NZ Dollar Extends Rally Ahead Of Fed, RBNZ Rate Decisions
28 Januar 2015 - 3:07PM
RTTF2
The New Zealand dollar extended its early strength against its
major rivals in European deals on Wednesday, as traders await the
monetary policy announcements by the Federal Reserve today and the
Reserve Bank of New Zealand tomorrow.
The Fed will conclude its 2-day meeting at 2 pm ET. Markets
expect no change to the fed funds rate, but are hoping for signals
about when the first rate hike may come. Some analysts predict
tightening in April, while others think the Fed will hold off until
June or even later.
At the December news conference, Fed Chair Janet Yellen told
reporters that the first increase won't happen for at least couple
of meetings or before April.
The RBNZ is expected to keep its official cash rate unchanged at
3.5 percent.
Falling commodity prices, especially the oil, and soft global
growth are weighing on inflation outlook in New Zealand. Although
the central bank indicated about further increases in the official
rate in its previous statement, economists are expecting a
prolonged period of stability, given weak inflationary outlook.
Extending early rise, the kiwi climbed to 5-day highs of 0.7493
against the greenback and 88.32 against the yen. At Tuesday's
close, the kiwi was valued at 0.7445 against the greenback and
87.78 against the yen. The next possible resistance for the kiwi is
seen around 0.775 against the greenback and 90.00 against the
yen.
The kiwi advanced to 1.5134 against the euro, after falling to a
6-day low of 1.5291 at 7:00 pm ET. The kiwi is likely to find
resistance around the 1.50 mark. The pair ended yesterday's trading
at 1.5257.
German consumer confidence for February improved strongly to a
13-year high, survey data from GfK showed.
The forward-looking consumer confidence index rose to 9.3 in
February from 9 in January. This was the highest value since
November 2001, when the score was at 9.6.
The kiwi rose back to 1.0622 against the aussie, few pips away
from early 2-day high of 1.0614. This may be compared to an early
6-day low of 1.0746. If the kiwi extends rally, 1.05 is possibly
seen as its next resistance level. At yesterday's close, the pair
was quoted at 1.0642.
Consumer prices in Australia gained just 1.7 percent on year in
the fourth quarter of 2014, the data from Australian Bureau of
Statistics showed.
That was below forecasts for 1.8 percent, and down from 2.3
percent in the third quarter.
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