- Revised Capital Cost C$2.2
Billion /USD$1.58 Billion
(C$/US$ 0.72)
- Average Annual After-Tax Net Cash Flow (Years 1-5) of
C$1.93 Billion (at US$95/lb U3O8)
- Consistent Mine Life and
Production Capability up to 30 Million Pounds
U3O8 Annually
- Elite Environmental Plan Incorporates Reclamation during
Operations resulting in minimal C$70
Million Closure Cost.
VANCOUVER, BC, Aug. 1, 2024
/CNW/ - NexGen Energy Ltd. ("NexGen" or the "Company") (TSX:
NXE) (NYSE: NXE) (ASX: NXG) announced today an update to the
initial capital, sustaining, and operating cost estimates for the
Company's 100%-owned Rook I Project (or "the Project"). The
estimated pre-production capital costs ("CapEx") are Canadian
Dollar ("C$") C$2.2 billion / US
Dollar ("USD") $1.58BN, with an
average cash operating cost ("OpEx") over the life of mine ("LOM")
estimated at an industry leading C$13.86/lb (USD$9.98/lb) U3O8.
Sustaining capital costs ("SusEx") were also updated and are
estimated at C$785 million (average
of ~C$70 million per year), inclusive
of closure costs of approximately C$70
million. The change in costs reflects both inflationary
changes as well as the significant advancement of engineering and
procurement, optimized constructability, and enhanced environmental
performance.
Unique to a mining project in the Athabasca Basin is the Project's incorporation
of costs associated with the progressive reclamation of a tailings
management facility into the CapEx, OpEx and sustaining capital
costs, which totals approximately $900
million of spending over the LOM. The vast majority of Rook
I's mine reclamation will occur concurrently with production
through the design incorporating the underground tailings
management facility ("UGTMF"). This will enhance the environmental
performance of the operation and reduce the risk of ongoing
reclamation, costly decommissioning at the end of the production
period, and the post-closure risk to the local environment and
communities. As a result of this incorporation of reclamation and
the UGTMF at the outset of development, full closure costs are set
to be approximately C$70 million at
the end of the mine life, materially lower than other uranium mines
in Canada, setting a higher
standard for environmental performance and the safe disposal of
tailings.
Incorporating an average long-term uranium price of
approximately USD$95.00/lb
U3O8 (UxC average Long-Term prices from 2029
to 2040, as published in June 2024),
net of transportation fees, the updated cost estimate results in an
After-Tax Net Present Value (8% discount rate) of C$6.3 billion, and a payback period of
approximately 12 months, as shown in the sensitivity table below.
Despite increased costs, at US$95.00/lb U3O8, average
annual after-tax net cash flow ("Free Cash Flow") from the Project
(years 1-5) remains materially the same as in the FS (as defined
below). As shown in the sensitivity table below, average annual
Free Cash Flow is now estimated at C$1.93
billion versus C$2.01 billion,
demonstrating that the Project is less sensitive to changes in
CapEx relative to uranium price.
Sensitivity of Project Economics to Uranium Prices
The sensitivity of the economic model in the FS to the price of
uranium is shown below:
|
|
Feasibility Study
(2020 Dollars)
|
Updated/Revised Estimate (2023
Dollars)
|
|
Uranium
Price
(US$/lb)
|
Average
Annual
Free Cash
Flow
(Y1 – 5)
(C$ billion)
|
Payback
Period
(Years)
|
Internal
Rate of
Return
("IRR")
(%)
|
Net
Present
Value
("NPV")
(C$ billion)
|
Average
Annual
Free Cash
Flow
(Y1 – 5)
(C$ billion)
|
Payback
Period
(Years)
|
Internal
Rate of
Return
("IRR")
(%)
|
Net
Present
Value
("NPV")
(C$ billion)
|
|
$150
|
3.19
|
0.4
|
101.8
|
12.80
|
3.13
|
0.7
|
61
|
11.52
|
|
$100
|
2.11
|
0.6
|
81.6
|
8.13
|
2.04
|
1.0
|
46.9
|
6.79
|
|
$95
|
2.01
|
0.6
|
79.2
|
7.67
|
1.93
|
1.0
|
45.2
|
6.32
|
|
$80
|
1.68
|
0.7
|
71.5
|
6.27
|
1.61
|
1.2
|
39.6
|
4.89
|
|
$50
|
1.04
|
0.9
|
52.4
|
3.47
|
0.97
|
2.0
|
25.2
|
2.10
|
|
|
Notes:
|
|
1.
|
The base case for
the economic analysis in the FS (the "FS Base Case") is based on,
among other things, the timing of a final investment decision and a
discount rate of 8%. It assumes that 100% of uranium produced from
the Project can be sold at a long-term price of US$50/lb
U3O8 at an exchange rate of C$/US$ of
1.00:0.75.
|
2.
|
The Updated/Revised
Estimate reflects an internal Company assessment of CapEx and OpEx,
as well as other currently expected Project costs, including
estimated sustaining capital, royalties, and taxes.
|
3.
|
As noted in the FS,
NPV, and IRR are most sensitive to metal prices, grade, metal
recovery, and exchange rates. To demonstrate the sensitivities of
NPV and IRR to uranium prices, alternatives to the uranium price
assumption used in the FS Base Case are shown in the table for
illustrative purposes. Readers are cautioned that such information
may not be appropriate for other purposes, including an assessment
of expected Project economics. Such illustrative prices were chosen
to approximate long-term and various spot price assumptions but are
not forecasts of expected uranium prices or prices at which uranium
produced from the Project can be sold.
|
4.
|
There has been no
material update to the estimates of Mineral Resources or Mineral
Reserves.
|
Leigh Curyer, Chief Executive Officer, commented: "NexGen's
updated CapEx, OpEx and sustaining capital reflect the Company's
focus on thorough planning and responsible financial management,
ensuring that every aspect of the Project aligns for the
development of a truly world-class resources project. The updated
capital cost presents an all-encompassing spend to bring the Rook I
Project into production based on robust, proven mining and
construction methodologies, with a payback period of 12 months. Our
commitment to developing this Project to the highest environmental
standards ensures sustainable and responsible operations from the
outset whilst delivering industry leading profitability and local
community consultation and engagement. This includes the
incorporation of reclamation activities and the significant
associated costs during operations, minimizing future closure
liabilities which are estimated at C$70
million for the Project, and setting a higher standard for
environmental performance in the mining industry.
It is a very exciting time at NexGen as the Company advances the
finalization of the Federal Environmental Assessment, readies for
immediate commencement of construction on final Federal Approval,
and in parallel continue to test the recently discovered Patterson
Corridor East mineralization 3.5kms east of the Arrow deposit."
The Feasibility Study ("FS" or "Feasibility Study"), published
March 2021, estimated CapEx at
C$1.3 billion and average OpEx over
the LOM at C$7.58/lb
U3O8. The updated CapEx reflects
approximately C$310 million in direct
and attributable inflationary increases since 2020, and
approximately C$590 million in
increased CapEx from enhancements identified through advanced
engineering and procurement activity since March 2021. The updated OpEx estimate reflects an
increase of C$2.65/lb
U3O8 due to inflationary adjustments and an
additional C$3.63/lb
U3O8 increase due to advanced design
developments, advancement of procurement, and operational and
ongoing elite environmental enhancements. The mine life and
production profile including capability of up to 30 million pounds
U3O8 annually is consistent with the FS. The
updated CapEx utilized a P50 contingency which was also
consistent with the FS.
The updated costs reflect the advancement of Project engineering
from 18% complete at the time of the Company's FS, to approximately
45% complete currently, within an accuracy range of +/- 10%. The
Project is ready for major construction activities to commence
immediately following final Federal Environmental Assessment
approval with critical path detailed engineering and procurement
advancing in parallel. Further, the Company is advancing well with
the significant build out of the project development team that
includes industry experts in shaft sinking, underground mining and
development, and surface operations.
The Company is progressing discussions with various prospective
financing entities – including commercial lenders, export credit
agencies, and alternative sources to secure financing for the
Project. The Company is receiving interest in significant new
sources of potential project financing which would fully satisfy
the capital requirements for the Project in combination with its
current cash and liquid investments.
The Company is continually refining the current dollar cost
estimates as engineering, procurement, and contracting activities
advance over the coming months. In addition, NexGen's internal team
is investigating areas of operational improvements, including
enhanced recoveries, supplemental energy efficiency initiatives
through kinetic heat recovery, and increased automation of material
handling and processes throughout the operations.
About NexGen
NexGen Energy is a Canadian company focused on delivering clean
energy fuel for the future. The Company's flagship Rook I Project
is being optimally developed into the largest, low-cost producing
uranium mine globally, incorporating the most elite standards in
environmental and social governance. The Rook I Project is
supported by a NI 43-101 compliant Feasibility Study which outlines
the elite environmental performance and industry leading economics.
NexGen is led by a team of experienced uranium and mining industry
professionals with expertise across the entire mining life cycle,
including exploration, financing, project engineering and
construction, operations, and closure. NexGen is leveraging its
proven experience to deliver a Project that leads the entire mining
industry socially, technically, and environmentally. The Project
and prospective portfolio in northern Saskatchewan will provide generational
long-term economic, environmental, and social benefits for
Saskatchewan, Canada, and the
world.
NexGen is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York
Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "NXE," and on the Australian
Securities Exchange under the ticker symbol "NXG," providing access
to global investors to participate in NexGen's mission of solving
three major global challenges in decarbonization, energy security,
and access to power. The Company is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia, with its primary
operations office in Saskatoon,
Saskatchewan.
Technical Disclosure
All technical information in this news release has been
reviewed and approved by Kevin
Small, NexGen's Senior Vice President, Engineering and
Operations, a qualified person under National Instrument
43-101.
The Feasibility Study referred to herein, entitled "Arrow
Deposit, Rook I Project, Saskatchewan, Nl 43-101 Technical Report on
Feasibility Study dated March 10,
2021", has been filed on SEDAR+
(www.sedarplus.ca) and EDGAR
(www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml), and is available on the
Company's website (www.nexgenenergy.ca).
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors
This news release includes Mineral Reserves and Mineral
Resources classification terms that comply with reporting standards
in Canada and the Mineral Reserves
and the Mineral Resources estimates are made in accordance with NI
43-101. NI 43-101 is a rule developed by the Canadian Securities
Administrators that establishes standards for all public disclosure
an issuer makes of scientific and technical information concerning
mineral projects. These standards differ from the requirements of
the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") set by the SEC's
rules that are applicable to domestic United States reporting companies.
Consequently, Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources information
included in this news release is not comparable to similar
information that would generally be disclosed by domestic U.S.
reporting companies subject to the reporting and disclosure
requirements of the SEC Accordingly, information concerning mineral
deposits set forth herein may not be comparable with information
made public by companies that report in accordance with U.S.
standards.
Forward-Looking Information
The information contained herein contains "forward-looking
statements" within the meaning of applicable United States securities laws and regulations
and "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities legislation. "Forward-looking information"
includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to
estimates for CapEx, OpEx, SusEx and a payback period of 12
months, the appointment of a lead lender group, the availability of
financing for the Project, the advancement of detailed engineering
and contract negotiations, bolstering the globe's uranium supply
chains to meet the rising demand for nuclear energy, the timing and
cost of reclamation, including as part of the UGTMF and after-tax
free cash flow remaining materially consistent with the FS, Free
Cash Flow, Payback Period and IRR relative to various uranium
prices, the delivery of clean energy fuel for the future, the
development of the largest low cost producing uranium mine globally
and incorporating elite standards in environmental and social
governance, delivering a project that leads the entire mining
industry socially, technically and environmentally, providing
generational long-term economic, environmental and social benefits
for Saskatchewan, Canada and the
world, planned exploration and development activities and budgets,
the interpretation of drill results and other geological
information, mineral reserve and resource estimates (to the extent
they involve estimates of the mineralization that will be
encountered if a project is developed), requirements for additional
capital, capital costs, operating costs, cash flow estimates,
production estimates, the future price of uranium and similar
statements relating to the economics of a project, including the
Rook I Project. Generally, forward-looking information and
statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking
terminology such as "plans", "expects", "is expected", "budget",
"scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends", "anticipates", or
"believes" or the negative connotation thereof or variations of
such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or
results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will be taken",
"occur" or "be achieved" or the negative connotation
thereof.
Forward-looking information and statements are based on
NexGen's current expectations, beliefs, assumptions, estimates and
forecasts about its business and the industry and markets in which
it operates. Forward-looking information and statements are made
based upon numerous assumptions, including, among others, that
financing for the Project will be available in a timely manner
and on terms acceptable to the Company, the results of planned
exploration and development activities will be as anticipated and
on time; the price of uranium; the cost of planned exploration and
development activities; that, as plans continue to be refined for
the development of the Rook I Project, there will be no changes in
costs, engineering details or specifications that would materially
adversely affect its viability; that financing will be available if
and when needed and on reasonable terms; that third-party
contractors, equipment, supplies and governmental and other
approvals required to conduct NexGen's planned exploration and
development activities will be available on reasonable terms and in
a timely manner; that there will be no revocation of government
approvals; that general business, economic, competitive, social and
political conditions will not change in a material adverse manner;
the assumptions underlying the Company's mineral reserve and
resource estimates and updated/revised CapEx, OpEx, SusEx,
sustaining capital and other costs, and pay back period;
assumptions made in the interpretation of drill results and other
geological information; the ability to achieve production on the
Rook I Project; and other estimates, assumptions and forecasts
disclosed in the Feasibility Study for the Rook I Project. Although
the assumptions made by the Company in providing forward-looking
information or making forward-looking statements were considered
reasonable by management at the time they were made, there can be
no assurance that such assumptions will prove to be
accurate.
Forward-looking information and statements also involve known
and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, which may
cause actual results, performances and achievements of NexGen to
differ materially from any projections of results, performances and
achievements of NexGen expressed or implied by such forward-looking
information or statements, including, among others, negative
operating cash flow and dependence on third-party financing,
uncertainty of additional financing, the risk that pending assay
results will not confirm previously announced preliminary results,
the imprecision of mineral reserve and resource estimates, the
price and appeal of alternate sources of energy, sustained low
uranium prices, aboriginal title and consultation issues,
development risks, climate change, uninsurable risks, reliance upon
key management and other personnel, risks related to title to its
properties, information security and cyber threats, failure to
manage conflicts of interest, failure to obtain or maintain
required permits and licences, changes in laws, regulations and
policy, competition for resources, political and regulatory risks,
general inflationary pressures, industry and economic factors that
may affect the business, and other factors discussed or referred to
in the Company's most recent Annual Information Form under "Risk
Factors" and management's discussion and analysis under "Other
Risks Factors" filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca
and 40-F filed on Edgar at www.sec.gov.
Although the Company has attempted to identify important
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from
those contained in the forward-looking information or statements or
implied by forward-looking information or statements, there may be
other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated,
estimated or intended.
There can be no assurance that forward-looking information
and statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and
future events could differ materially from those anticipated,
estimated or intended. Accordingly, readers are cautioned
not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information or
statements due to the inherent uncertainty thereof. The Company
undertakes no obligation to update or reissue forward-looking
information as a result of new information or events except as
required by applicable securities laws.
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SOURCE NexGen Energy Ltd.