Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes
24 März 2025 - 1:33PM
Cointelegraph


Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high of $110,000 before any
significant retracement, according to some market analysts, who
cite easing inflation and rising global liquidity as key factors
supporting the price rally.
Bitcoin (BTC) has been rising for two
consecutive weeks, achieving a bullish weekly close just above
$86,000 on March 23, TradingView data shows.
Combined with fading inflation-related concerns, this may set
the stage for Bitcoin’s rally to the $110,000 all-time high,
according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief
investment officer of Maelstrom.
BTC/USD, 1-week chart. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
Hayes wrote in a March 24 X post:
“I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is
going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter cause
of “transitory inflation.” JAYPOW told me so.”
Source: Arthur
Hayes
“What I mean is that the price is more likely to hit $110k than
$76.5k next. If we hit $110k, then it’s yachtzee time and we ain’t
looking back until $250k,” Hayes added in a follow-up X
post.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is when the US Federal Reserve
shrinks its balance sheet by selling bonds or letting them mature
without reinvesting proceeds, while
quantitative easing (QE) means that the Fed is buying bonds and
pumping money into the economy to lower interest rates and
encourage spending during difficult financial conditions.
Other analysts pointed out that while the Fed has slowed QT, it
has not yet fully pivoted to easing.
“QT is not “basically over” on April 1st. They still have
$35B/mo coming off from mortgage backed securities. They just
slowed QT from $60B/mo to $40B/mo,” according to
Benjamin Cowen, founder and CEO of IntoTheCryptoVerse.
Related: Bitcoin may recover to $90K amid easing
inflation concerns after FOMC meeting
Meanwhile, market participants await the Fed’s expected pivot to
quantitative easing, which has historically been positive for
Bitcoin’s price.
BTC/USD, 1-week chart, 2020–2021. Source:
Cointelegraph/TradingView
The last
period of QE in 2020 led to a more than 1,000% surge in
Bitcoin’s price, from around $6,000 in March 2020 to a then-record
high of $69,000 in November 2021. Analysts believe a similar setup
could be forming again.
Related: Bitcoin reserve backlash signals unrealistic
industry expectations
Macro conditions may support Bitcoin’s rally to $110,000
Bitcoin’s recovery to above $85,000 after last week’s Federal
Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting was a bullish sign for
investor sentiment that may signal more upside, according to
Enmanuel Cardozo, market analyst at real-world asset (RWA)
tokenization platform Brikken.
The macroeconomic environment also “supports” a Bitcoin rally to
$110,000, the analyst told Cointelegraph.
“Global liquidity has risen, discussions around a US Bitcoin
strategic reserve, potentially driving Bitcoin toward that $110,000
mark as BTC liquidity available in exchanges keeps dropping,
leading to a supply squeeze scenario,” he said.
“However, a correction to $76,500 aligns with Bitcoin’s
historical volatility, often triggered by profit-taking or
unexpected market shifts,” he added.
Other analysts also see a high likelihood of Hayes’ prediction
playing out.
“Given Bitcoin’s recent close above the 21-day and 200-day
moving averages, this bullish momentum aligns with his view.
However, the $88K resistance remains a key hurdle,” Ryan Lee, chief
analyst at Bitget Research, told Cointelegraph.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s odds of June highs, SOL’s $485M
outflows, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 2 –
8
This article does not
contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and
trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own
research when making a decision.
...
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