Report Says Ethereum Is Trading Well Below Fair Value, What’s The Correct Figure?
20 September 2023 - 11:00PM
NEWSBTC
Ethereum’s price may have been dealt a massive blow as a research
report on the Ethereum valuation has revealed that the
cryptocurrency giant has been trading below its fair price.
Ethereum Trading Value Slips A new on-chain research report has
delved deep into the fair value of the Ethereum cryptocurrency
since its inception, segregating the cryptocurrency’s value into
sections and utilizing its trading activities and active addresses
to evaluate the network’s worth over the past years. Related
Reading: Is $10,000 Possible For XRP Price? Crypto Analysts Weigh
In Lewis Harland, an RxR analyst, revealed in the research report
that Ethereum has been trading below fair value by a 27% discount.
The analyst arrived at this conclusion after employing the Metcalfe
law-centric valuation model which involves comparing active user
base on Ethereum’s robust scaling networks and active user adoption
to measure the network’s fair value. Harland explained that
Ethereum’s network valuation can be measured and tracked slightly
more accurately when the active user base of the blockchain’s
scaling networks is integrated into the model. He stated that if
the model excludes active user bases, then Ether’s (ETH) valuation
would be trading significantly below its fair value of $275
billion. “Ethereum’s network valuation tracks the updated ML index
better when the active user base of Ethereum’s scaling networks is
factored into the model than when omitted,” Harland, stated in the
research report. He added that “the updated model, which does
factor in these networks, puts ETH’s valuation at $275 billion
(current MCAP trading at a 27% discount), assuming no further user
growth in perpetuity.” Going by Harland’s research, Ethereum should
be trading at around $2,300 with a market cap of $275 billion.
However, Ethereum’s price is currently sitting at $1,637 with a
market capitalization of $197.62 billion. Analyst says ETH
price is sitting 27% below fair value | Source: ETHUSD on
Tradingview.com Ethereum’s Worth Revealed Through Value Layers
While exploring the decline in Ethereum’s trading value, RxR
disclosed its analysis of Ethereum’s supposed value using value
layers. The research firm explained that Ethereum’s commodity value
layer can be analyzed through the amount of ETH millions of users
utilize to facilitate their crypto transactions daily. It further
stated that the annual run rate of the transaction fees is well
over $1.6 billion presently. It also described Ethereum’s equity
value, stating that “the value of ETH is the present-day value of
the sum of all of its future cash flows. To date, over 3.5m ETH
($5.8B) has been burned by EIP-1559.” Related Reading: PayPal’s
PYUSD Report Provides Valuable Insight Into The Stablecoin’s
Performance So Far Lastly, the research firm represented Ethereum’s
network value layer, and the analysis utilized Metcalfe’s law
approach to conclude the recent data that revealed that the
Ethereum blockchain network was trading below fair value.
Ethereum’s price has been dealing with a series of strong declines
that may push the growth of the ecosystem back a few years. The
tenacity of the cryptocurrency’s native token Ether (ETH) was
tested when it fell to a critical support level of $1,530 earlier
in September. However, the cryptocurrency later made a slight
recovery which pushed it back to a more stable position. Featured
image from Analytics Insight, chart from Tradingview.com
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