Why Bitcoin Could Be Less Than 120 Days Away From Retesting ATHs
28 März 2023 - 12:55AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin price is currently pulling back alongside the broader
crypto market following a strong move from $20,000 to $29,000 in a
matter of two weeks. The sharp rally has the market speculating
that a bottom might be in. If the bottom is indeed in, based on
past historical performance, BTCUSD could be back retesting
all-time highs within 120 days or less. Find out why below. Why
BTCUSD Could Reach Former Highs In 120 Days Or Less All markets are
cyclical, and crypto is no different. For example, Bitcoin shows
cyclical behavior based on its halving event, where the block
reward miners receive in BTC is slashed by 50%. In technical
analysis, all kinds of timing-related behavior exists. Another
example includes the January Effect, or the concept of selling in
May and going away, both representing seasonality in
cryptocurrencies and other markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Priced
In Bank Shares Is The Crypto Chart You Can’t Miss Serial
correlation, or autocorrelation, is yet another time-based
observation where price action correlates with price action from a
previous data set in the same asset. An example of this is the
phenomenon is that Bitcoin has peaked between November and December
three times in a row: in 2013, 2017, and again in 2021. Using the
six-week Bollinger Bands and the idea behind serial correlation, it
may be possible to predict that Bitcoin price revisits $65,000 per
coin in less than 120 days, as past data suggests. BTC has always
hit the upper band within 120 days from now | BTCUSD on
TradingView.com Could Bitcoin Be Back At Former All-Time Highs In A
Few Months? Past price history is not a guarantee of future
performance, but from historical data technical analysts can
improve the probability of success using such information. Looking
at past bottoms in Bitcoin price on the six-week timeframe, two
large white candles always signaled a bottom was in. This
represents more than 12-weeks of positive performance, just shy of
a full quarter. Related Reading: This Bullish Bitcoin Technical
Signal Suggests The Bottom Is In Once the bottom was in, Bitcoin
made push above the middle-SMA on the Bollinger Bands, and then
within the next several candles immediately made a run for the
upper Bollinger Band. In 2015, after the bottom was in, it took
seven 6W candles before touching the upper BB. Four years later in
2019, BTCUSD did it in only five 6W candles. Even on the longer end
of the two instances, it would suggest that Bitcoin could touch the
upper Bollinger Band within 120 days. What makes this impressive
and very different than the past, is the fact that the upper
Bollinger Bands on the timeframe is located at $64,000 per coin, or
right around former all-time highs set in 2021. Could BTCUSD really
be back at former ATHs in less than 120 days? #Bitcoin 6W Bollinger
Bands: After the bottom was in, within 7 bars BTC hit the upper BB
In 2019 it took only 5 bars. In 2023 our 5th bar just opened. If
BTC were to again hit the upper BB in >7 bars, this suggests
that we'll see BTC at $64K+ within 3-4 months or ~120 days.
pic.twitter.com/GCmcBT9lQs — Tony "The Bull" (@tonythebullBTC)
March 27, 2023 Follow @TonyTheBullBTC on Twitter or join the
TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and
technical analysis education. Please note: Content
is educational and should not be considered investment
advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from
TradingView.com
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