Ethereum Shows Signs Of Exhaustion, But Could It Still Touch $1,700?
22 Juli 2022 - 05:55PM
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The crypto market has extended its bullish momentum despite recent
tailwinds, Ethereum continues to lead in this recovery. The second
crypto by market cap trades at $1,600 with a 35% profit in the past
week. Related Reading | Crypto Market On The Mend: ApeCoin And
Curve DAO Show Gains Trading firm QCP Capital shared a market
update claiming the current bullish price action has been a
“pleasant surprise for all”. This price action started on the back
of the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) print; a metric used
to measure inflation. The CPI stands at a 40-year high which was
expected to have a negative impact on the crypto market. The
opposite occurred, the trading firm claims, due to market
participants expecting lower inflation in the coming months. This
potential decline in inflation could give some room for risk asset
to continue their rally and persuade the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
from ruling out a 100-basis point (bps) interest rate hike. The
financial institution will announce its decision on July 27. QCP
Capital said: Currently, a 20% chance of 100bps is still being
priced in but our view is that 75bps is the most the Fed will do.
So expect another boost as 100 bps gets completely priced out.
Ethereum is leading the relief because there is more clarity around
the upcoming “Merge”, an event set to combine this network’s
execution layer with its consensus layer. Thus, consolidating
Ethereum’s migration to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus protocol.
“The Merge” has been tentatively scheduled for September which has
contributed to the shift in the general sentiment across the crypto
market and supported this rally. The bullish price action, QCP
Capital said, has been “keenly felt in the options market”. The
sector saw a “rush” to purchase buy contracts (calls) for the
September expiry. In other words, options traders are bullish on
the potential impact that “The Merge” will have on Ethereum. Can
Ethereum Extend Current Rally? Conversely, the options markets hint
at potential exhaustion for Ethereum in the short term. QCP Capital
records an increase in calls selling for ETH’s price and believes
insolvencies announcements from other companies could operate as
tailwinds for the second crypto by market cap. Part of the
contagion triggered by the default of crypto hedge fund Three
Arrows Capital (3AC), which failed to honor billions in debts from
their counterparties, many companies have been negatively impacted.
This includes Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager, and Genesis. These
companies have had to halt their operations at some levels with new
companies announcing that they have been affected by 3AC coming out
almost every week. Yesterday, crypto exchange Zipmex suspended
withdrawals, and there have been growing rumors about other
companies taking similar measures. Related Reading | Solana
(SOL) To Hit $166 By 2025, Despite Current Bearish Conditions QCP
Capital said: While the markets have been sanguine, it might not be
completely free of the credit contagion yet. We have been adding to
our downside skew position and we are keeping slightly long gamma
and vega (longer term options).
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