects the opinions of Standard & Poor's equity
analysts on the price appreciation potential of 1,250 U.S. stocks
for the next 12-month period. Rankings range from five-STARS
("Buy") to one-STARS ("Sell"). About Standard & Poor's Standard
& Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP),
is the world's foremost provider of independent credit ratings,
indices, risk evaluation, investment research, data and valuations.
With 5,000 employees located in 20 countries, Standard & Poor's
is an essential part of the world's financial infrastructure and
has played a leading role for more than 140 years in providing
investors with the independent benchmarks they need to feel more
confident about their investment and financial decisions. For more
information, visit http://www.standardandpoors.com/. The analyst
referenced above is a Standard & Poor's equity analyst. He has
no affiliation nor ownership interest nor in any company referenced
above. Affiliates of Standard & Poor's Securities, Inc.
received non-investment banking compensation from Microsoft and
Yahoo during the past 12 months. The equity research reports and
recommendations provided by Standard & Poor's Equity Research
Services are prepared separately from any other analytic activity
of Standard & Poor's. In this regard, Standard & Poor's
Equity Research Services has no access to non-public information
received by other units of Standard & Poor's. Standard &
Poor's does not trade for its own account. DATASOURCE: Standard
& Poor's CONTACT: John J. Piecuch Communications Manager
+1-212-438-1102 Web site: http://www.standardandpoors.com/
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