Bitcoin Activity Soars Post SWIFT Ban On Russia, BTC At Do Or Die Spot?
05 März 2022 - 07:00PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has found temporal support at $39,000, but buyers have been
scarce as the market enters into weekend price action. Uncertainty
around macro factors seems to be growing with the Russia-Ukraine
conflict contributing with the selling pressure experience by BTC
and larger cryptocurrencies over the past days. Related Reading |
Market Update: Crypto Market Rebounds As Tech firms Boycott Russia
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $39,168 with a 4.2% loss
in the past 24 hours. The benchmark crypto saw some relief before
the current downside action. Per a report from research firm Delphi
Digital, Bitcoin activity boomed due to consequences of the Russian
invasion of Ukraine. The United States, Europe, and the
International Community decided to ban the Russian Federation from
the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication
(SWIFT), the communication rails used by banks in the legacy
financial system. Effectively, making Russia a financial outsider.
As seen below, on March 1st, when the sanctions were announced,
Bitcoin’s active supply saw it largest surged since May 2020. At
that time, the start of the lockdown measures to prevent the spread
of COVID-19 led global markets into a severe downtrend. This uptick
in Bitcoin active supply could suggest buyers increased their
holdings to hedge against future events. At the same time, as
reported by Brian Armstrong and other crypto exchange CEOs, BTC and
other cryptocurrencies have been used by people on the ground to
safely transport wealth across borders. Additional data provided by
Delphi Digital seems to support this thesis as the BTC supply held
by addresses with balances between 0.001 and 10 BTC stood above
2.73 million. The research firm added the following: Cutting off
the Russian Ruble from the world’s financial system led to a
sell-off, causing it to drop 20% over the weekend. As
Russians try to preserve value, BTC has emerged as one of the
options. This caused BTC to trade at an eye-popping 40% premium.
Bitcoin At Make It Or Break It Moment? As NewsBTC reported
yesterday, Bitcoin needed to hold above $40,000 to prevent further
downside. Now, with critical support lost, a potential revisit of
$36,000 seems likely. Data from Material Indicators seems to
support this thesis, at least for lower timeframes, as there seems
to be low liquidity at current levels at up to that price point. As
seen in the chart below, there are around $18 million in bids
orders for BTC at $36,000. Until that point, any levels seem weak,
for the short term. To the upside, the order book seems equally
thin, but without buying pressure it seems unlikely that BTC’s
price will make a push upwards, for the time being. Related Reading
| Billionaire Investor Says Crypto Outlook Is ‘Very Bullish’ For
Bitcoin According to a pseudonym analyst, BTC’s price benefited
from the “safe haven asset narrative”, but that momentum seems to
have been extinguished. Talking about the potential opportunity to
buy BTC’s dip into future lows, giving the asset’s possible
capacity to reclaim previous highs, the analyst said: (…) we’d need
a push above $46K to continue it’s bullish trend which won’t be
easy either after such a fall (…). As for $BTC’s direction I’m a
bit conflicted on what’s next. Until we lose the current level I
still have some hope for a reversal but the bulls really have to
pull through after the weekend. As for the weekend I expect mostly
chop as usual.
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