CHENGDU,
China, Dec. 12, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- About us:
Aurora Mobile (NASDAQ: JG) established in 2011, is a leading
customer engagement and marketing technology service provider in
China. Its business includes
notification services, marketing growth, development tools, and
data products. As its sub-brand, MoonFox Data is a leading expert
in data insights and analysis services across all scenarios, aiming
to help companies gain market insights and empower precise
decision-making.
During the earnings season, the business performance of JD.com
has been attracting widespread market attention. In Q3 2023, the
company's retail business revenue reached 212.059 billion yuan, showing a slight increase
of 0.06% year-on-year and accounting for 85.6% of the group's
overall businesses. The retail businesses encompass self-operated
businesses, platform businesses, and advertising services, with
self-operated businesses being the core contributors.
In terms of categories, 3C and home appliances remained the core
business of JD.com, generating a total revenue of 119.316 billion yuan, while daily necessities
recorded a revenue of 75.988 billion
yuan. Overall, the company's quarterly performance continued
to face challenges under the core low-price strategy, but it has
experienced market growth and a significant increase in users
behind the agonies.
I. JD.com adjusts the core approach to launch a low-price
combo
JD.com MAU & MoM growth from January to
October 2023
Date
|
MAU (in 100
million)
|
MoM change
|
2023/10
|
5.210
|
3.80 %
|
2023/9
|
5.020
|
2.37 %
|
2023/8
|
4.904
|
2.17 %
|
2023/7
|
4.799
|
-7.53 %
|
2023/6
|
5.190
|
4.39 %
|
2023/5
|
4.972
|
3.30 %
|
2023/4
|
4.813
|
-4.29 %
|
2023/3
|
5.029
|
12.84 %
|
2023/2
|
4.457
|
4.98 %
|
2023/1
|
4.245
|
-3.68 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox
iApp; Data Collection Period: January to October 2023. The
statistical results only include app data and do not include
traffic data from web pages, mini-programs, or quick apps, among
others, within the WeChat ecosystem.
|
According to MoonFox iApp data, JD.com App's monthly active
users (MAU) exceeded 521 million in October
2023, with a MoM growth of 3.8%. The steady growth of MAU
has significantly contributed to the company's three low-price
tactics related to business attraction, subsidies, and
procurement.
Business attraction involves enabling and supporting third-party
merchants to conduct business on this open platform, offering more
appealing and competitively priced vertical categories and
products. JD.com launched the "Spring Dawn" initiative in early
2023, stipulating that the platform will not distinguish between
self-operated and POP (third party) products and will adjust the
algorithm to direct traffic to low-priced items. As a result, the
number of new merchants on JD.com surged by 417% year-on-year in
Q2. At present, the initiative has been further upgraded to provide
additional support and benefits related to traffic and services for
stores, thus assisting third-party merchants in enhancing product
sales and conversion rates.
Subsidies constitute a crucial aspect of the 10 billion
large-scale profit-sharing program, which is a key strategy for
attracting new users and penetrating lower-tier markets.
JD.com App and WeChat mini-program users by
city in October 2023
City tier
|
App
|
Mini-Programs
|
First-tier
city
|
11.94 %
|
12.02 %
|
New first-tier
city
|
23.21 %
|
21.52 %
|
Second-tier
city
|
19.84 %
|
19.51 %
|
Third-tier
city
|
20.33 %
|
21.11 %
|
Fourth-tier
city
|
15.17 %
|
15.86 %
|
Fifth-tier
cities
|
9.51 %
|
9.98 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox
iApp; Data Collection Period: October 2023. The statistical results
only include mini-program and App data and do not include traffic
data from web pages or quick apps, among others within the WeChat
ecosystem
|
According to MoonFox iApp data, the user base of the JD.com
App and mini-program is increasingly shifting towards lower-tier
cities. Users from third-tier cities on these two platforms
accounted for 20.3% and 21.1%, respectively, approaching the user
concentration levels in new first-tier cities.
Firstly, in the "Spring Dawn" initiative mentioned above, the
ten-billion subsidy program is an important part and aims to assist
third-party merchants in increasing their earnings while offering
products at competitive prices through financial support. The data
indicates that the GMV contributions of current third-party
merchandise subsidies exceed 50%. JD.com aims to attract more
third-party merchants to reshape the platform ecosystem.
Secondly, from the users' perspective, the 10 billion subsidies
truly enable consumers to purchase goods at lower prices, making
them more appealing to users. According to official data from
JD.com, the total number of 10 billion subsidized goods during the
Double 11 period doubled compared to the 618 Shopping Festival, and
the one-key price drop protection initiative saved users a total of
564 million yuan. Meanwhile, the
turnover from the 9.9 free shipping and the flash sale channel
campaigns saw a significant increase. Currently, JD.com's focus
remains on 3C products, supplemented by low-priced and
high-discount flash sale products such as daily necessities,
providing a strategic guarantee for the platform to capture medium-
and low-consumption user groups.
The third tactic around procurement made this year's Double 11
of JD.com slightly distinct from previous years.
This year, JD.com ventured into Procurement Personnel
Livestreaming to explore new avenues. Unlike traditional e-commerce
livestreaming, these livestreaming studios are simpler, more
casual, and more authentic. The livestreaming covers a wider range
of product categories (such as mobile phones and TV discount live
broadcast rooms) and is primarily hosted by front-line procurement
personnel. Examples of promotional language include no placement
fees and recommender commissions, lower prices, and a 50% discount.
Official data shows that as of 24:00 on Double 11, the number of
audiences in JD Procurement Personnel Livestreaming studios
exceeded 380 million, securing multiple-fold sales growth for many
brands.
In summary, the low-price strategy has shown initial results,
and JD.com achieved new highs in commodity turnover, order volume,
and platform user numbers during 2023 Double 11. Compared with
other e-commerce platforms, JD.com was able to firmly promote
low-price strategy and maintain market competitiveness in the 3C
categories, which are closely related to its strong supply chain
capabilities.
II. Diving into supply chains to ensure continuous
profitability in the logistics business
Data from the financial report indicates that in 2023 Q3, the
revenue of JD Logistics reached 41.662
billion yuan, marking a YoY increase of 16.5%. JD Logistics
has sustained profitability since achieving full-year profitability
in 2022. Specifically, revenue from integrated supply chain
customers amounted to 19.605 billion
yuan, representing a YoY increase of 7.5%, while revenue
from other customers totaled 22.06 billion
yuan, reflecting a YoY increase of 25.7%.
The extensive coverage and high goods turnover are critical
in creating competition barriers for JD Logistics.
Firstly, in terms of coverage, data from the financial report
demonstrate that as of the end of September 2023, JD.com's warehouse network had
covered the vast majority of districts and counties in China, including over 1,600 warehouses
operated by JD.com and more than 2,000 cloud warehouses operated by
third-party owners on the cloud warehouse ecological platform.
Secondly, JD Logistics' special warehouse allocation mode
ensures high turnover. By employing the regional and
forward-looking warehouse mode, the platform can predict the
demands for 3C categories and other goods in different regions
through the decision system and proactively ship the goods to
the warehouses nearest to consumers, significantly reducing
shipping and delivery time for both merchants and users.
The combination of extensive coverage and a forward-looking
warehouse enables JD Logistics to achieve impressive turnover for
large customers. Meanwhile, JD.com is highly concerned
with the business needs of merchants and is dedicated to
empowering their capabilities on the solution side. According to
the financial report, JD.com built the first-ever forward
and reverse logistics integrated warehouse for Panasonic in
August 2023. The warehouse takes
charge of inspecting and recovering returned goods and directly
shipping or reselling the qualified goods, thereby significantly
shortening the handling time of returned goods and
cutting transportation and other logistics-related costs for
cost reduction and efficiency enhancement.
JD.com has set up a competitive and industry-recognized barrier
to serve brand customers. Moreover, it is also building a brand
fortress based on the rapid service system.
JD Express mini-program MAU & MoM growth
from January to October 2023
Date
|
MAU (in
million/person)
|
MoM change
|
2023/10
|
17.748
|
-0.71 %
|
2023/9
|
19.202
|
6.24 %
|
2023/8
|
19.727
|
1.52 %
|
2023/7
|
20.080
|
6.57 %
|
2023/6
|
21.497
|
12.46 %
|
2023/5
|
20.591
|
-7.37 %
|
2023/4
|
18.104
|
-5.74 %
|
2023/3
|
18.127
|
-10.46 %
|
2023/2
|
17.649
|
-5.38 %
|
2023/1
|
22.617
|
-24.71 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox
iApp; Data Collection Period: January to October 2023. The
statistical results only include mini-program data and do not
include traffic data from web pages, App or quick apps, among
others within the WeChat ecosystem
|
According to MoonFox iApp data, the monthly active users (MAU)
of JD Express's mini-program exceeded 17.75 million in October 2023. The comprehensively upgraded
service system ensures the continuous growth of active users and
the industry penetration rate of JD Express.
The upgrade of JD Express service is primarily reflected in
three aspects:
First, there will be mandatory compensation for failure to
collect packages within one hour. The courier will contact the
consumer within 10 minutes of placing an order and will pick
up the order at the doorstep within one hour upon confirmation.
Rapid response can effectively enhance consumer trust in the
platform, alleviate shopping pressure, and increase purchase
desire. Second, on-time delivery is ensured. Any delayed deliveries
will be compensated by the platform. The requirements for some
business segments are even stricter. For example, in the case
of Express Delivery and Fresh Food Express Delivery, if goods
are delivered late due to reasons beyond the consumer's
control, the platform will offer coupons or actively refund money
to consumers depending on the circumstances. Third, door-to-door
delivery options are available for both shipping and delivery
services. The platform will offer corresponding compensation
if it is confirmed that goods were not delivered to consumers'
doorsteps.
The service system built around compensation approaches is
recognized by consumers. According to 2023 Q3 survey data from the
Chinese State Post Bureau, the top three express services in the
satisfaction ranking are JD Express, SF Express, and EMS. The
company outperforms the industry average in addressing complaints
related to poor services, illegal charges, package loss, and
delayed delivery. JD Express has currently further upgraded its
services in Hong Kong and
Macao to strengthen the
interconnection with mainland China. We believe that the steady growth in
revenue and active user scale of JD Express assure the group's
overall business development and implementation of the low-price
strategy.
III. Short-term operations are under pressure with a positive
outlook for long-term strategies
On the whole, the current development of JD.com is transforming.
Initiatives such as the introduction of third-party merchants
and attempts to venture into livestreaming and multiple
subcategories will bring both opportunities and challenges
for the company. Looking ahead, we believe:
First, JD.com's short-term revenue may face pressure, but the
profit margins are considerable under the cost reduction and
efficiency enhancement approaches. In Q3 2023, JD. achieved a net
profit of 10.6 billion yuan, a YoY
increase of 5.9%, and the net profit margin was 3.2%, marking an
increase of 0.8%. While the low-price strategy has some impact
on overall revenue, the company is still able to maintain overall
profit growth by relying on supply chain advantages and several
cost control measures. We believe that the net profit result has
proven the feasibility of JD.com's strategic transformation, and
the low-price strategy will steadily be advanced with the support
of the aforementioned business strengths.
Second, while exploring the low-tier market remains
worthwhile, the priority should remain on fulfilling the 3C demands
of core users. In the eyes of some consumers, genuineness and
low prices are inherently contradictory. But for the core users of
JD.com, product quality and after-sales service hold greater
importance. The business focus should be on ensuring access to
third-party merchants while upholding product quality. In the
future, JD.com is expected to continue developing the low-tier
markets, particularly focusing on daily necessities and
livestreaming, while imposing stricter selection and control on
merchants in the 3C categories. It is anticipated that JD.com will
further integrate its supply chain advantages and low-price
strategy to offer more cost-effective products and services to
consumers.
Aurora-Moonfox consistently monitors industry development and
regularly tracks corporate performance. The following is our
research report on industry hotspots:
- 《Image-Text Content, Hot Items, and Seeding Drive the Rapid
Growth of RED Community》;
- 《Tencent focuses on the WeChat ecosystem and leverages
mini-programs to create the second growth curve》;
- 《NetEase Q3 Financial Report Game-driven Multi-segment
Growth》;
If you need a report, please contact us to obtain it.
Website: https://www.moonfox.cn/
Contact number: 400-888-0936
Name: Felix
Title: Director of Sales, Industry Insight Division
Tel: +86 -13366276383
Email:zhouzt@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
Name: Silvia
Title: Senior Marketing Manager
Tel: +86-13691629681
Email: zhangkx1@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
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SOURCE Aurora