Retail investors will dominate the crypto markets
24 März 2025 - 4:00PM
Cointelegraph


Opinion by: Hatu Sheikh, founder of Coin
Terminal
Crypto began its journey with Bitcoin (
BTC) — the epitome of
decentralization — promising open access and equitable distribution
of financial resources. It evolved into starkly different
territories, where lucrative market opportunities are often
inaccessible for retail investors.
Wealthy individuals, high-net-worth family offices, company
insiders and venture capitalists secure early access to prime
crypto deals. Retailers are left in the lurch as their late entry
leads to higher market risks and limited profitability.
The table is turning, mainly with the rise of real-world asset
(RWA) tokenization and a decisive repudiation of venture
capital-backed tokens. Crypto is no longer a niche asset class for
institutional investors — retail users are now actively shaping the
future of finance.
Crypto has a retail-institutional divide
Retail investors have long stayed away from the crypto market.
Analyzing the Bitcoin wallet activities of retail tokenholders
demonstrates this.
According to Glassnode, Bitcoin retail spend volumes of user
wallets holding less than 0.1 BTC have dropped by 48% since
November 2024. A crypto commentator has corroborated the data,
showing retail interest reached a three-year low.
Institutional investors like Metaplanet,
Strategy and Intesa
Sanpaolo have recently increased their Bitcoin holdings, taking
advantage of BTC’s price drop. Simultaneously, large Bitcoin
holders or crypto whales have accumulated over 39,620 BTC worth
$3.79 billion
in a single day.
Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise,
said, “There is an
absolutely massive disconnect between retail and professional
sentiment in crypto right now.” The data suggests that retail
sentiment is bearish while professional investors remain bullish,
almost like two parallel worlds.
The expanding adoption of BTC reserves by corporations and
institutional demand for Bitcoin futures has led to shrinking
retail investors. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)
controls 85% of
the monthly futures market, while crypto exchanges control
retail-led perpetual contracts.
CME’s open interest in monthly BTC futures offers hedge funds and
investment banks exposure to BTC and liquidity access. It also
indicates, however, a diminishing influence of retail investors’
participation in Bitcoin’s price discovery.
The market structurally restricts retail investors’ access to
capital reserves, denying them early-stage opportunities in
financial markets. The psychological “unit bias”
adds to the problem as retailers cannot own a complete unit of
assets like Bitcoin.
Recent:
Crypto shows how powerful tokenizing private stocks
would be
As governments contemplate the formation of strategic
Bitcoin reserves, they risk being locked in central bank cold
wallets. For optimal utilization, it’s essential to keep Bitcoin
accessible to retail investors through open
reserves.
Despite such constricted market opportunities, the crypto industry
offers innovative products like asset tokenization and memecoins to
democratize access for retail investors.
Retail investors are reclaiming crypto
Sometimes, the best way to achieve financial inclusion is to
remove complexities and make investing fun and relatable. Memecoins
have done that successfully, leveraging speculation as a utility to
make a statement against low-float-high-fully diluted valuation
coins backed by VCs. That’s the reason retail investors are buying
memecoins in such large numbers.
Although memecoins are subject to severe market volatily, they
continue to dominate retail speculation. Nicolai Søndergaard, a
research analyst at Nansen, thinks the altcoin season is
yet to come because memecoins have topped investor mindshare
and capital allocation.
The memecoin phenomenon shows the power of ordinary people to
monetize virality and harness mimetic desire through collective
community-led wealth generation. But more importantly, it shows
retail investors’ rejection of VC-led token pumps that deny fair
entry to high-value token launches.
Memecoins also give tokenholders a sense of belonging to facilitate
bonding over shared values and culture. Thus, when US President
Donald Trump launched his memecoin, 42% of investors
were first-time buyers, signaling memecoins’ potential to
onboard retailers.
Beyond speculative memecoin trading, retail investors adopt
tokenized real-world assets to hedge against uncertain market
conditions. The RWA tokenization market has
recently surpassed $17 billion, enhancing retail investor
accessibility and market opportunities through improved liquidity
and fractional ownership.
Retailers and small investors can now participate in tokenized
capital markets, previously reserved for institutions and wealthy
individuals. Thus, tokenization is a democratic and inclusive
market strategy to help new investors access the financial system
without facing liquidity challenges.
Mastercard recently published a white paper explaining how RWA
tokenization offers significant socio-economic benefits to people
from emerging economies, such as Latin America. In developing
economies, tokenization resolves the trust deficit by enabling
transparent ownership tracking for seamless asset transfers.
Asset tokenization helps retail investors participate in DeFi
markets by improving capital efficiency. A PricewaterhouseCoopers
report shows tokenization benefits buyers and sellers in the opaque
$1.5-trillion private credit market through fractionalized lending
and borrowing.
Amid turbulent market conditions, institutional investors with
abundant capital reserves have the luxury of continuing to
accumulate Bitcoin and other altcoins. However, retail investors
with a fixed capital supply must find asset classes with the lowest
entry barriers.
With the crypto industry providing diversified investment options
and innovative products, retailers now have the freedom to invest
in their preferred assets. It’s finally time for retail investors
to come onchain.
Opinion by: Hatu Sheikh, founder of Coin
Terminal.
This article is for
general information purposes and is not intended to be and should
not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts,
and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not
necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of
Cointelegraph.
...
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