Global Stocks Pause Ahead of U.S. Trade Figures
06 März 2019 - 12:29PM
Dow Jones News
By Avantika Chilkoti
Stocks wavered Wednesday ahead of new U.S. trade data that could
provide clues on the impact of the U.S.-China trade dispute and the
sustainability of growth in the world's largest economy.
In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 was broadly flat in morning
trading. Futures pointed to small opening drops in the U.S. of 0.2%
for both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500.
In Asia, Chinese stocks led markets higher on hopes for new
stimulus measures. The Shanghai Stock Exchange was up 1.6%, Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index gained 0.3% and Japan's Nikkei was down
0.6%.
Investors will watch closely as official trade data from the
U.S. is published later Wednesday. Economists surveyed by The Wall
Street Journal forecast the trade deficit widened to $56.9 billion
in December.
Peter Heilbron, senior investment officer at Northern Trust
Wealth Management, said U.S. data has been a "mixed bag" of late as
the effects of President Trump's tax policies fade. But investors'
outlook on the U.S. has been buoyed in 2019 by signals that the
Federal Reserve will hold off from hurriedly tightening monetary
policy.
While many analysts have praised the central bank's patience,
Mr. Heilbron flagged concerns that the economy could "overheat"
with such accommodative policy, and said, "Does that virtue turn
into vice as we move forward?"
Wednesday's discussions on trade will be followed by fresh
signals on the health of the U.S. economy later this week as the
Labor Department releases new figures on worker productivity
Wednesday and its jobs report Friday.
Economists surveyed by the Journal expect productivity grew at a
slower 1.7% pace in the fourth quarter of 2018, and predict the
economy added 185,000 to payrolls while the unemployment rate
nudged down to 3.9% in February.
Reports have suggested China and the U.S. are in the final
stages of completing a trade deal. Still, there are signs that
talks are stuck on the particulars of an agreement and investors
are wary that the rivalry between the world's two largest economies
could continue.
"It is hard to say when and how it is going to be resolved
because obviously it's not just about simple things related to cars
and things like that, it's more about intellectual property," said
Anna Stupnytska, global economist at Fidelity International.
The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a
basket of 16 currencies, was up 0.1% Wednesday.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury edged down to 2.711% from 2.722%
Tuesday. Yields move inversely to prices.
Meanwhile, in Europe, the Brexit negotiations drag on with just
weeks to go before the deadline for the U.K. to leave the bloc.
Barclays analysts have flagged concerns that the political
uncertainty around Brexit is weighing on employment in the U.K.
"With services businesses delaying hiring and manufacturers even
cutting jobs, we expect households will increasingly be tempted to
change consumption patterns and become more cautious in the face of
job insecurity," the analysts wrote in a recent note to
clients.
The British pound was down 0.2% against the dollar and the euro
Tuesday. The FTSE 100 index, which is dominated by large
international businesses, gained 0.1%.
Markets were awaiting a meeting of the European Central Bank's
governing council later this week against a backdrop of slowing
growth across the region.
In commodities, global benchmark Brent crude oil was down 0.3%
at $65.65 a barrel.
Write to Avantika Chilkoti at Avantika.Chilkoti@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 06, 2019 06:14 ET (11:14 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
FTSE 100
Index Chart
Von Mär 2024 bis Apr 2024
FTSE 100
Index Chart
Von Apr 2023 bis Apr 2024