Commodity Currencies Rise Amid Rising Risk Appetite
31 Mai 2016 - 5:14AM
RTTF2
Commodity currencies such as the Australian, the New Zealand and
the Canadian dollars strengthened against the other major
currencies in the Asian session on Tuesday amid rising risk
appetite, as investors were keeping an eye on economic data from
the region in the absence of cues from Wall Street, which was
closed overnight for a public holiday. Meanwhile, rising oil prices
also lifted the sentiment.
Crude oil for July delivery are currently up $0.33 to $49.66 a
barrel. Crude oil prices rose as oversupply concerns ease ahead of
this week's OPEC meeting.
The aussie started rising after the release of Australia's
upbeat building approvals data in April.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that the
seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved rose 3.0
percent monthly in April, following a 2.9 percent spike in March.
It was the second successive monthly increase. Meanwhile,
economists had expected a 3.0 percent fall for the month.
On an annual basis, building consents went up 0.7 percent in
April, reversing a 5.4 percent decline a month earlier.
Also, Australia's seasonally adjusted current account deficit
narrowed to A$20.8 billion in the first quarter from A$22.6 billion
in the fourth quarter. In seasonally adjusted chain volume terms,
the surplus on goods and services increased to A$12.6 billion from
A$7.8 billion.
The kiwi started rising after the release of New Zealand's
upbeat business confidence data in May.
Data from ANZ Bank showed that the business confidence index
climbed to 11.3 in May from 6.2 in the previous month. The survey
showed a net 11 percent of businesses were optimistic about
prospects over the coming year. The index measuring profit
expectations rose to 20.0 in April from 16.0 a month earlier. It
was the fourth consecutive increase.
The upbeat economic data from the Australia and the New Zealand
is likely to reduce the chances of interest rate cuts by its
central banks in June. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to
holds its monthly policy review on June 7, while the Reserve Bank
of New Zealand releases its full monetary policy statement on June
9.
Monday, the Australian, the New Zealand and the Canadian dollars
showed mixed trading against their major counterparts. While the
aussie, the kiwi and the loonie fell against the U.S. dollar, they
rose against the yen.
Meanwhile, the aussie and the kiwi fell against the euro, but
the loonie held steady against the euro.
In the Asian trading, the Australian dollar rose to 2-week highs
of 1.5395 against the euro and 80.47 against the yen, from
yesterday's closing quotes of 1.5502 and 79.79, respectively. The
aussie may test resistance near 1.50 against the euro and 82.00
against the yen.
Against the U.S., the Canadian and the New Zealand dollars, the
aussie advanced to a 5-day high of 0.7242, 6-day high of 0.9433 and
nearly a 2-week high of 1.0766 from yesterday's closing quotes of
0.7182, 0.9369 and 1.0726, respectively. If the aussie extends its
uptrend, it is likely to find resistance around 0.74 against the
greenback, 0.95 against the loonie and 1.10 against the kiwi.
The NZ dollar rose to more than a 1-month high of 74.93 against
the yen, from yesterday's closing value of 74.37. On the upside,
76.00 is seen as the next resistance level for the kiwi.
Against the euro and the U.S. dollar, the kiwi advanced to 4-day
highs of 1.6560 and 0.6732 from yesterday's closing quotes of
1.6628 and 0.6693, respectively. If the kiwi extends its uptrend,
it is likely to find resistance around 1.63 against the euro and
0.68 against the greenback.
The Canadian dollar rose to more than a 1-month high of 85.51
against the yen and a 4-day high of 1.3017 against the U.S. dollar,
from yesterday's closing quotes of 85.13 and 1.3046, respectively.
If the loonie extends its uptrend, it is likely to find resistance
around 88.00 against the yen and 1.28 against the greenback.
Against the euro, the loonie edged up to 1.4502 from yesterday's
closing value of 1.4529. The loonie is likely to find resistance
around the 1.42 area.
Looking ahead, German unemployment rate for May, Eurozone
consumer prices for May and jobless rate for April are due to be
released later in the day.
At 4:30 am ET, the Bank of Italy releases its annual report,
with governor Ignazio Visco set to give a speech in Rome.
In the New York session, Canada GDP for March, U.S. personal
income and spending data for April, U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller home
price index for March, U.S. Chicago PMI for May and U.S. consumer
confidence index for May are slated for release.
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