Bitcoin Perpetual Swaps Signal Short Bias Amid Price Rebound – Details
26 April 2025 - 11:00PM
NEWSBTC
The Bitcoin market saw another rebound in the past week as prices
leaped by over 12% to hit a local peak of $95,600. Amid the ongoing
market euphoria, prominent blockchain analytics company Glassnode
has shared some important developments in the Bitcoin derivative
markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Apparent Demand’ Makes Sharp
Rebound – Will BTC Breakout Soon? Bitcoin Short Bets Rise Despite
Price Rally, Setting Stage For Volatility Despite a bullish trading
week, derivative traders are approaching the Bitcoin market with
skepticism, as evidenced by a build-up of leveraged short
positions. In a recent X post on April 25, Glassnode reported that
Open Interest (OI) in Bitcoin perpetual swaps climbed to 218,000
BTC, marking a 15.6% increase from early March. In line with market
activity, this rise in Open Interest aligns with increased
leverage, introducing the potential for market volatility via
liquidations or stop-outs. Generally, a rise in Open
Interest amidst a price rally is expected to signal long-term
market confidence. However, Glassnode’s findings have revealed an
opposite scenario. Despite Bitcoin’s bullish strides in the past
week, short market positions appear to be dominating the perpetual
futures markets. This concerning development is indicated by a
decline in the average funding rate, which has now slipped into
negative territory to sit around -0.023%. The perpetual funding
rate is a periodic payment between long and short traders aimed at
keeping the contract price in line with the underlying spot price.
A negative funding rate indicates short traders pay long traders as
Bitcoin’s perpetual contract price is trading below the spot price.
This is caused by a higher number of short positions as traders are
largely bearish about Bitcoin, even despite recent gains.
Furthermore, the 7-day moving average (7DMA) of long-side funding
premiums has dropped to $88,000 per hour, reinforcing this
short-dominant sentiment. This downtrend indicates a waning demand
for long positions, as traders exhibit a short bias. However,
Glassnode presents a bullish note stating that the present
combination of rising leverage and short positions paves the way
for a potential short squeeze, where an unexpected upward price
move forces short-sellers to close their positions, thereby driving
prices even higher. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing,
Bitcoin trades at $94,629 following a 1.01% retracement from its
local peak price on April 25. Despite creeping developments in the
perpetual futures market, the BTC market remains highly bullish,
indicated by gains of 1.02%, 11.12%, and 8.32% in the last one,
seven, and thirty days, respectively. With a market cap of $1.88
trillion, the premier cryptocurrency ranks as the largest digital
asset and fifth-largest asset in the world. Related Reading:
Ethereum To Hit $5k Before Its 10th Birthday, Justin Sun Says
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview
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